NE
Next earnings: Aug 4, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-1.92%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 53Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
50.93
Open
50.34
Day Range49.61 – 50.74
49.61
50.74
52W Range22.04 – 54.57
22.04
54.57
86% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.0M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
34.9x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-1.92%
5D
-0.10%
1M
+0.87%
3M
+34.93%
6M
+74.22%
YTD
+76.88%
1Y
+125.20%
Best: 1Y (+125.20%)Worst: 1D (-1.92%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -3% · 22% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 35x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.0 · FCF $2.80/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$7.97B
Revenue TTM$3.20B
Net Income TTM$229.14M
Free Cash Flow$444.07M
Gross Margin22.4%
Net Margin7.2%
Operating Margin16.8%
Return on Equity5.0%
Return on Assets3.1%
Debt / Equity0.42
Current Ratio1.99
EPS TTM$1.44
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Offshore rig dayrate trends and contract awards - particularly ultra-deepwater floater rates which drive margin expansion

Fleet utilization rates and backlog additions - new multi-year contracts with oil majors signal sustained demand

Brent crude oil price levels - offshore projects typically require $60-70/bbl breakevens, sustained prices above $75/bbl drive exploration budgets

Competitor rig retirements and supply/demand balance - industry has removed 100+ rigs since 2015, tightening supply

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Offshore drilling demand is directly tied to oil company capital expenditure budgets, which correlate strongly with global GDP growth, industrial activity, and energy consumption. Economic slowdowns reduce oil demand forecasts, prompting E&P companies to defer or cancel offshore projects. The 2014-2020 downturn saw offshore rig utilization collapse from 85% to below 60% as oil prices crashed and operators prioritized onshore shale over deepwater.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through two channels: (1) Higher rates increase financing costs for capital-intensive rig construction or refinancing, though Noble's post-bankruptcy balance sheet has limited near-term debt maturities. (2) Rising rates strengthen the US dollar, which can pressure oil prices and reduce international drilling activity. However, the primary driver remains oil prices rather than rate levels directly.

Key Risks

Energy transition and peak oil demand - Long-term shift toward renewables could reduce offshore exploration budgets beyond 2030, though deepwater projects remain economically competitive at current oil prices

Onshore shale competition - US shale's lower breakevens ($40-50/bbl vs $60-70/bbl offshore) and faster cycle times make it preferred for marginal barrels, limiting offshore growth

Regulatory and environmental restrictions - Offshore drilling faces increasing permitting challenges, particularly in US waters and European jurisdictions, potentially limiting addressable market

Investor Profile

value/cyclical - Attracts investors seeking leverage to offshore drilling recovery and oil price upside. The 49.5% one-year return reflects momentum from dayrate inflection. Post-bankruptcy equity story appeals to distressed/special situations investors and energy specialists willing to accept commodity exposure. Not suitable for ESG-focused or dividend-seeking investors given energy transition concerns and capital allocation prioritizing debt reduction over dividends.

Watch on Earnings
Brent crude oil spot price and forward curve structure (backwardation vs contango signals market tightness)Offshore rig utilization rates by class (IHS Petrodata publishes monthly data)Average contracted dayrates for ultra-deepwater floaters (leading indicator of margin expansion)Oil major capex guidance and offshore allocation percentages (Exxon, Chevron, Shell quarterly updates)
Health Radar
1 strong2 watch3 concern
40/100
Liquidity
1.99Watch
Leverage
0.42Strong
Coverage
3.3xWatch
ROE
5.0%Concern
ROIC
5.7%Concern
Cash
$471MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE44 analysts
HOLD
-9.9%downside to target
L $33.00
Med $45.00consensus
H $59.00
Buy
1432%
Hold
1739%
Sell
1330%
14 Buy (32%)17 Hold (39%)13 Sell (29%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 53 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.99 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 7, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 4, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 117 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 37.0%

+3.8% vs SMA 50 · +42.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI52.6
Neutral territory
MACD+0.84
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$54.57+9.2%
Current
$49.95
EMA 50
$47.39-5.1%
EMA 200
$37.13-25.7%
52W Low
$22.04-55.9%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$22.0486th %ile$54.57
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:2
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.2M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.7M-21%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$2.5B
$2.4B$2.5B
$3.35
±3%
Low2
FY2024
$3.0B
$2.9B$3.1B
+20.1%$2.86-14.5%
±5%
High5
FY2025
$3.2B
$3.2B$3.3B
+8.0%$1.02-64.2%
±4%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryNE
Last 8Q
-23.9%avg beat
Beat 2 of 8 quartersMissed 6 Estimates falling
+12%
Q3'24
-28%
Q4'24
-19%
Q1'25
-42%
Q2'25
-72%
Q3'25
-26%
Q4'25
-40%
Q1'26
+24%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Noble Capital Marke…Market Perform
Dec 1
DOWNGRADE
CitigroupBuy → Neutral
Jul 10
DOWNGRADE
BTIGBuy
Jun 1
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $936K sold · 30d window
Howard JennieSVP, Gen. Coun…
$127K
Apr 30
SELL
Alting CarolineSVP, Ops. Exce…
$809K
Apr 28
SELL
Barker Richard B.EVP and CFO
$4.8M
Mar 18
SELL
Barker Richard B.EVP and CFO
$2.2M
Mar 18
SELL
Eifler Robert W.Dir
$3.4M
Mar 18
SELL
Eifler Robert W.Dir
$1.3M
Mar 18
SELL
Financials
Dividends5.01% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield5.01%
Quarterly Div.$0.5000
Est. Annual / Share$2.00
FrequencyQuarterly
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC
1.8M
2
VAUGHAN NELSON INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, L.P.
1.2M
3
UBS Group AG
1.1M
4
Hosking Partners LLP
1.1M
5
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
866K
6
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
780K
7
CWA Asset Management Group, LLC
708K
8
EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS, LLC
556K
News & Activity

NE News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Noble is a leading offshore drilling contractor for the oil and gas industry. The Company owns and operates one of the most modern, versatile and technically advanced fleets in the offshore drilling industry. Noble and its predecessors have been engaged in the contract drilling of oil and gas wells since 1921. Currently, Noble performs, through its subsidiaries, contract drilling services with a fleet of 24 offshore drilling units, consisting of 12 drillships and semisubmersibles and 12 jackups, focused largely on ultra-deepwater and high-specification jackup drilling opportunities in both established and emerging regions worldwide. Noble is an exempted company incorporated in the Cayman Islands with limited liability with registered office at P.O. BOX 309, Ugland House, S. Church Street, Grand Cayman, KY1-1104.

Richard BarkerExecutive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Jennie HowardSenior Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Blake A. DentonSenior Vice President of Marketing & Contracts
PeersEnergy(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
NE
$49.95-1.92%$8.0B34.6+744.8%659.6%1500
$154.88+0.77%$643.8B25.6-452.2%890.5%1498
$192.64+0.20%$384.4B34.7-464.4%666.9%1490
$123.32-1.27%$150.3B20.6+751.1%1360.5%1503
$76.12+0.94%$93.1B32.8+1377.7%2190.8%1497
$56.00+0.67%$83.7B25.4-159.8%938.1%1515
$260.51+3.16%$76.7B16.6-444.0%305.0%1499
Sector avg+0.36%27.2+193.3%1001.6%1500