NTCT
Earnings in 3 days · May 7, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move+0.83%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 59Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
33.70
Open
33.89
Day Range33.75 – 34.21
33.75
34.21
52W Range19.98 – 34.46
19.98
34.46
97% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
610.5K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
25.6x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.73
Low vol
Performance
1D
+0.83%
5D
+2.26%
1M
+5.30%
3M
+18.77%
6M
+22.23%
YTD
+25.57%
1Y
+60.74%
Best: 1Y (+60.74%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +5% YoY · 79% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 26x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.9 · FCF $3.84/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.45B
Revenue TTM$861.43M
Net Income TTM$95.91M
Free Cash Flow$275.48M
Gross Margin79.2%
Net Margin11.1%
Operating Margin12.8%
Return on Equity6.1%
Return on Assets4.1%
Debt / Equity0.04
Current Ratio1.92
EPS TTM$1.34
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Service provider capital expenditure trends, particularly 5G network buildouts and infrastructure modernization cycles that drive demand for monitoring tools

Enterprise IT spending on network security and observability, influenced by hybrid cloud adoption rates and cybersecurity threat environment

Product revenue mix shift between perpetual licenses (lumpy, higher upfront revenue) versus subscription/SaaS (recurring, lower initial recognition)

Operating margin trajectory and progress on cost restructuring initiatives given current -44.7% operating margin

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-to-high - NetScout's revenue is directly tied to enterprise IT capital budgets and telecommunications infrastructure spending, both of which contract during economic downturns. Service provider customers (estimated 40-50% of revenue) defer network upgrades and extend equipment lifecycles when facing subscriber pressure. Enterprise customers reduce discretionary monitoring tool purchases when prioritizing cost containment. However, cybersecurity spending (DDoS protection) demonstrates more resilience as threat environment remains constant regardless of economic conditions. The company's maintenance revenue base provides some stability, but new product sales exhibit cyclical sensitivity.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact NetScout through multiple channels: (1) Enterprise IT budgets face pressure as cost of capital increases and CFOs scrutinize discretionary technology spending, (2) Telecom service providers reduce capex when financing costs for 5G infrastructure rise, (3) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable software companies, particularly those with flat/declining revenue growth. The company's minimal debt (0.04 D/E) insulates it from direct financing cost increases, but customer financing constraints reduce deal velocity. Lower rates would stimulate infrastructure investment cycles and improve software valuation multiples.

Key Risks

Secular shift to cloud-native observability platforms (Datadog, Dynatrace, Splunk) that integrate monitoring, logging, and APM in unified SaaS offerings, reducing demand for on-premises packet analysis appliances

Telecommunications service provider consolidation and vendor rationalization reducing NetScout's addressable customer base and increasing pricing pressure from remaining large carriers

Open-source network monitoring tools and commoditization of basic traffic analysis capabilities eroding pricing power for legacy product lines

Investor Profile

value - The stock attracts value investors focused on the disconnect between negative accounting margins (-44.7% operating margin) and strong free cash flow generation (10% FCF yield). Current 2.5x P/S and 1.3x P/B valuations suggest market skepticism about growth prospects, appealing to investors betting on operational turnaround, cost restructuring, or potential private equity takeout given modest $2.1B market cap. The 30.8% six-month return indicates recent momentum from turnaround speculation or stabilization signals. Not suitable for growth investors given -0.8% revenue decline, nor dividend investors (no mention of dividend with negative net income).

Watch on Earnings
US enterprise IT spending growth rates and technology budget allocation surveys (Gartner, IDC) indicating network monitoring priorityGlobal telecommunications capital expenditure trends, particularly 5G infrastructure investment by major carriersCloud infrastructure spending growth (AWS, Azure, GCP revenue) as proxy for hybrid cloud adoption driving monitoring complexityCybersecurity threat landscape indicators (DDoS attack frequency/volume) supporting demand for Arbor protection products
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
62/100
Liquidity
1.92Watch
Leverage
0.04Strong
Coverage
53.5xStrong
ROE
6.1%Concern
ROIC
4.9%Concern
Cash
$457MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE19 analysts
HOLD
-14.7%downside to target
Buy
842%
Hold
947%
Sell
211%
8 Buy (42%)9 Hold (47%)2 Sell (11%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 59 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.92 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 10.5%

+24.4% vs SMA 50 · +37.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI59.3
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.35
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$34.46+1.4%
Current
$33.98
EMA 50
$27.39-19.4%
EMA 200
$24.70-27.3%
52W Low
$19.98-41.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$19.9897th %ile$34.46
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:11
Edge:+6 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)562K
Recent Vol (5D)
740K+32%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$792.9M
$783.8M$801.9M
-$8.21
±1%
Low1
FY2025
$812.7M
$803.4M$821.9M
+2.5%$2.19
±1%
Low1
FY2026(current)
$855.1M
$853.2M$856.9M
+5.2%$2.41+9.9%
±1%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryNTCT
Last 8Q
+28.0%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+4%
Q2'24
+115%
Q3'24
+4%
Q4'24
+27%
Q1'25
Q2'25
+17%
Q3'25
+40%
Q4'25
+16%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Piper SandlerUnderweight → Neutral
May 5
UPGRADE
Piper SandlerUnderweight
May 31
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Downing JohnEVP, World-Wid…
$90K
Feb 20
SELL
Szabados MichaelDir
$117K
Feb 18
SELL
Munshi SanjayCOO
$58K
Feb 18
SELL
Downing JohnEVP, World-Wid…
$88K
Feb 18
SELL
Munshi SanjayCOO
$54K
Dec 3
SELL
Hadzima Joseph G JrDir
$80K
Nov 19
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.
2.0M
2
SG Americas Securities, LLC
637K
3
Nuveen, LLC
561K
4
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
91K
5
WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC
74K
6
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
73K
7
Inspire Investing, LLC
69K
8
KLP KAPITALFORVALTNING AS
64K
News & Activity

NTCT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

a leading provider of business assurance – a powerful combination of service assurance, cybersecurity, and business intelligence solutions – for today’s most demanding service provider, enterprise and government networks. netscout’s adaptive service intelligence (asi) technology continuously monitors the service delivery environment to identify performance issues and provides insight into network-based security threats, helping teams to quickly resolve issues that can cause business disruptions or impact user experience. netscout delivers unmatched service visibility and protects the digital infrastructure that supports our connected world.

CEO
Anil Singhal
John W. DowningExecutive Vice President of Worldwide Sales Operations
Scott DresselAssistant Vice President of Corporate Finance
Anil K. SinghalCo-Founder, Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
NTCT
$33.98+0.83%$2.5B25.4-81.7%-4460.1%1500
$198.45-0.56%$4.8T40.2+6547.4%5560.3%1495
$280.25+3.24%$4.1T33.6+642.6%2691.5%1494
$414.19+1.63%$3.1T24.6+1493.2%3614.6%1477
$421.28+0.92%$2.0T80.0+2387.4%3619.8%1504
$542.21+4.84%$611.5B25.3+4885.1%2284.5%1534
$360.54+1.71%$587.8B135.6+3433.8%1251.5%1517
Sector avg+1.80%52.1+2758.3%2080.3%1503