MLYS
Next earnings: Aug 11, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move+0.40%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 26Oversold — bounce setup
PRICE
Prev Close
27.27
Open
27.29
Day Range26.77 – 27.69
26.77
27.69
52W Range12.59 – 47.65
12.59
47.65
42% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.2M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-13.9x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+0.40%
5D
-5.98%
1M
-9.99%
3M
-0.80%
6M
-32.97%
YTD
-24.55%
1Y
+78.26%
Best: 1Y (+78.26%)Worst: 6M (-32.97%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
thin 0% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 44.3 · FCF negative
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.82B
Revenue TTM$0.00
Net Income TTM-$151.78M
Free Cash Flow-$136.41M
Gross Margin0.0%
Net Margin0.0%
Operating Margin0.0%
Return on Equity-27.9%
Return on Assets-23.2%
Debt / Equity0.00
Current Ratio44.33
EPS TTM$-1.83
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Phase 3 trial design announcements and FDA alignment on registration pathway for lorundrostat

Clinical data readouts showing blood pressure reduction magnitude, durability, and safety versus standard of care

FDA regulatory milestones including IND clearances, breakthrough therapy designation potential, and NDA submission timing

Partnership announcements or licensing deals that validate lorundrostat's commercial potential and provide non-dilutive funding

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Clinical-stage biotech operations are largely insulated from GDP fluctuations. R&D spending follows scientific timelines rather than economic cycles. However, capital markets access for financing is cyclically sensitive. During recessions or risk-off periods, biotech IPO/follow-on markets can freeze, creating refinancing risk for cash-burning companies. Patient enrollment in trials generally unaffected by economic conditions given chronic disease focus.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact MLYS through two channels: (1) Valuation compression - pre-revenue biotechs are valued on discounted future cash flows 5-10 years out, making them highly duration-sensitive. Higher discount rates significantly reduce NPV of potential approval scenarios. (2) Opportunity cost - as risk-free rates rise, speculative biotech investments become less attractive versus safer alternatives, reducing investor appetite for clinical-stage names. The company's cash balance earns higher yields in rising rate environment (modest positive), but this is overwhelmed by valuation multiple compression. Current negative cash flow means no benefit from operational leverage to rates.

Key Risks

Binary clinical risk: Phase 3 failure would likely render equity worthless. Cardiovascular outcomes trials require large patient populations (1000+ patients), multi-year duration, and have historically high failure rates even after positive Phase 2 results

FDA regulatory pathway uncertainty for novel mechanism. Aldosterone synthase inhibition is unproven class; agency may require cardiovascular outcomes data beyond blood pressure reduction, significantly extending timeline and capital requirements

Reimbursement risk: Payers increasingly scrutinizing hypertension therapies given availability of low-cost generics. Lorundrostat would need to demonstrate compelling outcomes benefit or cost-effectiveness in resistant population to achieve favorable formulary positioning

Investor Profile

growth/speculative - Attracts biotech-specialized investors, hedge funds with event-driven strategies around clinical catalysts, and retail momentum traders. The 191% one-year return and -36.9% three-month return demonstrate extreme volatility typical of binary clinical-stage names. Not suitable for value or income investors given zero revenue, negative cash flow, and no dividend. Institutional ownership likely concentrated among healthcare-focused funds with expertise evaluating clinical risk/reward. The recent 92.4% six-month return followed by sharp pullback suggests momentum-driven trading around clinical updates.

Watch on Earnings
Phase 3 trial enrollment milestones and patient randomization rates versus guidanceQuarterly cash burn rate and remaining runway to key clinical readoutsBlood pressure reduction data (systolic/diastolic mm Hg) versus baseline and competitive benchmarksSafety signals particularly hyperkalemia rates, adrenal insufficiency markers, and cardiovascular adverse events
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
48/100
Liquidity
44.33Strong
Leverage
0.00Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-27.9%Concern
ROIC
-26.9%Concern
Cash
$173MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE8 analysts
BUY
+89.9%upside to target
L $30.00
Med $52.00consensus
H $56.00
Buy
788%
Hold
113%
7 Buy (88%)1 Hold (13%)0 Sell (-1%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 26 — Oversold, watch for bounce
~
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 44.33 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 96 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 67.8%

-27.6% vs SMA 50 · +21.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI26.0
Oversold — potential bounce
MACD-3.06
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$47.65+74.0%
EMA 50
$34.85+27.3%
Current
$27.38
EMA 200
$22.58-17.5%
52W Low
$12.59-54.0%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$12.5942th %ile$47.65
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:2
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.3M
Recent Vol (5D)
890K-30%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 6 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$0-$2.39
±8%
High6
FY2026(current)
$557143
$342296$1.2M
-$2.32
±9%
High6
FY2027
$121.4M
$110.3M$132.5M
+21686.9%-$2.08
±50%
High6
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 6 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryMLYS
Last 8Q
+5.2%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
-14%
Q3'24
-36%
Q4'24
+2%
Q1'25
+23%
Q2'25
+15%
Q3'25
+21%
Q4'25
+23%
Q1'26
+8%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $666K sold · 30d window
Rodman David MalcomChief Medical …
$65K
May 11
SELL
Rodman David MalcomChief Medical …
$186K
May 12
SELL
Rodman David MalcomChief Medical …
$402K
May 13
SELL
Rodman David MalcomChief Medical …
$13K
Apr 17
SELL
Rodman David MalcomChief Medical …
$373K
Apr 13
SELL
Rodman David MalcomChief Medical …
$176K
Apr 15
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Catalys Pacific, LLC
7.9M
2
RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.
7.7M
3
Samsara BioCapital, LLC
5.9M
4
FMR LLC
4.9M
5
BlackRock, Inc.
4.5M
6
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP
3.4M
7
STATE STREET CORP
2.9M
8
Caligan Partners LP
2.8M
News & Activity

MLYS News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

at mineralys therapeutics we aim to redefine hypertension diagnosis, management and treatment. we are driven to break the “trial and failure” approach to hypertension management and bring a personalized approach to the management of hypertension.

Industry
Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)
Jon CongletonPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Michael TortoriciSenior Vice President of Translational Medicine
Danielle MahoneySenior Vice President of Quality Assurance
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
MLYS
$27.38+0.40%$1.8B1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-2.49%50.3+398824.8%-4085.6%1500