KKR
11/12/26

KKR & (KKR)

Thursday
1:43 PM
ThesisConcerns over rising interest rates and their impact on portfolio company valuations are leading to a more cautious outlook among investors.

Revenue Outlook

★ Analysts see FY2027 revenue reaching $12.2B — +2.8% growth in a single year.

What Could Go Wrong

  1. 01Rising interest rates could lead to increased defaults in leveraged portfolio companies, impacting KKR's performance fees.
  2. 02Regulatory changes impacting private equity structures and taxation
  3. 03Technological disruption in financial services affecting traditional asset management
  4. 04Increased competition from other private equity firms and alternative investment vehicles
  5. 05Pressure from institutional investors for lower fees and better transparency
  6. 06High debt levels in portfolio companies increasing default risk
  7. 07Liquidity risks associated with market downturns affecting exit opportunities
FY2025 Snapshot
Revenue
$19.2B
NI Growth
-22.9%
EPS
$2.51
1Y Return
-16.1%

KKR Chart

8392100109118100.05KKR Daily100.05Jun '26Aug '26Sep '26Nov '26

My Notes

  • "Investors are increasingly wary of how rising rates will affect our leveraged investments."
  • Moat: KKR's extensive operational expertise and diversified investment strategy provide a durable competitive advantage.
  • Watch: The rise of direct lending and alternative financing options could disrupt traditional private equity models.
  • value - KKR's strong cash flow generation and potential for capital appreciation appeal to value-focused investors.
  • Rising interest rates can increase financing costs for portfolio companies and compress valuations…
  • Watch on earnings: AUM growth rate, Performance fee revenue, Interest rate trends (e.g., FEDFUNDS).

One Sentence Summary:

The bear case: rising interest rates could lead to increased defaults in leveraged portfolio companies, impacting kkr's performance fees.

Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.

Data is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.