GRND
Earnings in 2 days · May 7, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move-0.94%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 65Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
13.78
Open
13.84
Day Range13.46 – 13.96
13.46
13.96
52W Range9.73 – 25.13
9.73
25.13
25% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.4M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
31.7x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +28% YoY · 74% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 32x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.9 · FCF $0.73/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.53B
Revenue TTM$439.90M
Net Income TTM$94.75M
Free Cash Flow$135.01M
Gross Margin74.2%
Net Margin21.5%
Operating Margin28.7%
Return on Equity60.6%
Return on Assets17.8%
Debt / Equity8.53
Current Ratio1.90
EPS TTM$0.51
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Monthly Active User (MAU) growth rates and geographic expansion, particularly in underpenetrated markets like Asia-Pacific

Paying user conversion rates and Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) trends, especially for Unlimited tier subscriptions

Regulatory developments around data privacy, content moderation, and app store policies (Apple/Google take rates)

Competitive threats from generalized dating apps (Tinder, Bumble) expanding LGBTQ+ features or new entrants

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Subscription revenue exhibits defensive characteristics as users maintain social connections during downturns, but advertising revenue (20-25% of total) contracts during recessions as brand spending declines. Discretionary subscription upgrades may face pressure if unemployment rises, though the relatively low price point ($10-50/month) provides some insulation. Consumer sentiment impacts willingness to pay for premium features and advertiser demand for impressions.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create valuation compression for high-growth, unprofitable tech companies as discount rates increase and investors rotate toward profitable businesses. Higher rates do not materially impact Grindr's operations given minimal debt (0.21 D/E ratio) and no significant financing needs, but the stock's 4.7x P/S multiple makes it vulnerable to multiple contraction. The company's path to profitability becomes more critical in higher-rate environments as growth-at-any-cost narratives lose favor.

Key Risks

App store dependency risk - Apple and Google control distribution and take 15-30% revenue cuts; policy changes around content moderation or payment processing could materially impact economics

Regulatory and data privacy risk - GDPR, state-level privacy laws, and potential federal legislation could increase compliance costs and limit data monetization capabilities; geolocation data creates heightened scrutiny

Social acceptance trends - While LGBTQ+ acceptance has increased in developed markets, the company faces potential restrictions in conservative jurisdictions and relies on continued normalization of online dating

Investor Profile

growth - Investors are attracted to 33% revenue growth, 75% gross margins, and operating leverage potential in a niche market with limited direct competition. The stock appeals to thematic investors focused on LGBTQ+ demographic trends and social networking tailwinds. However, negative net income, recent 44% one-year decline, and valuation compression risk deter value investors. The lack of dividends and high volatility make this unsuitable for income-focused portfolios.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly Active Users (MAU) and Daily Active Users (DAU) growth rates by geographyPaying user penetration rate and ARPU trends for subscription tiersAdvertising revenue per user and advertiser demand indicatorsConsumer sentiment index (UMCSENT) as proxy for discretionary spending on subscriptions
Health Radar
3 strong2 watch1 concern
60/100
Liquidity
1.90Watch
Leverage
8.53Concern
Coverage
7.2xStrong
ROE
60.6%Strong
ROIC
21.6%Strong
Cash
$87MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE6 analysts
BUY
+2.6%upside to target
Buy
6100%
6 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 65 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.90 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 7, 2026
In 94 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 10.4%

+10.5% vs SMA 50 · -1.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI65.3
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.34
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$25.13+84.1%
EMA 200
$14.87+9.0%
Current
$13.65
EMA 50
$12.61-7.6%
52W Low
$9.73-28.7%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$9.7325th %ile$25.13
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:6
Edge:+5 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.8M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.9M+7%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$435.9M
$432.2M$438.5M
$0.48
±1%
Moderate3
FY2026(current)
$530.8M
$528.9M$532.7M
+21.8%$0.54+11.5%
±11%
Moderate4
FY2027
$621.2M
$620.5M$622.0M
+17.0%$0.69+28.8%
±7%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryGRND
Last 8Q
+32.7%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
+225%
Q2'24
+40%
Q3'24
-29%
Q4'24
+29%
Q1'25
Q2'25
-20%
Q3'25
+33%
Q4'25
-17%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Richardson NathanDir
$18K
Apr 1
SELL
Richardson NathanDir
$17K
Mar 2
SELL
Lu James Fu Bin10 Percent Own…
$3.8M
Feb 4
SELL
Lu James Fu Bin10 Percent Own…
$6.0M
Feb 5
SELL
Lu James Fu Bin10 Percent Own…
$4.8M
Feb 6
SELL
Richardson NathanDir
$17K
Feb 2
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
749K
2
Alberta Investment Management Corp
550K
3
SG Americas Securities, LLC
76K
4
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
50K
5
CREDIT INDUSTRIEL ET COMMERCIAL
20K
6
Abel Hall, LLC
14K
7
WEALTH ENHANCEMENT ADVISORY SERVICES, LLC
14K
8
Arizona State Retirement System
10K
News & Activity

GRND News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

we are all software craftsmen at heart and engineering excellence is at the focal point of everything we do at grindr. we are an agile shop and we use pair programming together with behavior-driven development (bdd) principles to build amazing things. no line of code is ever written by just one developer and we have over 90% of test code coverage. our users today have a choice of ios and android native clients powered by grindr 3.0 back-end utilizing non-blocking i/o akka and scala framework. we build our business components using java programming language and we use zookeper to configure aws elastic beanstalk clusters running grindr. our infrastructure depends on heavy usage of advanced cloud computing and caching techniques to scale massively around the world. we support over 1mm active hourly users pushing 10k api calls per second sending over 135mm chat messages per day. we use redis, elastisearch, amqp rabbitmq, amazon rds and dynamodb, as well as, erlang based mongooseim to

PeersCommunication Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
GRND
$13.65+0.00%$2.5B1500
$383.25-0.63%$4.6T28.9+1512.6%3280.0%1522
$379.64-0.93%$4.6T28.9+1512.6%3280.0%1521
$610.41+0.27%$1.5T21.9+2216.7%3008.4%1498
$91.02-1.13%$383.3B28.7+1585.1%2430.4%1487
$194.42-0.84%$210.4B20.3+848.8%1244.7%1492
$47.57-1.12%$200.6B11.5+252.5%1242.8%1513
Sector avg-0.63%23.4+1321.4%2414.4%1505