Results are highly cyclical for GV, so multiple-based fair value is less reliable here.
| FY | 2001 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Low | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adj EPS | 2.05 | 0.90 | -0.05 | 0.30 | 0.45 | 2.29 | -1.05 | -0.64 | -0.35 | 5.51 | 3.91 | 1.59 | 7.67 | 4.89 | 2.97 | 4.11 |
| Chg/Yr | — | -56% | -106% | — | +48% | +415% | -146% | — | — | — | -29% | -59% | +383% | -36% | -39% | +38% |
| Div | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Fair value (15.0x) multiplies each year's earnings per share by a growth-based multiple: steady growers (5–15% a year) get 15x, faster growers get their growth rate as the multiple (capped at 30x), and slower growers step down below 15x. GV has grown earnings about 10.0% a year, so the line uses 15.0x.
Earnings are adjusted figures on the same basis analysts forecast, built from reported quarters; years beyond the last completed fiscal year use the analyst consensus (dashed). The verdict calls a stock over- or undervalued only when the price sits more than 10% from the fair value line.