HSTM
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+3.04%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume0.3× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 58Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
20.72
Open
20.72
Day Range20.72 – 21.36
20.72
21.36
52W Range19.50 – 33.95
19.50
33.95
13% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
309.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
35.0x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.55
Low vol
Performance
1D
-0.19%
5D
-3.72%
1M
+1.57%
3M
+1.57%
6M
-20.40%
YTD
-10.19%
1Y
-37.67%
Best: 1M (+1.57%)Worst: 1Y (-37.67%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +4% YoY · 65% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 35x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.0 (low) · FCF $2.01/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$625.96M
Revenue TTM$304.06M
Net Income TTM$18.34M
Free Cash Flow$59.63M
Gross Margin64.7%
Net Margin6.0%
Operating Margin6.7%
Return on Equity5.2%
Return on Assets3.5%
Debt / Equity0.04
Current Ratio0.96
EPS TTM$0.62
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Subscriber growth rates and net revenue retention (expansion minus churn) across the installed base of 6+ million healthcare professionals

New logo wins at large health systems (100+ hospital IDNs) which drive multi-year recurring revenue streams

Pricing realization and ability to pass through annual price increases (typically 2-4%) without impacting retention

Product innovation velocity, particularly AI-enabled personalized learning pathways and mobile-first delivery that differentiate from legacy LMS competitors

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Healthcare workforce compliance training is non-discretionary spending driven by regulatory mandates rather than economic conditions. Hospitals must maintain Joint Commission accreditation and CMS certification regardless of GDP growth. However, severe recessions can pressure hospital operating budgets, potentially delaying expansion purchases or driving price sensitivity. New hospital construction and staffing expansion correlate with healthcare utilization trends, which have modest GDP sensitivity.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates have modest negative impact through two channels: (1) higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for recurring revenue software businesses, particularly affecting growth-stage SaaS companies trading at premium multiples, and (2) hospital capital budgets face pressure from increased debt service costs, potentially slowing technology adoption. However, HealthStream's low debt load (0.04x D/E) insulates it from direct financing cost increases. The company's mature, cash-generative profile reduces rate sensitivity compared to high-growth, unprofitable SaaS peers.

Key Risks

Commoditization of learning management systems as enterprise HR platforms (Workday, Oracle, SAP SuccessFactors) add training modules, potentially reducing willingness to pay for specialized healthcare LMS

Regulatory changes reducing mandatory continuing education requirements or shifting to competency-based assessments rather than time-based training hours

Generative AI disruption enabling hospitals to create custom training content in-house at lower cost, eroding HealthStream's content library moat

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at 2.0x Price/Sales and 8.5x EV/EBITDA, below typical SaaS multiples (5-10x revenue for growth companies), attracting value investors seeking profitable, cash-generative software businesses at reasonable valuations. The 40% one-year decline has created potential entry point for investors betting on stabilization and modest margin expansion. Limited growth (4.5% revenue growth) and small market cap ($600M) reduce appeal to growth-at-any-price investors. Dividend-focused investors are not attracted given no indicated dividend policy.

Watch on Earnings
Healthcare employment growth (PAYEMS healthcare subsector) as proxy for addressable market expansionHospital operating margins and days cash on hand reported by AHA, indicating customer budget healthJoint Commission and CMS regulatory updates that drive new compliance training requirementsNursing turnover rates (NSI National Healthcare Retention Report) which correlate with training demand
Health Radar
1 strong5 concern
31/100
Liquidity
0.96Concern
Leverage
0.04Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
5.2%Concern
ROIC
4.0%Concern
Cash
$36MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE15 analysts
HOLD
+17.1%upside to target
Buy
747%
Hold
853%
7 Buy (47%)8 Hold (53%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 58 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.96 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 2.6%

-13.9% vs SMA 50 · -16.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI58.1
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD-0.83
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$33.95+59.0%
EMA 200
$25.46+19.3%
EMA 50
$24.71+15.7%
Current
$21.35
52W Low
$19.50-8.7%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$19.5013th %ile$33.95
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:2
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)208K
Recent Vol (5D)
188K-10%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$285.2M
$283.6M$286.9M
$0.59
±1%
Moderate3
FY2024
$291.0M
$290.8M$291.1M
+2.0%$0.63+7.1%
±1%
Moderate4
FY2025
$300.6M
$300.5M$300.6M
+3.3%$0.63+1.0%
±1%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryHSTM
Last 8Q
+21.3%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+55%
Q2'24
+17%
Q3'24
+46%
Q4'24
+23%
Q1'25
-12%
Q2'25
+12%
Q3'25
+18%
Q4'25
+12%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Financials
Dividends0.60% yield
+13.6% avg annual growth
Annual Yield0.60%
Semi-Annual Div.$0.0350
Est. Annual / Share$0.07
FrequencySemi-Annual
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.
313K
2
TEACHER RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF TEXAS
151K
3
AM INVESTMENT STRATEGIES LLC
58K
4
KORNITZER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC /KS
56K
5
Nuveen, LLC
52K
6
KLP KAPITALFORVALTNING AS
50K
7
SG Americas Securities, LLC
40K
8
Inspire Investing, LLC
25K
News & Activity

HSTM News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

thousands of healthcare providers, including half of u.s. hospitals, have chosen healthstream (nasdaq: hstm) as their partner for improving clinical and business outcomes. in this new era of healthcare reform, meaningful use, and value-based purchasing, hundreds of leading organizations each year are switching to healthstream to elevate the role of learning and development in addressing these challenges. our vision healthstream’s vision is to improve the quality of healthcare by assessing and developing the people who deliver care.

Industry
Data Processing, Hosting, and Related Services
CEO
Robert Frist
Mollie CondraVice President of Investor Relations & Communications
Kevin O'HaraExecutive Vice President of Workforce Platform and Applications
Michael CollierExecutive Vice President of Corporate Strategy, Development & Operations
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
HSTM
$21.35-0.19%$607M33.5+425.8%603.2%1500
$69.00-3.59%$13.3B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$518.57-0.71%$11.8B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$87.91+0.60%$11.5B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$183.12-1.59%$10.7B29.2+1871.5%680.1%1500
$227.90-0.59%$10.6B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$75.03+1.81%$10.5B51.8+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-0.61%38.2+341969.5%-3339.7%1500