OKLO
Earnings in 7 days · May 12, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-2.56%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 66Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
70.40
Open
70.45
Day Range68.51 – 72.30
68.51
72.30
52W Range24.53 – 193.84
24.53
193.84
26% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
10.4M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-95.3x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-2.56%
5D
-2.75%
1M
+40.69%
3M
+0.54%
6M
-38.88%
YTD
-4.40%
1Y
+169.34%
Best: 1Y (+169.34%)Worst: 6M (-38.88%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
thin 0% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 49.1 · FCF negative
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$11.91B
Revenue TTM$0.00
Net Income TTM-$105.66M
Free Cash Flow-$115.38M
Gross Margin0.0%
Net Margin0.0%
Operating Margin0.0%
Return on Equity-11.6%
Return on Assets-6.9%
Debt / Equity0.00
Current Ratio49.08
EPS TTM$-0.72
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

NRC regulatory milestones - combined license application progress, design certification status, and timeline clarity for first commercial approval

Customer contract announcements - signed PPAs with creditworthy offtakers (data centers, industrial facilities, utilities) providing revenue visibility

Fuel supply agreements and DOE partnership developments - access to HALEU (high-assay low-enriched uranium) fuel critical for Aurora reactor operation

Competitive positioning vs other SMR developers (NuScale, TerraPower, X-energy) on licensing timeline and commercial deployment schedule

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - As a pre-revenue development-stage company, near-term stock performance is more sensitive to regulatory/technical milestones than GDP. However, future commercial viability depends on industrial electricity demand growth, data center expansion, and corporate decarbonization commitments which correlate with economic expansion. Recession could delay customer PPA signings as capital projects get deferred, but long-term secular trends (AI power demand, grid decarbonization) provide counter-cyclical support.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Valuation - as a zero-revenue growth stock, Oklo trades on discounted future cash flows making it highly sensitive to discount rate changes; rising rates compress NPV of distant cash flows. (2) Project finance costs - nuclear projects are capital-intensive with 60-70% of levelized costs from upfront capex; higher rates increase financing costs and reduce project IRRs, potentially making PPAs less competitive vs alternatives. (3) Competitive positioning - rising rates hurt renewable energy economics similarly, but established technologies have lower risk premiums. Current 67.51 current ratio provides liquidity buffer but doesn't generate offsetting interest income at scale.

Key Risks

Regulatory approval uncertainty - NRC has never licensed a commercial advanced reactor design; approval timeline could extend 3-5+ years beyond company projections, exhausting capital runway before revenue generation

Fuel supply constraints - HALEU fuel production capacity in US is limited with only one domestic enrichment facility under development; supply chain bottlenecks could delay reactor deployment even after licensing

Technology execution risk - liquid metal fast reactor technology unproven at commercial scale in US; cost overruns, performance shortfalls, or safety incidents during initial deployment could be catastrophic

Investor Profile

growth/speculative - Attracts thematic investors betting on nuclear renaissance, AI power demand, and decarbonization trends. High-risk, high-reward profile appeals to venture-style public market investors willing to accept binary outcomes (regulatory approval vs failure). Not suitable for value investors (no earnings, extreme P/B of 8.4x) or income investors (no dividends, negative cash flow). Momentum traders active given 34.3% 1-year return despite -30.3% recent drawdown.

Watch on Earnings
NRC combined license application review status and estimated approval timeline for Idaho National Laboratory siteSigned PPA announcements with MW capacity and contract pricing ($/MWh) to validate commercial competitivenessQuarterly cash burn rate and remaining liquidity runway (months of operations funded)HALEU fuel supply agreements and DOE fuel bank access confirmations
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
50/100
Liquidity
49.08Strong
Leverage
0.00Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-11.6%Concern
ROIC
-8.9%Concern
Cash
$788MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE13 analysts
BUY
+66.2%upside to target
L $82.00
Med $114.00consensus
H $150.00
Buy
1077%
Hold
323%
10 Buy (77%)3 Hold (23%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 66 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 49.08 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 119 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 21.1%

+1.0% vs SMA 50 · -20.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI65.9
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD-5.00
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$193.8+182.6%
EMA 200
$73.35+6.9%
Current
$68.60
EMA 50
$66.79-2.6%
52W Low
$24.53-64.2%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$24.5326th %ile$193.8
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:1
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)22.5M
Recent Vol (5D)
20.8M-8%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 14 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$0-$0.61
±9%
High10
FY2026(current)
$2.0M
$2.0M$2.0M
-$0.77
±50%
High14
FY2027
$8.2M
$8.2M$8.2M
+304.3%-$0.90
±27%
High13
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryOKLO
Last 7Q
-1164.1%avg beat
Beat 1 of 7 quartersMissed 6 Estimates falling
-8001%
Q3'24
-3%
Q4'24
-12%
Q1'25
+30%
Q2'25
-64%
Q3'25
-48%
Q4'25
-50%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Bank of America Sec…Buy
Jan 21
UPGRADE
Seaport GlobalNeutral → Buy
Dec 8
UPGRADE
Seaport GlobalBuy → Neutral
Sep 23
DOWNGRADE
DaiwaHold → Outperform
Jul 27
UPGRADE
Craig-HallumHold
Jun 23
DOWNGRADE
Seaport GlobalNeutral → Buy
Jun 9
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $28.1M sold · 30d window
Dewitte JacobDir
$1.2M
May 1
SELL
Dewitte JacobDir
$2.8M
May 1
SELL
Dewitte JacobDir
$1.6M
May 1
SELL
Dewitte JacobDir
$3.0M
May 1
SELL
Dewitte JacobDir
$1.3M
May 1
SELL
Dewitte JacobDir
$4.2M
May 1
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
461K
2
EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS, LLC
299K
3
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
207K
4
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
127K
5
KLP KAPITALFORVALTNING AS
124K
6
Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc.
114K
7
Private Advisor Group, LLC
114K
8
COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC
97K
News & Activity

OKLO News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

PeersUtilities(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
OKLO
$68.60-2.56%$11.9B1500
$1073.95+1.03%$288.6B30.8+894.3%1283.0%1527
$95.51-1.49%$199.2B24.4+1100.1%2487.3%1510
$95.99-0.74%$108.2B24.7+1058.6%1499
$321.05+4.30%$100.3B43.3+833.8%908.2%1494
$127.45-0.89%$99.2B19.9+619.3%1541.1%1498
$134.66-1.64%$73.2B19.5+937.2%1643.5%1515
Sector avg-0.28%27.1+907.2%1572.6%1506