JCAP
Next earnings: Aug 12, 2026
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-4.39%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 0Oversold — bounce setup
PRICE
Prev Close
18.69
Open
18.51
Day Range17.61 – 18.57
17.61
18.57
52W Range15.98 – 23.80
15.98
23.80
24% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
309.5K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
3.2x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-4.39%
5D
-12.49%
1M
-14.05%
3M
-15.87%
6M
-19.32%
YTD
-20.01%
1Y
-3.61%
Worst: YTD (-20.01%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +30% YoY · 67% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 3x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.0 (low) · FCF $4.60/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.10B
Revenue TTM$634.79M
Net Income TTM$161.38M
Free Cash Flow$255.83M
Gross Margin66.8%
Net Margin25.4%
Operating Margin44.3%
Return on Equity36.5%
Return on Assets7.7%
Debt / Equity3.24
Current Ratio0.03
EPS TTM$2.90
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Portfolio purchase volume and pricing - deployment of capital into new debt acquisitions at attractive yields

Collection curve performance - actual vs. modeled cash recoveries on existing portfolios, particularly in first 24 months

Consumer credit quality trends - delinquency and charge-off rates at major issuers drive portfolio supply and collectability

Regulatory developments - CFPB enforcement actions, state-level collection law changes, statute of limitations rulings

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Consumer debt collection performance is highly correlated with employment, wage growth, and household financial stress. Rising unemployment reduces debtor ability to pay, lowering collection rates. Conversely, strong labor markets improve recoveries. The business is counter-cyclical on the supply side (more charge-offs create portfolio supply during recessions) but pro-cyclical on collections (recoveries decline when consumers are stressed). Net effect typically makes collections more sensitive to macro conditions than portfolio acquisition opportunities.

Interest Rates

Rising rates have mixed effects: (1) Negative for funding costs - JCAP's 2.71 debt/equity ratio means higher borrowing costs directly impact returns on leveraged portfolio purchases. (2) Positive for portfolio supply - higher rates stress consumers and increase charge-off volumes at lenders, creating more acquisition opportunities. (3) Negative for valuation multiples - as a yield-oriented financial, higher risk-free rates compress P/E multiples. The 13% FCF yield suggests current valuation already reflects elevated rate environment.

Key Risks

Regulatory tightening - CFPB rule changes on collection practices, debt validation requirements, or statute of limitations interpretations could materially reduce recoverable amounts or increase compliance costs

Litigation risk - class action lawsuits related to collection practices, FDCPA violations, or TCPA claims can result in significant settlements and operational restrictions

Technological disruption - AI-driven collection platforms from fintech competitors could commoditize underwriting advantages and compress portfolio purchase pricing

Investor Profile

value - The 1.0x P/B, 2.2x P/S, and 13% FCF yield attract value investors seeking mispriced cash flow streams. The 35% ROE appeals to investors focused on capital efficiency. However, the -5.6% net income decline despite 34% revenue growth suggests portfolio seasoning dynamics or investment phase that requires sophisticated understanding of debt collection economics. Not suitable for growth-at-any-price investors given the mature, capital-intensive business model.

Watch on Earnings
Consumer credit card delinquency rates (90+ days past due) - leading indicator of portfolio supply and collectabilityPersonal bankruptcy filings - directly impacts recoverable amounts on unsecured debtUnemployment rate and initial jobless claims - primary driver of debtor ability to payHigh yield credit spreads - proxy for debt collection industry funding costs and risk appetite
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
35/100
Liquidity
0.03Concern
Leverage
3.24Concern
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
36.5%Strong
ROIC
267.8%Strong
Cash
$48MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE8 analysts
BUY
+56.7%upside to target
L $21.00
Med $28.00consensus
H $29.00
Buy
788%
Sell
113%
7 Buy (88%)0 Hold (0%)1 Sell (12%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 0 — Oversold, watch for bounce
~
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.03 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 95 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 11.4%

+3.8% vs SMA 50 · +15.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI0.0
Oversold — potential bounce
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$23.80+33.2%
Current
$17.87
EMA 50
$16.99-4.9%
52W Low
$15.98-10.6%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$15.9824th %ile$23.80
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:1
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)315K
Recent Vol (5D)
195K-38%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$58.0M
$46.4M$69.6M
-$1.15
±28%
High7
FY2024
$485.0M
$475.4M$497.1M
+735.9%$0.00
Moderate3
FY2025
$610.5M
$599.2M$622.6M
+25.9%$3.20
±12%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryJCAP
Last 4Q
+0.6%avg beat
Beat 2 of 4 quartersMissed 2
-8%
Q3'25
+16%
Q4'25
+4%
Q2'26
-9%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
1 Buy/5 SellsNet Selling
Burton David M.Dir
$7.9M
Jan 9
SELL
Jcf Iv Jcap Holding…10 Percent Own…
$215.9M
Jan 9
SELL
J.c. Flowers Iv L.p.10 Percent Own…
$90.3M
Jun 27
SELL
J.c. Flowers Iv L.p.10 Percent Own…
$40.3M
Jun 27
SELL
Burton David M.Dir
$6.4M
Jun 27
SELL
Decker Mark O.Dir
$598
Apr 15
BUY
Financials
Dividends4.03% yield
2 yrs of payments
Annual Yield4.03%
Quarterly Div.$0.2400
Est. Annual / Share$0.96
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 4 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP
3.3M
2
ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C.
1.8M
3
WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC
1.6M
4
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
1.5M
5
BlackRock, Inc.
1.4M
6
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
1.1M
7
PUNCH & ASSOCIATES INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC.
1.1M
8
Nantahala Capital Management, LLC
750K
News & Activity

JCAP News

About

Jernigan Capital, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of debt and equity capital. It invests primarily in new or recently-constructed and opened self-storage facilities located predominately in dense urban submarket. The company was founded by Dean Jernigan in October 1, 2014 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

Sector
Industry
Real Estate Development
CEO
John A. Good
David BurtonPresident, CEO & Chairman
Mark ZellmannPresident of U.S. Business Lines
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
JCAP
$17.87-4.39%$1.1B6.2+4153.9%3064.9%1500
$297.81-0.70%$798.0B14.1+330.7%2039.3%1503
$325.75+1.00%$624.4B28.0+1134.0%5014.5%1500
$494.20+0.87%$436.7B28.3+1641.6%4564.7%1490
$49.77-0.16%$353.2B11.4-45.1%1592.6%1495
$192.51-1.04%$303.6B16.6+1147.7%1466.4%1526
$948.47-2.11%$279.8B15.9-138.4%1373.0%1526
Sector avg-0.93%17.2+1174.9%2730.8%1506