LOB

Fair Value

Price (monthly) Fair value line (dashed = analyst estimates) above fair value below fair value
Fairly valued
-3%
vs fair value
Price
$42.6
Fair value
$44.14
Today's multiple
15.0x
Fair value multiple
15.9x
Typical multiple, 20y
18.4x
Adjusted EPS growth rate
15.9%
Trailing 12M adjusted EPS
$2.84
FY20142016201720192020202120222023202420252026E2027E
High19.8526.0020.3750.1697.8091.0346.5150.2241.33
Low12.1418.1513.258.0839.6428.4420.0531.6623.17
Adj EPS0.340.500.960.451.393.713.921.641.452.223.09E4.20E
Chg/Yr+47%+90%-53%+212%+167%+6%-58%-12%+53%+39%+36%
Div0.000.070.100.120.120.120.120.120.120.12
How these numbers are calculated

Fair value (15.9x) multiplies each year's earnings per share by a growth-based multiple: steady growers (5–15% a year) get 15x, faster growers get their growth rate as the multiple (capped at 30x), and slower growers step down below 15x. LOB has grown earnings about 15.9% a year, so the line uses 15.9x.

Typical multiple (18.4x) is what investors have actually paid for LOB: each of the last 20 fiscal years' average share price divided by that year's earnings per share, taking the median (loss years excluded). It shows how the market has historically priced this specific company, next to the general fair-value rule.

Today's multiple (15.0x) is what the market is paying right now: the current price divided by the last twelve months of earnings (the four most recent reported quarters). Compare it to the two reference multiples above to see whether today's pricing is rich or cheap.

Earnings are adjusted figures on the same basis analysts forecast, built from reported quarters; years beyond the last completed fiscal year use the analyst consensus (dashed). The verdict calls a stock over- or undervalued only when the price sits more than 10% from the fair value line.

Data is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.