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JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd.(JKS)

$9.51—

WatchlistAsk AI Chart

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd.(JKS)

NYSEAbout this data

$9.51—

WatchlistAsk AI Chart Studio

JKS(JKS)

JKS

10/1/26

JinkoSolar (JKS)

Thursday

4:09 AM

ThesisJinkoSolar: the risks are mounting — Chronic overcapacity in global solar manufacturing with Chinese producers adding 200-300GW annually…

Revenue Outlook

Metric	FY2025	FY2026E	FY2027E
Revenue	$65.5B	$64.0B	$82.1B
Rev. Growth	-29.0%	-2.2%	+28.2%
EPS	$-341.24	$-32.63	$-0.52
EPS Growth	-1576%	+90.4%	+98.4%
P/E	—	—	—

★ Analysts see FY2027 revenue reaching $82.1B — +28.2% growth in a single year.

What Could Go Wrong

01Chronic overcapacity in global solar manufacturing with Chinese producers adding 200-300GW annually, structuring pricing below cash costs and threatening prolonged industry losses
02Technological disruption risk from next-generation cell technologies (TOPCon, HJT, perovskite tandem cells) requiring multi-billion dollar re-investment cycles every 3-5 years
03Escalating trade barriers including US UFLPA restrictions on Xinjiang polysilicon, EU anti-dumping investigations, and potential domestic content requirements globally
04Dependence on Chinese government support through export financing, VAT rebates, and subsidized industrial land/power which may diminish as policy priorities shift
05Intense competition from fellow Chinese manufacturers (LONGi, Trina, JA Solar, Canadian Solar) with similar cost structures and vertical integration, eliminating differentiation
06Emerging low-cost competition from Southeast Asian manufacturers in Vietnam, Thailand, and India benefiting from tariff arbitrage
07Vertical integration by US/European developers (First Solar, Meyer Burger) and potential re-shoring driven by IRA incentives creating 45X manufacturing tax credits
08Customer concentration risk with top 10 customers likely representing 30-40% of revenue, providing significant buyer negotiating power

FY2025 Snapshot

Revenue: $65.5B
Rev. Growth: -29.0%
Gross Margin: 2.2%
Op. Margin: -9.3%
Net Margin: -6.8%
Net Income: $-4.4B
NI Growth: -8250%
EPS: $-341.24
1Y Return: -57.0%

JKS Chart

My Notes

value/distressed - The stock attracts deep value investors betting on industry consolidation, mean reversion in module pricing…
Rising interest rates negatively impact solar project economics by increasing the weighted average cost of capital for utility-scale…
Watch on earnings: China polysilicon spot price per kilogram (benchmark for primary input costs), Global solar module ASP per watt in key markets (China, Europe, US) tracking pricing power, Chinese yuan (CNY) exchange rate vs USD affecting cost competitiveness and translation.

One Sentence Summary:

The bear case: chronic overcapacity in global solar manufacturing with chinese producers adding 200-300gw annually.

Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.

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Metric

FY2025

FY2026E

FY2027E

P/E

—

What Could Go Wrong

01Chronic overcapacity in global solar manufacturing with Chinese producers adding 200-300GW annually, structuring pricing below cash costs and threatening prolonged industry losses

02Technological disruption risk from next-generation cell technologies (TOPCon, HJT, perovskite tandem cells) requiring multi-billion dollar re-investment cycles every 3-5 years

03Escalating trade barriers including US UFLPA restrictions on Xinjiang polysilicon, EU anti-dumping investigations, and potential domestic content requirements globally

04Dependence on Chinese government support through export financing, VAT rebates, and subsidized industrial land/power which may diminish as policy priorities shift

05Intense competition from fellow Chinese manufacturers (LONGi, Trina, JA Solar, Canadian Solar) with similar cost structures and vertical integration, eliminating differentiation

06Emerging low-cost competition from Southeast Asian manufacturers in Vietnam, Thailand, and India benefiting from tariff arbitrage

07Vertical integration by US/European developers (First Solar, Meyer Burger) and potential re-shoring driven by IRA incentives creating 45X manufacturing tax credits

08Customer concentration risk with top 10 customers likely representing 30-40% of revenue, providing significant buyer negotiating power

My Notes

value/distressed - The stock attracts deep value investors betting on industry consolidation, mean reversion in module pricing…

Rising interest rates negatively impact solar project economics by increasing the weighted average cost of capital for utility-scale…

Watch on earnings: China polysilicon spot price per kilogram (benchmark for primary input costs), Global solar module ASP per watt in key markets (China, Europe, US) tracking pricing power, Chinese yuan (CNY) exchange rate vs USD affecting cost competitiveness and translation.