LION
Next earnings: May 28, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move-0.24%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 58Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
12.65
Open
12.58
Day Range12.43 – 12.84
12.43
12.84
52W Range5.55 – 12.84
5.55
12.84
97% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.9M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-66.4x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+1.69%
5D
+3.77%
1M
+30.14%
3M
+42.45%
6M
+98.90%
YTD
+38.55%
1Y
+85.21%
Best: 6M (+98.90%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -13% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 0.5 (low) · FCF negative
Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$3.66B
Revenue TTM$2.79B
Net Income TTM-$246.70M
Free Cash Flow-$78.90M
Gross Margin34.3%
Net Margin-8.8%
Operating Margin2.6%
Return on Equity20.9%
Return on Assets-4.7%
Debt / Equity-0.12
Current Ratio0.46
EPS TTM$-0.85
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Theatrical box office performance of major releases (John Wick, Hunger Games franchises) - $100M+ domestic openings drive significant upside

Volume and pricing of streaming content deals with Netflix, Apple TV+, Amazon - multi-year output deals provide revenue visibility

Library licensing revenue trends - recurring income from 17,000+ title catalog provides baseline cash flow

Content slate announcements and greenlight activity - signals future revenue pipeline and platform demand

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-high - Theatrical revenue directly correlates with consumer discretionary spending as moviegoing competes with other entertainment options during economic weakness. Television production less cyclical due to multi-year platform commitments, but streaming platforms reduce content orders during advertising slowdowns or subscriber pressure. International markets (30-40% of revenue) add GDP sensitivity across multiple geographies. Historical data shows 15-25% theatrical revenue declines during recessions.

Interest Rates

Rising rates pressure valuation multiples for negative free cash flow growth companies and increase production financing costs (revolving credit facilities tied to SOFR). However, limited direct rate sensitivity as content production is not capital-intensive like infrastructure. Higher rates indirectly impact streaming platform content budgets as tech valuations compress and profitability focus intensifies, potentially reducing orders. Debt refinancing risk moderate given negative equity position suggests complex capital structure.

Key Risks

Streaming platform vertical integration: Netflix, Amazon, Disney prioritizing owned content over third-party producers, reducing demand for independent content and pricing power

Theatrical window compression and direct-to-streaming releases eroding traditional distribution economics and backend participation

Talent cost inflation with A-list actors/directors commanding $20M+ upfront plus backend, compressing producer margins on tentpole releases

Investor Profile

value/special situations - Stock attracts investors focused on post-separation restructuring story, potential M&A target valuation (0.9x P/S below peers), and turnaround from negative FCF to profitability. Recent 24% three-month return suggests momentum interest, but negative margins and declining revenue limit pure growth investor appeal. Requires tolerance for hit-driven volatility and balance sheet complexity. Not suitable for income investors given no dividend and negative FCF.

Watch on Earnings
Quarterly theatrical box office gross for major releases and market share trendsTelevision production episode deliveries and average production fee per episodeAdjusted EBITDA margin and trajectory toward positive free cash flowContent spending as percentage of revenue and return on content investment
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
35/100
Liquidity
0.46Concern
Leverage
-0.12Strong
Coverage
0.3xConcern
ROE
20.9%Strong
ROIC
2.0%Concern
Cash
$182MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE8 analysts
BUY
-4.9%downside to target
L $11.00
Med $12.00consensus
H $14.00
Buy
788%
Hold
113%
7 Buy (88%)1 Hold (13%)0 Sell (-1%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 58 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.46 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 14.8%

+76.9% vs SMA 50 · +103.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI58.1
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.41
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$12.84+1.7%
Current
$12.62
EMA 50
$7.41-41.3%
EMA 200
$6.22-50.7%
52W Low
$5.54-56.1%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$5.5497th %ile$12.84
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:3
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.5M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.0M-21%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$3.1B
$3.1B$3.2B
$0.26
±6%
Low2
FY2025
$2.6B
$2.5B$2.6B
-18.1%-$0.24
±6%
High7
FY2026(current)
$3.2B
$3.1B$3.2B
+23.5%$0.27
±6%
High7
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryLION
Last 7Q
-53.7%avg beat
Beat 2 of 7 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
+67%
Q3'24
-417%
Q4'24
+300%
Q1'25
-66%
Q2'25
-167%
Q3'25
-43%
Q4'25
-50%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Analysts turning cautious
30d01
90d01
CitigroupBuy → Neutral
Apr 20
DOWNGRADE
Seaport GlobalNeutral → Buy
Aug 5
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
3 Buys/3 SellsNeutral
Burns Michael Raymo…Vice Chair
$196K
Dec 23
SELL
Feltheimer JonCEO
$1.6M
Dec 22
SELL
Goldsmith BrianCOO
$213K
Dec 18
SELL
Liberty 77 Capital …10 Percent Own…
$403K
Jul 9
BUY
Liberty 77 Capital …10 Percent Own…
$2.8M
Jul 7
BUY
Liberty 77 Capital …10 Percent Own…
$458K
Jun 26
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
KORNITZER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC /KS
1.1M
2
PEREGRINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
563K
3
Nuveen, LLC
526K
4
HARBOR CAPITAL ADVISORS, INC.
245K
5
Sequoia Financial Advisors, LLC
219K
6
CREDIT INDUSTRIEL ET COMMERCIAL
193K
7
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
182K
8
HERBST GROUP, LLC
174K
News & Activity

LION News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

PeersCommunication Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
LION
$12.62+1.69%$3.7B-1253.3%-882.6%1500
$383.25+0.23%$4.7T29.1+1512.6%3280.0%1522
$379.64+0.34%$4.6T29.1+1512.6%3280.0%1521
$610.41-0.52%$1.5T21.9+2216.7%3008.4%1498
$91.02-1.66%$387.6B29.1+1585.1%2430.4%1487
$194.42+0.29%$212.2B20.5+848.8%1244.7%1492
$47.57+0.17%$202.9B11.7+252.5%1242.8%1513
Sector avg+0.08%23.6+953.6%1943.4%1505