PRCH
Next earnings: Aug 4, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish11!
Price
1
Move+1.62%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 77Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
11.10
Open
11.10
Day Range10.89 – 11.36
10.89
11.36
52W Range6.36 – 19.44
6.36
19.44
36% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
3.2M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-74.9x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
2.42
High vol
Performance
1D
+1.62%
5D
+14.17%
1M
+52.85%
3M
+55.59%
6M
+5.22%
YTD
+23.55%
1Y
+5.92%
Best: 3M (+55.59%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +13% YoY · 72% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 0.8 (low) · FCF $0.68/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.21B
Revenue TTM$482.80M
Net Income TTM-$8.67M
Free Cash Flow$72.39M
Gross Margin72.4%
Net Margin-1.8%
Operating Margin10.3%
Return on Equity32.4%
Return on Assets-1.1%
Debt / Equity-15.71
Current Ratio0.82
EPS TTM$-0.08
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Mortgage origination volumes and home purchase activity - directly drives insurance placement opportunities

Insurance policy retention rates and renewal commissions - determines lifetime value economics

New mortgage lender partnership additions and penetration rates within existing partnerships

Regulatory developments in insurance distribution and mortgage servicing

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Revenue is directly correlated with residential real estate transaction volumes, which are highly cyclical. During economic expansions, home sales increase, mortgage originations rise, and Porch captures more insurance placements. Recessions reduce housing turnover, refinancing activity collapses when rates rise, and new home purchases decline sharply. The 2022-2025 mortgage market contraction likely pressured volumes significantly. Consumer confidence also affects willingness to purchase homes and spend on discretionary home services.

Interest Rates

Rising mortgage rates severely impact Porch through two channels: (1) Higher rates reduce home purchase affordability, suppressing transaction volumes and insurance placement opportunities. (2) Refinancing activity collapses when rates rise above prevailing mortgage rates, eliminating a significant source of insurance shopping moments. The company benefits asymmetrically from falling rates (stimulates purchases and refis) but suffers disproportionately when rates spike. Additionally, as a growth company with negative book value, higher discount rates compress valuation multiples.

Key Risks

Regulatory risk in insurance distribution - state insurance departments could restrict embedded insurance sales practices, commission structures, or require additional licensing that increases costs

Mortgage industry consolidation - fewer, larger lenders could demand better economics or build competing in-house solutions, reducing Porch's bargaining power

Technology disruption - direct-to-consumer insurance platforms (Lemonade, Hippo) or mortgage lender vertical integration could disintermediate Porch's embedded distribution model

Investor Profile

growth - Investors are betting on the company's ability to scale a high-margin insurance distribution model embedded in mortgage workflows, with software providing recurring revenue diversification. The 63% one-year return despite negative book value indicates momentum and turnaround interest. Recent profitability inflection (positive FCF, improving margins) attracts growth-at-reasonable-price investors, while high volatility appeals to tactical traders playing housing market cycles.

Watch on Earnings
MBA Mortgage Application Index - leading indicator of insurance placement volume 30-60 days forwardExisting home sales (NAR data) - measures housing transaction velocity driving insurance opportunities30-year fixed mortgage rates - inverse correlation with origination volumes and refinancing activityHomeowners insurance premium inflation trends - affects average revenue per placement
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
46/100
Liquidity
0.82Concern
Leverage
-15.71Strong
Coverage
0.9xConcern
ROE
32.4%Strong
ROIC
5.1%Concern
Cash
$53MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE13 analysts
BUY
-63.8%downside to target
L $4.00
Med $4.00consensus
H $20.00
Buy
1292%
Hold
18%
12 Buy (92%)1 Hold (8%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 77 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.82 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 9, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 6, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 31.3%

+41.5% vs SMA 50 · -2.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI76.7
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+0.87
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$19.44+75.9%
Current
$11.05
EMA 200
$10.56-4.4%
EMA 50
$8.31-24.8%
52W Low
$6.36-42.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$6.3636th %ile$19.44
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:1
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.3M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.6M-34%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$470.5M
$457.7M$493.9M
-$0.88
±5%
Low2
FY2024
$447.8M
$435.7M$470.1M
-4.8%-$0.56
±24%
Moderate3
FY2025
$415.3M
$415.0M$415.5M
-7.3%-$0.04
±50%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryPRCH
Last 8Q
+41.0%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
-23%
Q3'24
-141%
Q4'24
+150%
Q1'25
+129%
Q2'25
+115%
Q3'25
-25%
Q4'25
+63%
Q1'26
+60%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $13.0M sold · 30d window
Ehrlichman MattDir
$1.2M
May 5
SELL
Neagle MatthewCOO
$634K
May 5
SELL
Tabak ShawnCFO
$111K
May 5
SELL
Ehrlichman MattDir
$1.2M
May 1
SELL
Neagle MatthewCOO
$629K
May 1
SELL
Tabak ShawnCFO
$110K
May 1
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
1.5M
2
HENNESSY ADVISORS INC
1.4M
3
UBS Group AG
1.0M
4
Zweig-DiMenna Associates LLC
840K
5
MOODY NATIONAL BANK TRUST DIVISION
657K
6
HARBOR CAPITAL ADVISORS, INC.
507K
7
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
312K
8
Viewpoint Capital Management LLC
200K
News & Activity

PRCH News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Seattle-based Porch Group, the vertical software platform for the home, provides software and services to more than 10,500 home services companies such as home inspectors, moving companies, real estate agencies, utility companies, and warranty companies. Through these relationships and its multiple brands, Porch provides a moving concierge service to homebuyers, helping them save time and make better decisions on critical services, including insurance, moving, security, TV/internet, home repair and improvement, and more.

Industry
Software Publishers
Nicolas GrahamSenior Vice President & Group General Manager of Moving Division
John CampbellVice President of Investor Relations
Hilary CahillVice President of People
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
PRCH
$11.05+1.62%$1.2B+1017.8%317.5%1500
$216.23+1.77%$4.8T42.8+6547.4%5560.3%1494
$292.85-0.02%$4.2T34.5+642.6%2691.5%1491
$416.99+1.65%$3.1T25.0+1493.2%3614.6%1477
$425.43-3.03%$2.0T78.3+2387.4%3619.8%1503
$717.86-2.99%$722.0B30.2+4885.1%2284.5%1534
$440.00-3.07%$687.0B133.5+3433.8%1251.5%1514
Sector avg-0.58%57.4+2915.3%2762.8%1502