GEO
Earnings in 3 days · May 6, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+1.30%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.5× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 60Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
18.51
Open
18.66
Day Range18.24 – 18.85
18.24
18.85
52W Range12.51 – 31.73
12.51
31.73
32% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.4M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
10.3x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.83
Market-like
Performance
1D
+1.30%
5D
+0.05%
1M
+1.79%
3M
+18.37%
6M
+10.49%
YTD
+16.32%
1Y
-40.80%
Best: 3M (+18.37%)Worst: 1Y (-40.80%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +9% YoY · 61% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 10x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 2.0 · FCF negative
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.49B
Revenue TTM$2.63B
Net Income TTM$254.37M
Free Cash Flow-$124.90M
Gross Margin60.5%
Net Margin9.7%
Operating Margin9.8%
Return on Equity17.7%
Return on Assets6.6%
Debt / Equity1.15
Current Ratio2.01
EPS TTM$1.84

Intelligence analysis not yet available for this stock. Full AI-powered analysis may be available on the intelligence page.

Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
38/100
Liquidity
2.01Strong
Leverage
1.15Watch
Coverage
1.6xConcern
ROE
17.7%Strong
ROIC
5.5%Concern
Cash
$69MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE12 analysts
BUY
+30.7%upside to target
L $14.00
Med $24.50consensus
H $35.00
Buy
867%
Hold
433%
8 Buy (67%)4 Hold (33%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 60 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.01 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 14, 2026
In 103 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 8.0%

+12.5% vs SMA 50 · +3.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI60.1
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.56
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$31.73+69.2%
EMA 200
$19.04+1.6%
Current
$18.75
EMA 50
$17.40-7.2%
52W Low
$12.51-33.3%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$12.5132th %ile$31.73
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:4
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.7M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.8M+4%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$2.4B
$2.3B$2.5B
$0.25
±5%
Moderate3
FY2024
$2.4B
$2.4B$2.5B
-0.0%$0.85+233.4%
±3%
Moderate4
FY2025
$2.6B
$2.5B$2.7B
+6.9%$1.09+28.7%
±5%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryGEO
Last 8Q
-4.8%avg beat
Beat 2 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates falling
-5%
Q2'24
-8%
Q3'24
-16%
Q4'24
-38%
Q1'25
-22%
Q2'25
+38%
Q3'25
+14%
Q4'25
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Noble Capital Marke…Outperform
Mar 5
UPGRADE
Exane BNP ParibasNeutral
Nov 29
UPGRADE
Deutsche BankBuy
Nov 29
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform
Nov 29
DOWNGRADE
JefferiesUnderperform
Nov 29
DOWNGRADE
WedbushOutperform
Nov 29
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Kernan Scott MichaelDir
$101K
Mar 4
SELL
Zoley George CDir
$639K
Sep 8
SELL
Zoley George CDir
$640K
Sep 9
SELL
Zoley George CDir
$671K
Sep 10
SELL
Zoley George CDir
$655K
Sep 5
SELL
Zoley George CDir
$656K
Sep 4
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Hodges Capital Management Inc.
1.1M
2
SG Americas Securities, LLC
850K
3
LEE DANNER & BASS INC
686K
4
River Road Asset Management, LLC
623K
5
Nuveen, LLC
305K
6
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
112K
7
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
103K
8
TECTONIC ADVISORS LLC
99K
News & Activity

GEO News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is a fully integrated equity real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development, and operation of secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO is a leading provider of enhanced in-custody rehabilitation, post-release support, electronic monitoring, and community-based programs. GEO's worldwide operations include the ownership and/or management of 123 facilities totaling approximately 93,000 beds, including projects under development, with a workforce of approximately 23,000 professionals.

Industry
Facilities Support Services
CEO
George Zoley
George C. ZoleyFounder, Chairman & CEO
Amber D. MartinExecutive Vice President of Contract Administration
Shayn MarchChief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
GEO
$18.75+1.30%$2.5B10.2+857.6%966.6%1500
$889.67-0.05%$414.0B43.8+429.0%1312.8%1522
$286.51-1.18%$299.4B34.3+1848.2%1898.2%1488
$173.99-1.18%$234.3B32.3+974.1%759.8%1486
$227.38-0.72%$179.2B82.1+3449.4%249.7%1504
$425.55-1.72%$165.1B40.4+1033.0%1489.7%1506
$266.32-1.17%$158.1B21.9+107.2%2912.3%1505
Sector avg-0.68%37.9+1242.7%1369.9%1502