PRVA
Earnings in 3 days · May 7, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+0.00%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume2.1× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 64Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
24.85
Open
24.95
Day Range24.62 – 25.24
24.62
25.24
52W Range18.77 – 26.51
18.77
26.51
79% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
877.8K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
138.1x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.24
Market-like
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +22% · 10% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 138x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.6 · FCF $1.32/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$3.12B
Revenue TTM$2.12B
Net Income TTM$22.92M
Free Cash Flow$162.20M
Gross Margin9.6%
Net Margin1.1%
Operating Margin1.6%
Return on Equity3.3%
Return on Assets1.7%
Debt / Equity0.01
Current Ratio1.60
EPS TTM$0.19
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net provider additions and retention rates across the 3,000+ physician network, particularly in high-growth markets like Texas and North Carolina

Patient lives under management growth, especially Medicare Advantage lives which generate higher per-member fees and value-based care opportunities

Value-based care contract performance and shared savings realization rates, which directly impact margin expansion

New market launches and payer contract wins, particularly with large national health plans expanding value-based arrangements

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Healthcare utilization and physician practice operations are relatively recession-resistant, with demand driven by medical necessity rather than discretionary spending. However, economic downturns can impact commercial insurance enrollment if unemployment rises, potentially shifting mix toward lower-reimbursement Medicaid or uninsured populations. The company's focus on Medicare Advantage (serving seniors) provides additional stability. Value-based care adoption may accelerate during economic stress as payers seek cost containment, potentially benefiting Privia's model.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates have minimal direct impact on operations given negligible debt (0.01 D/E ratio) and limited financing needs. However, higher rates compress valuation multiples for growth-stage healthcare technology companies, as investors discount future cash flows more heavily. The company's path to profitability and cash generation becomes more critical in higher-rate environments. Additionally, if rates pressure healthcare system finances, payers may accelerate value-based care adoption to reduce costs, creating tailwinds for Privia's platform.

Key Risks

Regulatory changes to Medicare Advantage reimbursement rates or risk adjustment methodologies could reduce payer appetite for value-based contracts, limiting Privia's growth opportunity and shared savings potential

Shift toward direct primary care models or employer-sponsored health centers could disintermediate traditional physician practices and reduce demand for enablement platforms

Large health systems acquiring independent practices and bringing technology in-house, reducing the addressable market for third-party enablement platforms

Investor Profile

growth - The company attracts growth investors focused on the secular shift from fee-for-service to value-based care in healthcare delivery. Despite current low profitability (0.8% net margin), investors are betting on operating leverage as the provider network scales and value-based care revenue mix increases. The 1.3x Price/Sales ratio is modest for a healthcare technology company, suggesting the market is discounting execution risk given recent negative earnings growth. The stock appeals to thematic healthcare investors focused on care delivery transformation rather than traditional value or dividend investors.

Watch on Earnings
Medicare Advantage enrollment growth nationally (indicates addressable market expansion for value-based care)Primary care physician supply trends and practice consolidation rates in key markets (Mid-Atlantic, Southeast, Texas)Healthcare cost inflation and medical loss ratios at major payers (drives urgency for value-based care adoption)CMS Medicare Advantage benchmark rate changes and risk adjustment policy updates
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
46/100
Liquidity
1.60Watch
Leverage
0.01Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
3.3%Concern
ROIC
2.9%Concern
Cash
$480MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE22 analysts
BUY
+26.8%upside to target
L $26.00
Med $31.50consensus
H $36.00
Buy
2091%
Hold
29%
20 Buy (91%)2 Hold (9%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 64 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.60 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 13.6%

+2.3% vs SMA 50 · +16.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI63.9
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD-0.32
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$26.51+6.7%
Current
$24.85
EMA 50
$23.85-4.0%
EMA 200
$21.37-14.0%
52W Low
$18.77-24.5%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$18.7779th %ile$26.51
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:9
Edge:+6 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)903K
Recent Vol (5D)
937K+4%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 12 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$2.1B
$2.1B$2.1B
$0.13
±50%
High12
FY2026(current)
$2.4B
$2.4B$2.4B
+14.0%$0.35+166.1%
±20%
High12
FY2027
$2.6B
$2.6B$2.8B
+10.1%$0.45+28.4%
±27%
High12
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryPRVA
Last 8Q
-29.0%avg beat
Beat 1 of 8 quartersMissed 7 Estimates rising
-60%
Q2'24
-40%
Q3'24
-40%
Q4'24
-40%
Q1'25
-50%
Q2'25
-60%
Q3'25
-17%
Q4'25
+75%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Cowen & Co.Outperform
Feb 22
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Mountcastle DavidCFO
$116K
Apr 2
SELL
Mountcastle DavidCFO
$141K
Mar 16
SELL
Mehrotra ParthCEO
$586K
Mar 16
SELL
Mountcastle DavidCFO
$141K
Mar 12
SELL
Mountcastle DavidCFO
$141K
Mar 13
SELL
Mehrotra ParthCEO
$586K
Mar 12
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
RIVERBRIDGE PARTNERS LLC
3.9M
2
Nuveen, LLC
948K
3
PEREGRINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
317K
4
OPPENHEIMER ASSET MANAGEMENT INC.
247K
5
FORT WASHINGTON INVESTMENT ADVISORS INC /OH/
190K
6
KORNITZER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC /KS
125K
7
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
77K
8
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
64K
News & Activity

PRVA News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Privia Health™ is a technology-driven, national physician enablement company that collaborates with medical groups, health plans, and health systems to optimize physician practices, improve patient experiences, and reward doctors for delivering high-value care in both in-person and virtual settings. iTS platform is led by top industry talent and exceptional physician leadership, and consists of scalable operations and end-to-end, cloud-based technology that reduces unnecessary healthcare costs, achieves better outcomes, and improves the health of patients and the well-being of providers.

Industry
Dental Laboratories
David MountcastleExecutive VP & CFO
Keith FernandezExecutive Vice President & Chief Clinical Officer
Chris VoigtExecutive Vice President & Chief Technology Officer
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
PRVA
$24.85+0.00%$3.1B1500
$68.56-3.59%$13.3B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$513.72-0.71%$11.8B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$87.60+0.60%$11.5B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$183.72-1.59%$10.7B29.2+1871.5%680.1%1500
$206.53-0.59%$10.6B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$74.81+1.81%$10.5B51.8+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-0.58%40.5+398893.5%-3996.9%1500