HLIT
Earnings in 4 days · May 11, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move+2.44%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume1.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 38Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
11.89
Open
11.89
Day Range11.76 – 12.33
11.76
12.33
52W Range7.80 – 12.33
7.80
12.33
97% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.3M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
1189.0x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.05
Market-like
Performance
1D
+2.44%
5D
+5.73%
1M
+31.11%
3M
+20.59%
6M
+19.65%
YTD
+23.15%
1Y
+36.55%
Best: 1Y (+36.55%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -25% · 54% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 1189x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.5 · FCF $0.86/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.34B
Revenue TTM$511.78M
Net Income TTM-$43.31M
Free Cash Flow$96.89M
Gross Margin53.9%
Net Margin-8.5%
Operating Margin5.4%
Return on Equity-10.1%
Return on Assets-6.0%
Debt / Equity0.39
Current Ratio2.50
EPS TTM$-0.39
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Cable operator capex cycles and DOCSIS 4.0/fiber upgrade announcements from Comcast, Charter, Liberty Global

cOS SaaS platform adoption rates and annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth trajectory

Large contract wins or renewals with tier-1 service providers (cable MSOs, telcos, streaming platforms)

Gross margin expansion as software/SaaS mix increases relative to lower-margin hardware

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Revenue tied to telecom operator capex budgets, which are more stable than consumer discretionary spending but sensitive to economic uncertainty. During recessions, operators may delay network upgrades, impacting hardware sales. However, secular trends (broadband demand, streaming video growth) provide baseline support. The -53.3% net income decline suggests recent headwinds from either customer spending delays or competitive pricing pressure.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create moderate headwinds through two channels: (1) telecom operator customers face higher financing costs for network infrastructure investments, potentially delaying capex projects; (2) Harmonic's valuation multiple compresses as growth stocks de-rate in higher-rate environments. The 1.9x P/S ratio is modest, suggesting limited valuation risk, but customer financing constraints are real. Lower rates stimulate operator investment cycles.

Key Risks

Technology transition risk as legacy broadcast video declines and streaming dominates - requires continuous R&D investment to remain relevant in cloud-native architectures

Customer consolidation in cable/telecom industry (Charter-Comcast dynamics, AT&T/Verizon fiber strategies) concentrates revenue and increases negotiating leverage against Harmonic

Secular decline in traditional pay-TV subscribers pressures video infrastructure spending, though offset by broadband growth

Investor Profile

value with growth optionality - The 1.9x P/S and 13.1x EV/EBITDA valuations are modest for a software-transitioning tech company, attracting value investors betting on SaaS margin expansion. The 11.6% revenue growth and 4.4% FCF yield appeal to investors seeking reasonable growth at reasonable prices. However, -53.3% net income decline and 1.9% 1-year return indicate recent execution challenges, creating contrarian opportunity if turnaround materializes. Not a momentum stock given muted returns.

Watch on Earnings
US telecom operator capex spending trends (Comcast, Charter, AT&T, Verizon quarterly capex guidance)DOCSIS 4.0 and 10G broadband deployment timelines from major cable MSOscOS SaaS platform ARR growth rate and customer count (tier-1 vs tier-2/3 operators)Gross margin percentage as indicator of hardware vs software revenue mix shift
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
51/100
Liquidity
2.50Strong
Leverage
0.39Strong
Coverage
6.9xStrong
ROE
-10.1%Concern
ROIC
2.6%Concern
Cash
$124MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE19 analysts
HOLD
+14.9%upside to target
Buy
947%
Hold
1053%
9 Buy (47%)10 Hold (53%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 38 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.50 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 8, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 5, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 105 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 1.6%

+22.8% vs SMA 50 · +24.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI38.4
Momentum fading
MACD-0.00
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$12.33+1.2%
Current
$12.18
EMA 50
$9.84-19.2%
EMA 200
$9.72-20.2%
52W Low
$7.80-36.0%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$7.8097th %ile$12.33
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:7
Dist days:5
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)978K
Recent Vol (5D)
890K-9%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$555.1M
$526.7M$585.7M
$0.50
±7%
Low2
FY2024
$670.2M
$666.8M$674.6M
+20.7%$0.71+40.7%
±3%
Moderate4
FY2025
$555.0M
$553.3M$556.7M
-17.2%$0.43-39.0%
±2%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 7 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryHLIT
Last 8Q
+72.8%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates falling
-100%
Q2'24
+105%
Q3'24
+30%
Q4'24
+22%
Q1'25
+120%
Q2'25
+200%
Q3'25
+166%
Q4'25
+40%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
JefferiesHold → Negative
Oct 29
DOWNGRADE
JefferiesBuy → Hold
Oct 29
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesBuy → Outperform
Oct 29
DOWNGRADE
B. Riley SecuritiesNeutral
Aug 10
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral
Aug 10
DOWNGRADE
RBC CapitalSector Perform
Aug 10
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform → Market Perform
Aug 10
DOWNGRADE
William BlairMarket Perform
Aug 10
DOWNGRADE
OppenheimerPerform
Aug 10
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight
Aug 10
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform → Strong Buy
Aug 10
UPGRADE
JefferiesBuy
Jan 9
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
1 Buy/3 SellsNet Selling
Krall DavidDir
$499K
Dec 11
BUY
Haltmayer NevenSVP & GM, Vide…
$65K
Dec 12
SELL
Haltmayer NevenSVP & GM, Vide…
$98K
Dec 15
SELL
Haltmayer NevenSVP & GM, Vide…
$150K
Dec 15
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Leeward Investments, LLC - MA
1.7M
2
Nuveen, LLC
1.4M
3
Silverberg Bernstein Capital Management LLC
1.3M
4
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
701K
5
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
671K
6
Hillsdale Investment Management Inc.
670K
7
UBS Group AG
470K
8
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
157K
News & Activity

HLIT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

harmonic (nasdaq: hlit), the worldwide leader in video delivery technology and services, enables media companies and service providers to deliver ultra-high-quality broadcast and ott video services to consumers globally. the company has also revolutionized cable access networking via the industry’s first virtualized ccap solution, enabling cable operators to more flexibly deploy gigabit internet service to consumers’ homes and mobile devices. whether simplifying ott video delivery via innovative cloud and software-as-a-service (saas) technologies or powering the delivery of gigabit internet cable services, harmonic is changing the way media companies and service providers monetize live and vod content on every screen. more information is available at www.harmonicinc.com.

Industry
Radio and Television Broadcasting and Wireless Communications Equipment Manufacturing
CEO
Patrick Harshman
Yaniv Ben-SoussanSenior Vice President of Customer Experience
Gil RudgeSenior Vice President of Solutions and Americas Sales
Jeffrey GlahnSenior Vice President of Global Sales & Broadband
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
HLIT
$12.18+2.44%$1.3B-4688.2%-1201.3%1500
$207.83+5.77%$4.8T42.1+6547.4%5560.3%1494
$287.51+1.17%$4.2T34.5+642.6%2691.5%1491
$413.96+0.63%$3.1T24.6+1493.2%3614.6%1477
$425.44-0.45%$2.0T80.8+2387.4%3619.8%1503
$666.59+4.12%$722.0B31.1+4885.1%2284.5%1533
$421.39+18.61%$579.2B137.7+3433.8%1251.5%1517
Sector avg+4.61%58.4+2100.2%2545.8%1502