NOAH
Earnings in 11 days · May 27, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move-0.67%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.2× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 52Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
10.47
Open
10.41
Day Range10.31 – 10.49
10.31
10.49
52W Range9.31 – 12.84
9.31
12.84
31% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
119.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
8.9x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.32
Market-like
Performance
1D
-1.69%
5D
-3.68%
1M
+4.60%
3M
-12.75%
6M
-3.59%
YTD
+4.28%
1Y
+7.06%
Best: 1Y (+7.06%)Worst: 3M (-12.75%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
78% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 9x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 154.3 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$4.73B
Revenue TTM$2.60B
Net Income TTM$558.68M
Free Cash Flow$0.00
Gross Margin78.1%
Net Margin21.5%
Operating Margin29.6%
Return on Equity5.7%
Return on Assets4.8%
Debt / Equity0.01
Current Ratio154.31
EPS TTM$40.05
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net asset inflows and total assets under management - reflects client confidence and revenue trajectory

China property sector developments - significant client exposure to real estate investments that have underperformed

Chinese regulatory changes affecting wealth management distribution and cross-border investment quotas

High-net-worth household formation and wealth accumulation rates in mainland China

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Revenue is directly tied to investment activity among affluent Chinese households, which contracts sharply during economic uncertainty. China's GDP growth, property market health, and equity market performance drive client risk appetite and willingness to allocate to alternative investments. The 21% revenue decline reflects cyclical pressures from China's property crisis and COVID-related disruptions to economic activity.

Interest Rates

Rising US interest rates create headwinds through multiple channels: (1) strengthening USD makes RMB-denominated investments less attractive for international diversification, (2) higher global rates reduce valuations of alternative assets in client portfolios, (3) increased opportunity cost versus fixed income reduces demand for illiquid alternative products. Chinese domestic rates also matter - PBOC easing supports asset prices but may signal economic weakness that dampens investment activity.

Key Risks

Chinese regulatory risk - government has intensified oversight of wealth management sector, restricting product types, fee structures, and cross-border flows. Common prosperity policies may limit growth of ultra-high-net-worth segment.

Disintermediation by banks and fintech platforms - traditional banks expanding wealth management arms with lower fees, while digital platforms like Ant Financial offer algorithm-driven allocation at fraction of Noah's costs.

Demographic headwinds - China's aging population and slower wealth creation among younger cohorts may constrain long-term client base expansion.

Investor Profile

value - Trading at 0.4x sales and 0.1x book value with 185% FCF yield suggests deep value opportunity, attracting contrarian investors betting on China recovery and mean reversion in wealth management activity. However, extreme valuation discount reflects significant skepticism about earnings quality, regulatory risk, and structural challenges. Not suitable for growth or momentum investors given negative revenue and earnings trends.

Watch on Earnings
USD/CNY exchange rate - affects reported financials and cross-border investment flowsChina Caixin PMI and GDP growth - leading indicators of high-net-worth investment activityChina property price indices (70-city new home prices) - critical for real estate fund performanceShanghai Composite and CSI 300 equity indices - drive secondary market fund performance and client sentiment
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
56/100
Liquidity
154.31Strong
Leverage
0.01Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
5.7%Concern
ROIC
4.3%Concern
Cash
$4.4BStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE13 analysts
BUY
-3.8%downside to target
Buy
1077%
Hold
215%
Sell
18%
10 Buy (77%)2 Hold (15%)1 Sell (8%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 52 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 154.31 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 96 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 5.0%

-2.2% vs SMA 50 · -7.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI52.3
Neutral territory
MACD+0.04
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$12.84+23.5%
EMA 200
$11.09+6.6%
EMA 50
$10.67+2.6%
Current
$10.40
52W Low
$9.31-10.5%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$9.3131th %ile$12.84
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:0
Dist days:0
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)116K
Recent Vol (5D)
47K-60%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$3.4B
$3.3B$4.1B
$15.20
±14%
High7
FY2024
$2.7B
$2.7B$2.7B
-20.8%$8.61-43.4%
±6%
Moderate3
FY2025
$2.5B
$2.5B$2.7B
-6.1%$10.18+18.2%
±6%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryNOAH
Last 8Q
-7.8%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
+14%
Q2'14
+33%
Q3'14
+4%
Q1'15
+10%
Q2'16
-50%
Q4'22
-44%
Q1'23
-6%
Q2'23
-24%
Q3'24
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
UBSBuy → Neutral
Oct 24
DOWNGRADE
UBSBuy
Nov 13
UPGRADE
JefferiesBuy
Aug 29
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesMarket Perform
Aug 29
DOWNGRADE
Financials
Dividends11.14% yield
+727.3% avg annual growth
Annual Yield11.14%
Annual Div.$1.1582
Est. Annual / Share$1.16
FrequencyAnnual
Q1'12
Q1'13
Q2'23
Q3'24
Q3'25

Dividend per payment — last 5 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Yiheng Capital Management, L.P.
6.7M
2
FIL Ltd
6.7M
3
FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC
2.0M
4
Tiger Pacific Capital LP
1.9M
5
BlackRock, Inc.
1.2M
6
DAVIS SELECTED ADVISERS
1.0M
7
PLATINUM INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LTD
994K
8
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC
747K
News & Activity

NOAH News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Noah Holdings Limited is a leading wealth and asset management service provider in China with a focus on high net worth individuals. In the first nine months of 2020, Noah distributed RMB73.4 billion (US$10.8 billion) of financial products. Through Gopher Asset Management, Noah had assets under management of RMB155.7 billion (US$22.9 billion) as of September 30, 2020.

Industry
Securities and Commodity Exchanges
CEO
Jingbo Wang
Country
China (Mainland)
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
NOAH
$10.40-1.69%$694M1.8-164.7%2125.1%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-2.39%18.7+725.7%2135.8%1500