LOB
Next earnings: Jul 22, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-1.14%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 53Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
37.60
Open
37.65
Day Range37.04 – 37.78
37.04
37.78
52W Range25.53 – 42.89
25.53
42.89
67% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
276.9K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
14.2x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.00%
Beta
1.49
Market-like
Performance
1D
-1.14%
5D
-0.67%
1M
+11.32%
3M
-9.67%
6M
+19.36%
YTD
+8.21%
1Y
+36.25%
Best: 1Y (+36.25%)Worst: 3M (-9.67%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +13% YoY · 50% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 14x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.0 (low) · FCF $1.53/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.72B
Revenue TTM$1.06B
Net Income TTM$124.10M
Free Cash Flow$70.39M
Gross Margin50.1%
Net Margin11.7%
Operating Margin17.6%
Return on Equity10.4%
Return on Assets0.8%
Debt / Equity0.08
Current Ratio0.00
EPS TTM$2.70
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

SBA loan origination volumes and gain-on-sale margins (secondary market premiums fluctuate with investor demand)

Net interest margin expansion or compression driven by funding costs versus loan yields in niche verticals

Credit quality metrics in specialized portfolios (veterinary, dental, funeral home charge-offs typically run 0.3-0.8% vs 1.0%+ for general commercial)

Loan portfolio growth rate in target verticals and new vertical expansion announcements

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-high - Live Oak's borrowers (veterinary practices, dental offices, funeral homes) exhibit recession-resistant demand characteristics, but loan origination volumes are highly sensitive to small business formation rates and acquisition activity within target verticals. During economic expansions, veterinary practice acquisitions by private equity and consolidation activity drive loan demand. In recessions, origination volumes decline 20-40% as business owners delay expansion, though existing portfolio performance remains relatively stable given non-discretionary nature of services. The 12% revenue growth suggests current expansion-phase dynamics.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity with asymmetric impact. Rising rates benefit net interest margin as loan yields reprice faster than deposit costs (estimated 60% of loans are floating or reprice within 12 months vs 40% of deposits). However, higher rates reduce SBA loan secondary market premiums (gain-on-sale margins compress 200-400bps when 10-year Treasury rises 100bps) and dampen small business borrowing demand. The current 48.3% gross margin (likely reflecting strong gain-on-sale activity) is vulnerable to rate volatility. Conversely, falling rates compress NIM but expand SBA loan sale premiums and origination volumes.

Key Risks

SBA program changes or government shutdown disrupting loan originations and secondary market liquidity (SBA 7(a) program subject to annual authorization and policy changes)

Consolidation in target verticals (veterinary, dental) by large corporate buyers reducing addressable market for independent practice financing

Technology disruption enabling non-bank lenders or fintech competitors to replicate vertical-specific underwriting models at lower cost

Investor Profile

growth - The 30.2% EPS growth, 34% net income growth, and 20.7% one-year return attract growth investors seeking exposure to a differentiated banking model with above-average profitability (10% net margin vs 15-25% for typical regional banks suggests room for margin expansion). The 26.1% FCF yield appeals to value-oriented investors, while the 1.5x price-to-book suggests the market is pricing in continued ROE expansion from current 9.1% toward peer group averages of 12-15%. The specialty lending focus and technology platform create a growth narrative distinct from traditional regional banks.

Watch on Earnings
10-year Treasury yield and SBA loan secondary market premiums (inverse relationship drives gain-on-sale revenue volatility)Federal funds rate and deposit beta (percentage of rate changes passed through to depositors affects NIM)Small business optimism index (NFIB) as leading indicator for loan origination demand in target verticalsHigh-yield credit spreads as proxy for risk appetite and secondary market liquidity for SBA loan sales
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
26/100
Liquidity
0.00Concern
Leverage
0.08Strong
Coverage
0.4xConcern
ROE
10.4%Watch
ROIC
0.8%Concern
Cash
$865MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE8 analysts
BUY
+10.3%upside to target
Buy
675%
Hold
225%
6 Buy (75%)2 Hold (25%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 53 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.00 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentOct 9, 2026
In 159 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 22.6%

+7.6% vs SMA 50 · +32.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI53.2
Neutral territory
MACD+0.76
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$42.89+15.4%
Current
$37.17
EMA 50
$35.65-4.1%
EMA 200
$29.73-20.0%
52W Low
$25.53-31.3%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$25.5367th %ile$42.89
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:2
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)235K
Recent Vol (5D)
215K-8%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$427.4M
$422.3M$432.6M
$2.47
±2%
Low1
FY2024
$497.7M
$497.2M$498.2M
+16.4%$1.71-31.0%
±3%
Low2
FY2025
$572.5M
$571.2M$573.9M
+15.0%$1.98+15.9%
±10%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryLOB
Last 8Q
-2.0%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
-23%
Q2'24
+28%
Q3'24
-50%
Q4'24
-45%
Q2'25
-2%
Q3'25
-5%
Q4'25
+70%
Q1'26
+11%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Mahan James S IiiCEO
$328K
Mar 11
SELL
Mahan James S IiiCEO
$325K
Mar 12
SELL
Mahan James S IiiCEO
$367K
Mar 4
SELL
Mahan James S IiiCEO
$313K
Mar 5
SELL
Mahan James S IiiCEO
$41K
Mar 5
SELL
Seward Gregory WGeneral Counsel
$110K
Mar 2
SELL
Financials
Dividends0.32% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield0.32%
Quarterly Div.$0.0300
Est. Annual / Share$0.12
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
WHITTIER TRUST CO
226K
2
Trust Co of the South
168K
3
WHITTIER TRUST CO OF NEVADA INC
117K
4
E. Ohman J:or Asset Management AB
99K
5
Nuveen, LLC
74K
6
CHATHAM CAPITAL GROUP, INC.
53K
7
OPPENHEIMER ASSET MANAGEMENT INC.
48K
8
SALEM INVESTMENT COUNSELORS INC
38K
News & Activity

LOB News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. (Nasdaq: LOB) is a financial holding company and parent company of Live Oak Bank. Live Oak Bancshares and its subsidiaries partner with businesses that share a groundbreaking focus on service and technology to redefine banking.

Industry
Commercial Banking
Mike McGinleyExecutive Vice President of Small Business Banking
E. Dawn ThompsonSenior Vice President of Government Relations
William C. LoschPresident
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
LOB
$37.17-1.14%$1.7B13.7+1204.8%996.7%1500
$312.47-0.24%$842.7B14.8+330.7%2039.3%1502
$328.03-0.55%$628.8B28.2+1134.0%5014.5%1498
$495.46-1.48%$438.6B28.4+1641.6%4564.7%1488
$53.24-0.41%$382.1B12.2-45.1%1592.6%1501
$190.18-0.22%$302.0B16.4+1147.7%1466.4%1516
$923.71-0.01%$274.1B15.5-138.4%1373.0%1515
Sector avg-0.58%18.5+753.6%2435.3%1503