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Medicare reimbursement rate changes under the Patient-Driven Payment Model (PDPM), with annual updates typically announced in late summer affecting October 1 rate years
Facility occupancy rates and skilled nursing mix (Medicare vs. Medicaid census), with Medicare patients generating 2-3x higher daily rates
Labor cost inflation and nursing staff availability, particularly registered nurse and certified nursing assistant wage pressures
Regulatory developments including state Medicaid rate adjustments and quality-based reimbursement initiatives
low - Demand for skilled nursing and senior living services is driven by demographic trends (aging population) rather than economic cycles. However, private pay occupancy in assisted living can show modest sensitivity to consumer wealth and confidence. Medicare and Medicaid reimbursements provide stable, counter-cyclical revenue base. The 13.7% revenue growth likely reflects occupancy recovery from pandemic lows and favorable reimbursement adjustments rather than economic expansion.
Rising interest rates have modest negative impact through higher financing costs for facility acquisitions or renovations, though NHC's low 0.12 debt-to-equity ratio minimizes this exposure. Higher rates can also pressure valuation multiples for healthcare REITs and facility operators. Conversely, rate increases may signal stronger economic conditions supporting private pay demand and state tax revenues funding Medicaid programs.
Regulatory reimbursement risk from Medicare payment model changes, Medicaid budget pressures in key states, and increasing quality-based payment adjustments that penalize lower-performing facilities
Demographic shift toward home-based care and aging-in-place preferences reducing institutional care demand, though offset by increasing 85+ population requiring higher acuity services
Litigation risk from patient care quality issues, falls, medication errors, and regulatory compliance failures leading to survey deficiencies
value - The 1.7x price-to-sales and 2.5x price-to-book ratios suggest modest valuation relative to growth prospects, attracting value investors seeking exposure to demographic tailwinds. The 52.6% net income growth and 65.7% one-year return indicate recent momentum, but the 3.0% FCF yield and healthcare facility focus appeal to investors seeking stable, defensive characteristics with potential dividend growth. Low debt levels and improving profitability metrics attract quality-focused value managers.
No analyst coverage available for this stock.
1 signal unavailable — limited data for this stock
Trend
+9.6% vs SMA 50 · +34.6% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
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NHC affiliates operate for themselves and third parties 75 skilled nursing facilities with 9,433 beds. NHC affiliates also operate 24 assisted living communities, five independent living communities, one behavioral health hospital, and 35 homecare programs. NHC's other services include Alzheimer's and memory care units, hospice services, pharmacy services, a rehabilitation services company, and providing management and accounting services to third party post-acute operators.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NHC◀ | $170.61 | +0.91% | $2.7B | 22.5 | +1638.0% | 794.5% | 1500 |
| $68.99 | -3.59% | $13.3B | — | +12626.1% | -14525.8% | 1500 | |
| $518.66 | -0.71% | $11.8B | — | +43205.3% | -3008.0% | 1500 | |
| $91.17 | +0.60% | $11.5B | — | +3288.2% | -4239.0% | 1500 | |
| $182.03 | -1.59% | $10.7B | 29.2 | +1871.5% | 680.1% | 1500 | |
| $223.34 | -0.59% | $10.6B | — | +6554.5% | -2868.8% | 1500 | |
| $76.39 | +1.81% | $10.5B | 51.8 | +2325815.3% | -19.7% | 1500 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.45% | — | 34.5 | +342142.7% | -3312.4% | 1500 |