MVIS
Next earnings: Aug 12, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish21
Price
1
Move-7.12%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume3.5× avgSurge — unusual activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 62Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
0.60
Open
0.60
Day Range0.53 – 0.60
0.53
0.60
52W Range0.51 – 1.73
0.51
1.73
4% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
6.2M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-1.8x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
2.23
High vol
Performance
1D
-7.12%
5D
-11.66%
1M
-17.62%
3M
-25.91%
6M
-39.15%
YTD
-32.76%
1Y
-47.96%
Worst: 1Y (-47.96%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -64% YoY · thin -1337% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 1.0 · FCF negative
Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$182.06M
Revenue TTM$1.55M
Net Income TTM-$91.50M
Free Cash Flow-$60.70M
Gross Margin-1337.1%
Net Margin-5887.8%
Operating Margin-5079.7%
Return on Equity-139.2%
Return on Assets-83.0%
Debt / Equity1.35
Current Ratio1.05
EPS TTM$-0.30
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Automotive Tier-1 partnership announcements or OEM design win confirmations (e.g., supply agreements with Bosch, Continental, Magna)

LiDAR performance demonstrations showing competitive range (250m+ detection), resolution, or cost advantages versus Luminar/Innoviz benchmarks

Equity financing announcements and cash runway extensions (dilution concerns versus bankruptcy risk)

Automotive LiDAR market adoption news including regulatory mandates (ADAS requirements in EU/China) or competitor setbacks

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - As a pre-revenue company dependent on automotive OEM capital allocation decisions, MicroVision faces significant cyclical exposure. During economic downturns, automakers delay or cancel advanced technology programs, extend development timelines, and reduce supplier diversity. The 18-36 month automotive development cycles mean current macro conditions affect partnership decisions that determine revenue 3-5 years forward. Additionally, consumer vehicle purchase deferrals during recessions reduce OEM willingness to invest in premium ADAS features that incorporate LiDAR technology.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create multiple headwinds: (1) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for pre-revenue growth stocks, particularly those requiring years to reach profitability; (2) Increased financing costs for automotive OEMs reduce capital available for advanced technology investments; (3) Higher rates strengthen the dollar, making exports more expensive if manufacturing occurs domestically; (4) Reduced risk appetite among growth investors limits access to equity capital markets for cash-burning development-stage companies. The company's 2.88x current ratio provides near-term liquidity but rising rates accelerate the urgency for partnership monetization.

Key Risks

Automotive LiDAR market adoption uncertainty as Tesla's camera-only approach gains traction and Chinese competitors (Hesai, RoboSense) offer sub-$500 sensors versus MicroVision's estimated $1000+ target pricing

Technology obsolescence risk as solid-state LiDAR and 4D imaging radar mature, potentially bypassing MEMS-based scanning architectures before MicroVision achieves commercialization

Extended automotive qualification timelines (AEC-Q100, ISO 26262 functional safety) requiring 2-3 years of validation testing, during which competitors advance and cash reserves deplete

Investor Profile

momentum/speculative - The stock attracts retail momentum traders and speculative growth investors betting on binary partnership outcomes rather than fundamental investors. With no revenue, negative margins, and existential cash concerns, traditional value or income investors avoid the name. The investment case depends entirely on securing a transformational partnership before cash depletion, creating lottery-ticket dynamics. High short interest (historically 15-25% of float) reflects skepticism about commercialization viability, while retail enthusiasm around autonomous vehicle themes drives periodic short squeezes on partnership rumors.

Watch on Earnings
Automotive LiDAR market penetration rates in new vehicle production (currently <2% of global production)MicroVision cash balance and quarterly burn rate trend (target: extension below $20M/quarter)Competitor design win announcements from Luminar, Innoviz, Valeo indicating market share allocationAutomotive production volumes for ADAS-equipped vehicles in key markets (US, EU, China)
Health Radar
1 strong2 watch3 concern
32/100
Liquidity
1.05Watch
Leverage
1.35Watch
Coverage
-9.4xConcern
ROE
-139.2%Concern
ROIC
-82.6%Concern
Cash
$32MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE8 analysts
BUY
+798.0%upside to target
Buy
563%
Hold
338%
5 Buy (63%)3 Hold (38%)0 Sell (-1%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 62 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.05
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 18, 2026
In 125 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 30.7%

-13.2% vs SMA 50 · -39.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI61.9
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.01
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$1.73+210.7%
EMA 200
$0.8978+61.2%
EMA 50
$0.6800+22.1%
Current
$0.5568
52W Low
$0.5100-8.4%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$0.51004th %ile$1.73
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:3
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)6.0M
Recent Vol (5D)
16.5M+175%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$2.5M
$2.5M$2.5M
-$0.24
Low1
FY2026(current)
$10.2M
$10.2M$10.2M
+300.0%-$0.20
Low1
FY2027
$25.0M
$25.0M$25.0M
+145.1%-$0.16
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryMVIS
Last 8Q
-32.9%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
+15%
Q3'24
+30%
Q4'24
-17%
Q1'25
-100%
Q2'25
+8%
Q3'25
Q4'25
-140%
Q1'26
-60%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
20.4M
2
Hudson Bay Capital Management LP
3.0M
3
UBS Group AG
2.4M
4
MCF Advisors LLC
2.3M
5
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
2.3M
6
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
2.0M
7
Mitsubishi UFJ Kokusai Asset Management Co., Ltd.
2.0M
8
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
697K
News & Activity

MVIS News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

microvision is the creator of picop® scanning technology, an ultra-miniature laser projection and sensing solution based on the laser beam scanning methodology pioneered by the company. microvision's platform approach for this advanced display and sensing solution means that it can be adapted to a wide array of applications and form factors. it is an advanced solution for a rapidly evolving, always-on world. extensive research has led microvision to become an independently recognized leader in the development of intellectual property. microvision’s ip portfolio has been recognized by the patent board as a top 50 ip portfolio among global industrial companies and has been included in the ocean tomo 300 patent index. www.microvision.com | facebook at www.facebook.com/microvisioninc |twitter @microvision.

CEO
Sumit Sharma
Fabio LauraVice President of Product Engineering & Operations
Drew G. MarkhamSenior Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary, and Head of People Operations
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
MVIS
$0.56-7.12%$182M-7427.6%-786266.6%1500
$225.32-4.42%$5.5T45.6+6547.4%5560.3%1502
$300.23+0.68%$4.4T36.0+642.6%2691.5%1482
$421.92+3.05%$3.1T25.0+1493.2%3614.6%1460
$425.19-3.32%$2.0T80.7+2387.4%3619.8%1500
$724.66-6.62%$817.2B33.8+4885.1%2284.5%1532
$424.10-5.69%$691.5B138.6+3433.8%1251.5%1516
Sector avg-3.35%60.0+1708.8%-109606.3%1499