KOPN
Next earnings: Aug 11, 2026
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-8.51%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 66Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
5.52
Open
5.25
Day Range5.01 – 5.34
5.01
5.34
52W Range1.23 – 6.45
1.23
6.45
73% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
6.2M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
505.0x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.75
High vol
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -23% YoY
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 505x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 2.6 · FCF negative
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$923.75M
Revenue TTM$39.34M
Net Income TTM$1.91M
Free Cash Flow-$15.17M
Gross Margin34.4%
Net Margin4.9%
Operating Margin-43.3%
Return on Equity4.3%
Return on Assets1.9%
Debt / Equity0.02
Current Ratio2.61
EPS TTM$0.01
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Defense contract awards and renewals: Wins with prime contractors (Lockheed Martin, BAE Systems, Elbit) for F-35 helmet displays, soldier systems, or next-gen weapon sights drive multi-year revenue visibility

Consumer AR/VR design wins: Announcements of component selection by major OEMs (Meta, Apple, Microsoft) for headset programs create significant valuation expansion despite uncertain production timelines

Quarterly revenue volatility: Lumpy defense deliveries and prototype shipment timing create 20-30% quarter-over-quarter revenue swings that drive stock reactions

Cash burn rate and financing needs: With negative free cash flow, announcements of equity raises, debt facilities, or strategic investments impact dilution concerns

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Defense revenue (majority of business) is relatively insulated from GDP cycles due to multi-year DoD budget allocations and geopolitical spending drivers. However, industrial and consumer segments show cyclical sensitivity, with enterprise AR adoption and consumer electronics demand declining during recessions. The company's small scale and negative cash flow make it vulnerable to tighter capital markets during downturns, potentially limiting access to growth financing.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact Kopin through multiple channels: (1) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies, particularly affecting the 8.6x P/S multiple; (2) Increased financing costs for working capital and potential future equity raises become more dilutive; (3) Consumer discretionary spending on AR/VR devices weakens as borrowing costs rise. Defense spending is largely rate-insensitive. The company's minimal debt (0.09 D/E) limits direct interest expense impact.

Key Risks

Technology obsolescence: Rapid advancement in microLED and competing display technologies from Samsung, Sony, and Chinese manufacturers could render Kopin's OLED-on-silicon approach less competitive, particularly if cost-per-pixel advantages erode

Defense budget reallocation: Shift in DoD priorities away from soldier modernization or toward alternative display technologies (direct retinal projection, holographic systems) could eliminate key revenue streams

Consumer AR market failure: Persistent consumer rejection of AR/VR headsets due to form factor, price, or use case limitations would eliminate the growth narrative supporting current valuation

Investor Profile

growth/speculative - Attracts momentum traders and speculative growth investors betting on defense contract wins or consumer AR inflection. The stock appeals to thematic investors focused on defense modernization and AR/VR adoption trends. Not suitable for value or income investors given negative profitability, no dividend, and uncertain path to sustainable earnings. Institutional ownership is limited due to small market cap and high execution risk.

Watch on Earnings
US defense budget allocation to soldier systems and aviation modernization programs (impacts F-35, IVAS, and next-gen helmet display funding)Global AR/VR headset shipment volumes and ASP trends (indicates market size for consumer microdisplay opportunity)Quarterly defense backlog and book-to-bill ratio (forward revenue visibility indicator)Gross margin percentage trend (signals manufacturing scale and product mix improvement)
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
50/100
Liquidity
2.61Strong
Leverage
0.02Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
4.3%Concern
ROIC
-21.5%Concern
Cash
$61.6BStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE7 analysts
BUY
+38.6%upside to target
L $6.25
Med $7.00consensus
H $10.00
Buy
571%
Hold
229%
5 Buy (71%)2 Hold (29%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 66 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.61 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 15.5%

+61.0% vs SMA 50 · +86.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI65.5
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.64
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$6.45+27.7%
Current
$5.05
EMA 50
$3.65-27.7%
EMA 200
$2.74-45.7%
52W Low
$1.23-75.6%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$1.2373th %ile$6.45
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Elevated Squeeze Setup

Strong accumulation on above-average volume. Buyers are absorbing supply aggressively — any positive catalyst could trigger a rapid covering move.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:10
Dist days:6
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)7.3M
Recent Vol (5D)
17.3M+137%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$41.7M
$40.4M$42.9M
-$0.04
±4%
Low2
FY2026(current)
$57.1M
$55.3M$58.7M
+37.1%-$0.05
±4%
Moderate3
FY2027
$75.5M
$73.1M$77.6M
+32.1%-$0.01
±4%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryKOPN
Last 8Q
+3.3%avg beat
Beat 2 of 8 quartersMissed 6 Estimates rising
-25%
Q3'24
-25%
Q4'24
-200%
Q2'25
-100%
Q2'25
-125%
Q3'25
+300%
Q4'25
+302%
Q2'26
-100%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $1.0M sold · 30d window
Baker Paul Christop…COO
$289K
May 6
SELL
Baker Paul Christop…COO
$5K
May 5
SELL
Baker Paul Christop…COO
$462K
Apr 28
SELL
Murray Michael Andr…Dir
$291K
Apr 17
SELL
Murray Michael Andr…Dir
$190K
Apr 15
SELL
Murray Michael Andr…Dir
$526K
Apr 13
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
12.1M
2
AWM Investment Company, Inc.
11.8M
3
STATE STREET CORP
11.3M
4
ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP
7.2M
5
Telemark Asset Management, LLC
7.0M
6
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
4.3M
7
Herald Investment Management Ltd
1.9M
8
Mitsubishi UFJ Kokusai Asset Management Co., Ltd.
1.6M
News & Activity

KOPN News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

we are a leading developer and provider of innovative wearable technologies used by our customers to make products for consumers, military, and industry. kopin is a leading developer and provider of technologies and solutions that enhance the visual, verbal, audio, and head-gesture command capabilities of wearable headset products. innovation is in our dna. we are enabling a new tomorrow in which computing technology becomes a seamless extension of the human experience. kopin’s technologies and solutions are available as components providing individual capabilities or as reference systems providing integrated solutions. for nearly three decades, kopin’s scientists and engineers have created innovative technologies that have enhanced the way people see, hear, and communicate. kopin has a long history of developing technologies required for wearable computing headsets for the military, consumers, or industry. kopin has contributed to the development of head-mounted displays for the f-35

Industry
Semiconductor and Related Device Manufacturing
CEO
John Fan
Tom R. FutchSenior Vice President of Sales & Marketing - Solos
William MaffucciSenior Vice President of Product Development and Strategy
Michael MurrayChief Executive Officer, President & Chairman
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
KOPN
$5.05+0.00%$924M493.91500
$225.32-4.42%$5.5T45.6+6547.4%5560.3%1502
$300.23+0.68%$4.4T36.0+642.6%2691.5%1482
$421.92+3.05%$3.1T25.0+1493.2%3614.6%1460
$425.19-3.32%$2.0T80.7+2387.4%3619.8%1500
$724.66-6.62%$817.2B33.8+4885.1%2284.5%1532
$424.10-5.69%$691.5B138.6+3433.8%1251.5%1516
Sector avg-2.33%122.0+3231.6%3170.4%1499