Gold Royalty Corp.GROYNYSE
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Operator: Good day, and welcome to the Gold Royalty Corp. Fourth Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. David A. Garofalo, Chairman and CEO. Please go ahead, sir.
David A. Garofalo: Thank you, operator. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for participating in today's call to review our fourth quarter and 2025 results. Please note for those not currently on the webcast, a presentation accompanying this conference call is available on the Presentations page of our site. Some of the commentary on today's call will include forward-looking statements, and I would direct everyone to review Slide 2 of the presentation, which includes important cautionary notes. Speaking alongside me on today's call will be Andrew W. Gubbels, Chief Financial Officer; John Griffith, Chief Development Officer; and Jackie Przybylowski, Vice President, Capital Markets. Last week, we marked the five-year anniversary of Gold Royalty Corp.'s IPO. I am so proud of our team and what we have accomplished in our short history. We started in March 2021 with 18 royalties on non-producing assets and no revenue. Today, we boast a portfolio of 258 royalties and streams, including eight cash-flowing assets, and we continue to selectively acquire accretive assets including Pedra Branca in late 2025 and an additional royalty in Borborema, as John will walk through shortly. From no revenue in 2021, we passed through an important inflection point in 2025. We are proud to report a third consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow as well as another quarter of record revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and operating cash flow. These cash flows are a manifestation of the tremendous potential we saw from the assets as we have been carefully curating our portfolio over the past five years. Potential which is not yet fully realized as we have tremendous growth and value creation still to come. Our balance sheet has been strengthened as Andrew will discuss later on this call. We ended the year with no debt or convertible debentures, over $12,000,000 in cash, a fully undrawn credit facility, and outstanding common share purchase warrants continue to be deeply in the money. This strong balance sheet will allow us to continue to acquire accretive assets and to consider returning capital to our shareholders. With that, I will pass the call over to Andrew W. Gubbels to discuss the details of our fourth quarter results and our outlook on Slide 5.
Andrew W. Gubbels: Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone. We are pleased to report new records for revenue and adjusted EBITDA in the quarter and for the full year 2025. Adjusted EBITDA was $3,200,000 in the fourth quarter, up from $2,500,000 in the previous quarter and up from $1,900,000, or $1,200,000, in the comparable quarter in 2024. Total revenue, land agreement proceeds and interest was $5,200,000, translating to 1,255 gold equivalent ounces (GEO) in the quarter. For the year ended 2025, we generated $17,800,000 in total revenue, land agreement proceeds and interest, and $9,800,000 of adjusted EBITDA, a 38,104% increase from the comparable period in 2024, respectively. This record year reflects the contribution of higher cash flows from the assets we added to the portfolio over the past few years and a continued focus on maintaining consistent low operating costs. The consecutive quarters of positive free cash flow improves our liquidity position and, importantly, provides a solid foundation for funding the business moving forward. Further, our balance sheet liquidity position was boosted meaningfully from the equitization of the $40,000,000 convertible debentures held by Queens Road Capital and Taurus Funds in November and an upsized $103,500,000 equity raise completed in December. The equity raise funded our $70,000,000 Pedra Branca acquisition, repaid the outstanding balance previously drawn on the RCF, brought in new institutional investors onto our share register, and left us in a positive net cash position at year-end. As we look forward to 2026, we remain well funded, having amended and upsized our credit facility to $150,000,000 in February and having acquired additional cash-flowing royalty on Borborema, we enter the year in a very strong financial position. As Dave alluded, with a self-funding business that generates consistent positive free cash flow, and a clean balance sheet, we now have the flexibility to execute our strategy in the long term. Our current intent is to maintain a modest cash balance and to allocate additional cash generated from operations towards growth opportunities where appropriate, while evaluating capital returns to shareholders in future periods. I will now pass the call over to our Chief Development Officer, John Griffith.
John Griffith: Thanks, Andrew. Before the fourth quarter, Gold Royalty Corp. had not announced a material asset acquisition in over a year, demonstrating our disciplined approach as we have waited patiently for the right assets at the right time. On 12/08/2025, we announced the acquisition of royalties on Pedra Branca, which entitle us to 2.5% of net smelter returns from gold and 2% of net smelter returns from copper for the life of the mine. The Pedra Branca mine in Brazil is currently operated by BHP, although the asset has been sold to Corex Holding, a transaction which is expected to close this year. We are very excited to add this high-quality cash-flowing asset to our portfolio. For more information about Pedra Branca, please refer to our December 8 press release or our December 11 conference call. Links to both can be found on our website. Subsequent to year-end, on 01/14/2026, Gold Royalty Corp. announced that we had acquired an additional NSR royalty on Borborema. The 1.5% NSR royalty importantly marked our first successful co-investment with Taurus Mining Royalty Fund. Taurus acquired a 0.75% NSR and Gold Royalty Corp. acquired the same 0.75% NSR, bringing our total to a 2.75% NSR plus the royalty convertible gold-linked loan. We often get asked if there are still opportunities to acquire royalties and streams in the current environment of strong prices for gold, copper, and other metals. Our two recent transactions and other recent royalty and stream deals announced by our peers show that there definitely are. It is worth noting that both of our recently acquired royalties were acquired from third parties, the Pedra Branca royalty from BlackRock and the Borborema royalty from Dundee Corporation. Both of these were acquired in quasi-bilateral processes where we negotiated directly with the sellers. Across our peer group, we have also recently seen new streams written by mine operators, likely taking advantage of disparity between long-term outlooks for commodity prices between operators and streamers. And we have also witnessed corporate-level M&A. We continue to see growth opportunities across each of our four pillars of growth, namely third-party acquisitions, operator financings, corporate M&A, and our royalty generator model. And we continue to actively pursue these opportunities in a disciplined manner. I am pleased to say that we have a healthy pipeline of activities we are evaluating today. I will now pass the call to Jackie Przybylowski to review our guidance and to talk about some of our key assets.
Jackie Przybylowski: Thanks, John. Along with our Q4 and 2025 results, we released our 2026 guidance and our longer-term 2030 outlook. We are expecting to report 7,500 to 9,300 GEO in 2026. At the midpoint of our guidance range, that is a 62% increase from our 2025 actual production of 5,173 GEO, including land agreement proceeds and interest. 2026 guidance assumes an average $5,150 per ounce gold price and an average $5.75 per pound copper price, consistent with consensus expectations. While our portfolio remains mostly gold linked, our gold equivalent ounce guidance figure has some sensitivity to commodity price assumptions. We receive royalties on copper at Cozamin and Pedra Branca, a stream on copper from Verus, for example. Further, we have converted land agreement proceeds and interest, which are paid in U.S. dollars, into approximately 684 gold equivalent ounces in our 2026 guidance at our assumed average gold price. To give the market an idea of the effective commodity prices on our guidance, we presented a sensitivity table in our press release last night, which we are also showing here on Slide 9. As you can see on this table, our guidance on a GEO basis would go up with a lower gold price, and would go down with a higher gold price, due to the mechanics of calculating gold equivalent ounces. Longer term, we have provided a five-year outlook for the second consecutive year. We expect 28,000 to 34,000 GEO in 2030, including approximately 600 GEO of land agreement proceeds and interest. At the midpoint, this represents a peer-leading over 490% increase relative to actual 2025 results. I also want to emphasize that our 2030 outlook continues to be mainly based on assets that are already largely de-risked. Over 70% of our growth to 2030 includes assets that are already permitted, financed, and built at least to a first phase. And including the low-risk construction of satellite deposits, de-risked assets represent over 90% of that growth. We also have a number of exciting updates in our earnings report, and I will just highlight a few on this call. Ora Minerals has signed its road relocation agreement, which immediately unlocked mineral reserves at Bo Beremet and will support expansion to 4,000,000 tonnes per year from the current 2,000,000 tonnes per year run rate. BPM Metals has restarted the Virus mine and expects to reach its full production run rate by year-end 2026. And on the projects front, Orla Mining released an updated feasibility study on South Railroad and expects to start construction midyear 2026 on receipt of final project permits. And BlackRock Silver received its Class II air quality and service disturbance permit, and the company believes that the permitting process is on schedule and expects to receive all permits by mid-2027. Please see our earnings release for additional asset updates. With over 250 assets in our portfolio, we continue to expect a steady stream of exciting positive news flow. I will pass the floor back to David for closing remarks.
David A. Garofalo: Thank you, Jackie. There is indeed lots to get excited about as you look across our portfolio in the various high-quality assets ramping up and entering production. One of the key benefits to the diversified portfolio that we have assembled over the last five years is the steady flow of exciting growth catalysts at our underlying assets. These near-, medium-, and long-term catalysts will contribute to peer-leading growth that Jackie highlighted in our 2026 and 2030 outlooks. We continue to see compelling upside to our share price as our portfolio assets continue to develop and as the market gives us credit for this organic growth. Our valuation could be further boosted by accretive growth. We emphasize that we will remain patient and disciplined as we consider any acquisitions and as we review our capital allocation options going forward. As our share price has now been comfortably above our warrant price for some time, we think it is prudent to highlight this to any warrant holders on today's call. As of 09/30/2025, the company had 17,000,000 outstanding share purchase warrants, with each warrant exercisable into common shares at a US$20.2225 per share exercise price. The warrants are listed on the NYSE American under the symbol GROY.WS, and they expire 05/31/2027. For more information on exercising warrants, please see our second quarter earnings press release. We invite you all to join our Q1 2026 earnings call on May 7 and our annual Capital Markets Day in Toronto and online on June 18. Thank you everyone for tuning into the earnings call. We will now open for questions. Operator?
Operator: Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, if you are using a speakerphone and you would like to withdraw your question, please press star then 2. Our first question will come from Heiko Ihle with H.C. Wainwright. Please go ahead.
Heiko Ihle: Hey there. Thanks so much for taking my questions. I mean, we are in an environment of $4,600 gold, volatility in the last 24 hours has been insane. Crazy news all over the newspapers, you know, wars, geopolitical risks. You want to just walk us through your thought process that you apply to potential M&A and at discount rates that you assign to assets, given current geopolitical turmoil? And building on all of that—now leave it to that one question, given that is probably like four in one. And building on all of that, are you—are there certain countries that you may be more focusing on than you were, call it, six months ago or even three months ago than today?
David A. Garofalo: Thanks, Heiko, and good morning. I will hand that off to John Griffith to respond to. Thank you.
John Griffith: Heiko, I think you are absolutely right about the volatility and uncertainty in the current environment. But I do not think we can let that noise really, you know, influence our decision-making. We typically look at commodity prices on a consensus basis when we are evaluating opportunities and, because of that, and the dislocation between consensus and spot prices, we have seen that in many instances others have been willing to accept much lower rates of return on transactions than we otherwise would have. In other words, we are really staying disciplined and focused and we will remain that way during these uncertain times. So I do not think the current aberrations really change our view or strategy. And I think regarding geographies, we are very fortunate to have approximately 85% of our net asset value in North America and the remaining 15% in several jurisdictions as well. And I think we have no real pressure to go and deploy capital in parts of the world where risk is perceived to be volatile and a lot higher.
Heiko Ihle: That is a very comprehensive answer. I appreciate it, and I will get back in queue.
Operator: The next question will come from Tate Sullivan with Maxim Group. Please go ahead.
Tate Sullivan: Hi, thank you very much. In your MD&A, you highlight the sensitivities to copper and gold prices given your current producing assets. Are you still focused mostly on copper and gold in terms of evaluating assets going forward? And did you demonstrate this consistency by selling the tungsten-related asset in the U.S. in the fourth quarter?
David A. Garofalo: Thanks, Tate, and good morning. I will hand that off to John again.
John Griffith: Sorry, the question—Tate, could you just repeat it, please?
Tate Sullivan: Still focusing on copper and gold predominantly in what you are evaluating going forward. And just—I noted your—the tungsten asset-related sale in the fourth quarter as a demonstration of that strategy?
John Griffith: Yeah. Sorry. I guess the focus for us remains very much on precious metals. We do feel very comfortable looking at what I would describe as the conventional or larger value LME-traded commodities such as copper, zinc, and nickel. And I think it also ties in nicely with our skill set. Both management and board have a lot of experience in building and operating mines in those various commodities. I do not think you are going to see us depart materially from that strategy unless we were potentially to acquire a larger portfolio of assets which had smaller, smaller commodity-focused assets that fell outside of that ambit, if you will. And, yeah, I think for us, the sale of the tungsten asset was certainly opportunistic. The party that acquired that asset is really focused on a more sort of esoteric perspective of building a non-precious metal, non-diversified royalty company, and they were willing to pay up for an asset that had very low value, little to no value, in our portfolio.
Tate Sullivan: Okay. Thank you. And second for me, if I may—on, I mean, today’s gold price moved down as much as 7%. Can you comment on just what you think is behind that? And are you willing to comment on short-term market fluctuations, please?
David A. Garofalo: Yeah. Tate, I think that is a great question. Ironically, I think it is because of the political turmoil. Quite often, we get asked, you know, why is not gold responding to, you know, war events or significant economic calamities? And I think typically what happens when those events occur is it becomes a risk-off trade and risk assets are sold, regardless of the underlying fundamentals. So I actually see events like this, like the Iran war or economic calamities, the great financial crisis or COVID for that matter, as distractions from the underlying fundamentals of the commodity. And I think in gold’s case, like every other risk asset being sold today, it is being sold off, but inevitably what happens—and invariably what has happened after these calamities in the past—is when the risk trade comes back on and capital starts to be put back to work, fundamentals come back into play. And the fundamentals for gold, in my view, are irrefutable, in that we are going to see continued and relentless debasement of fiat currencies given the absolute amount of debt that is being strapped on. In spite of the fact that we are seeing record revenues in the U.S., we are seeing still record fiscal deficits and continued compounding of unsustainable debt at the U.S. government level and, for that matter, across the Western world. And inevitably, that will lead to continued debasement of the underlying fiat currency to debase the debt. I think those fundamentals will come back into play. And gold, being the one currency that cannot be printed, cannot be debased, will inevitably go up as it has relentlessly for the last 50 years in spite of the volatility in the short to medium term.
Tate Sullivan: Thank you for the portfolio comments and the gold. Have a good day.
Operator: This will conclude the question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to David A. Garofalo for any closing remarks.
David A. Garofalo: Well, thank you all for your kind attention. If you have any follow-up questions, of course, Jackie is available at jackiep@goldroyalty.com, or any of us at firstinitiallastname@goldroyalty.com. If you have any other follow-up questions, we would be delighted to hear from you. I hope you have a good rest of your day in spite of the volatility in the markets.
Operator: The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.