OCUL
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+3.61%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume0.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 59Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
9.43
Open
9.43
Day Range9.43 – 9.84
9.43
9.84
52W Range6.23 – 16.44
6.23
16.44
35% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
5.5M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-6.9x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.42
Market-like
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -18% · 87% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 15.4 · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.13B
Revenue TTM$51.95M
Net Income TTM-$265.94M
Free Cash Flow-$216.89M
Gross Margin87.3%
Net Margin-511.9%
Operating Margin-519.8%
Return on Equity-71.7%
Return on Assets-32.9%
Debt / Equity0.12
Current Ratio15.39
EPS TTM$-1.19
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Phase 2/3 clinical trial readouts for pipeline candidates (OTX-TKI for wet AMD/DME, OTX-TIC for glaucoma)

FDA regulatory decisions including Biologics License Application approvals, Complete Response Letters, or advisory committee outcomes

DEXTENZA commercial adoption metrics including quarterly unit sales growth, ASP trends, and market penetration in cataract surgery centers

Partnership announcements or licensing deals for international markets or specific indications

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Elective cataract surgery volumes (primary DEXTENZA market) show modest correlation to consumer confidence and discretionary healthcare spending, as patients may defer procedures during economic uncertainty. However, Medicare coverage (65+ demographic) provides baseline demand stability. Pipeline indications targeting chronic diseases (wet AMD, DME) address medical necessity rather than elective procedures, reducing cyclical exposure. Overall sensitivity lower than consumer discretionary but higher than acute-care pharmaceuticals.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create multiple headwinds: (1) Higher discount rates compress NPV of future pipeline cash flows, particularly punitive for pre-revenue assets 5-7 years from commercialization; (2) Increased cost of capital for future financing rounds given negative cash flow profile; (3) Biotech sector multiple compression as risk-free alternatives become more attractive. The company's 15.39x current ratio provides liquidity buffer, but eventual need for capital raises makes rate environment critical. Conversely, falling rates would support valuation expansion and cheaper financing access.

Key Risks

Regulatory pathway uncertainty for novel drug-device combination products requiring both CDER and CDRH coordination, with potential for extended review timelines or additional clinical requirements

Reimbursement pressure from CMS and commercial payers scrutinizing premium-priced ophthalmic products, particularly as biosimilars enter adjacent markets

Manufacturing complexity and scale-up risk for hydrogel-based sustained-release platforms with limited contract manufacturing alternatives

Investor Profile

growth - The stock attracts speculative biotech investors focused on binary clinical/regulatory catalysts rather than current fundamentals. Negative earnings, minimal revenue base, and high volatility profile appeal to risk-tolerant growth investors betting on pipeline optionality. The -42% six-month return and -521% operating margin eliminate value and income investors. Momentum traders participate around data readouts and FDA decisions. Institutional ownership likely concentrated in healthcare-focused hedge funds and biotech specialists rather than broad index funds.

Watch on Earnings
DEXTENZA quarterly unit volume growth and average selling price trendsClinical trial milestone achievements and patient enrollment rates for OTX-TKI and OTX-TIC programsQuarterly cash burn rate and projected cash runway based on operating expense guidanceFDA regulatory correspondence and PDUFA action dates for pipeline candidates
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
49/100
Liquidity
15.39Strong
Leverage
0.12Strong
Coverage
-22.8xConcern
ROE
-71.7%Concern
ROIC
-35.5%Concern
Cash
$737MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE18 analysts
BUY
+161.0%upside to target
L $21.00
Med $25.50consensus
H $30.00
Strong Buy
16%
Buy
1583%
Hold
211%
16 Buy (89%)2 Hold (11%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
5 of 5 signals bullish
10/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 59 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 15.39 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 11.0%

-1.0% vs SMA 50 · -11.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI58.5
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD-0.04
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$16.44+68.3%
EMA 200
$10.29+5.4%
EMA 50
$9.95+1.9%
Current
$9.77
52W Low
$6.23-36.2%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$6.2335th %ile$16.44
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:1
Edge:+5 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.4M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.9M-18%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 9 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$54.8M
$53.7M$55.4M
-$1.45
±6%
High9
FY2026(current)
$55.7M
$54.4M$58.1M
+1.7%-$1.34
±14%
High9
FY2027
$116.8M
$60.3M$277.1M
+109.7%-$1.26
±42%
High8
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryOCUL
Last 8Q
-12.3%avg beat
Beat 2 of 8 quartersMissed 6 Estimates falling
-33%
Q2'24
-9%
Q3'24
-13%
Q4'24
-21%
Q1'25
-28%
Q2'25
-11%
Q3'25
+5%
Q4'25
+12%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Cowen & Co.Hold → Buy
Jun 20
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
1 Buy/5 SellsNet Selling
Dugel PravinDir
$166K
Feb 23
SELL
Kaiser PeterChief Developm…
$23K
Feb 23
SELL
Heier Jeffrey S.Chief Scientif…
$25K
Feb 23
SELL
Nayak SanjayChief Strategy…
$15K
Feb 23
SELL
Waheed NadiaChief Medical …
$27K
Feb 20
SELL
Lindstrom Richard L…Dir
$461K
Feb 20
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
SUMMER ROAD LLC
11.9M
2
DELTEC ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC
2.3M
3
Candriam S.C.A.
949K
4
PEREGRINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
720K
5
abrdn plc
558K
6
Nuveen, LLC
411K
7
Pictet Asset Management Holding SA
363K
8
E. Ohman J:or Asset Management AB
300K
News & Activity

OCUL News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

ocular therapeutix, inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the development, manufacturing and commercialization of innovative therapies for diseases and conditions of the eye using its proprietary hydrogel-based formulation technology. ocular therapeutix’s lead product candidate, dextenza™ (dexamethasone insert) 0.4 mg for intracanalicular use, has completed phase 3 clinical development for the treatment of ocular pain and inflammation following ophthalmic surgery. otx-tp (travoprost insert) is in phase 3 clinical development for the reduction of intraocular pressure in patients with glaucoma and ocular hypertension. the company’s earlier stage assets include otx-tic, a sustained release travoprost intracameral injection for the reduction in intraocular pressure in patients with glaucoma and ocular hypertension, as well as sustained release intravitreal injections for the treatment of retinal diseases. these injections include the development of otx-tki, a tyrosine kinase inhib

Industry
Research and Development in the Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences (except Nanotechnology and Biotechnology)
CEO
Antony Mattessich
Donald Notman Jr.CFO, COO & Principal Accounting Officer (Leave of Absence)
Jason RobinsSenior VP of Finance, Interim CFO & Principal Accounting Officer
Pravin U. DugelExecutive Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
OCUL
$9.77+0.00%$2.1B1500
$68.99+0.00%$13.4B1500
$91.17+0.00%$12.0B-4239.0%1500
$518.66+0.96%$11.9B-3008.0%1500
$223.70+8.31%$11.4B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$76.39+0.00%$10.7B52.9+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
$182.03+0.00%$10.6B1500
Sector avg+1.33%52.9+1166184.9%-2533.9%1500