PTCT
Earnings in 2 days · May 7, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move+0.52%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.0× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 54Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
65.15
Open
65.11
Day Range63.59 – 66.27
63.59
66.27
52W Range35.95 – 87.50
35.95
87.50
57% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.2M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
7.6x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.85
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.14%
5D
-5.65%
1M
-5.44%
3M
-11.85%
6M
-3.80%
YTD
-14.23%
1Y
+60.27%
Best: 1Y (+60.27%)Worst: YTD (-14.23%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +115% YoY · 91% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 8x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.3 · FCF $8.66/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$5.43B
Revenue TTM$1.73B
Net Income TTM$682.64M
Free Cash Flow$698.85M
Gross Margin91.0%
Net Margin39.4%
Operating Margin49.5%
Return on Equity-362.4%
Return on Assets23.4%
Debt / Equity-2.40
Current Ratio2.35
EPS TTM$8.46
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Translarna regulatory decisions - EMA annual renewal of conditional approval (typically Q3-Q4), potential FDA approval attempts, and patent expiration timeline in EU (2025-2027 depending on jurisdiction)

Clinical trial readouts for pipeline assets - PTC518 Phase 2 data in Huntington's disease, PTC-AADC gene therapy updates, sepiapterin reductase deficiency program milestones

Upstaza commercial uptake - quarterly patient starts, reimbursement approvals in new markets (US filing potential), and manufacturing capacity expansion

Business development activity - licensing deals, asset acquisitions to diversify beyond Duchenne franchise, or potential sale of non-core assets

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Rare disease treatments exhibit minimal GDP sensitivity as patient populations are defined by genetic mutations rather than economic conditions. Payer willingness to reimburse ultra-orphan drugs remains stable across cycles due to lack of therapeutic alternatives and societal pressure to fund life-saving treatments. However, government healthcare budget constraints during recessions can delay reimbursement approvals in emerging markets (Latin America, Eastern Europe) where Translarna expansion is occurring.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create moderate headwinds through two channels: (1) Higher discount rates compress NPV of long-duration pipeline assets, particularly gene therapies with 10-15 year development timelines, reducing valuation multiples for pre-profitable biotech from 8-12x forward sales to 3-5x. (2) Increased financing costs impact the company's ability to fund $300M+ annual cash burn through debt markets, though current $600M+ cash position and 2.3x current ratio provide near-term cushion. The company's negative equity position (-$16.0 D/E ratio) reflects accumulated losses rather than leverage risk.

Key Risks

Translarna patent cliff (2025-2027 in EU markets) with no clear replacement franchise - represents 60%+ of current revenue with limited barriers to generic entry post-expiration despite orphan exclusivity

Gene therapy manufacturing complexity and scalability - Upstaza requires specialized AAV vector production with limited CDMO capacity, constraining patient throughput to 50-100 annually vs 1,000+ addressable AADC population

Regulatory risk on conditional approvals - EMA could withdraw Translarna authorization if confirmatory trials fail to demonstrate clinical benefit, eliminating majority of revenue base

Investor Profile

growth/speculative - Attracts biotech-focused growth investors and event-driven hedge funds playing clinical catalysts and regulatory binary outcomes. The negative earnings, high R&D spend, and pipeline-dependent valuation appeal to investors with 3-5 year time horizons willing to underwrite 50%+ volatility for potential multi-bagger returns from successful drug approvals. Not suitable for value or income investors given negative equity, no dividends, and lack of current profitability. Recent 39% one-year return reflects momentum following positive clinical updates, but -10% three-month return shows sensitivity to sector rotation and risk-off periods.

Watch on Earnings
Translarna quarterly revenue trend and patient discontinuation rates - early warning of patent cliff acceleration or reimbursement pressureEMA conditional approval renewal decisions (annual Q3-Q4 timing) - binary catalyst for 60% of revenue baseUpstaza patient start cadence and geographic reimbursement expansion - tracking toward $150-200M peak sales potentialClinical trial milestone achievements for PTC518 (Huntington's Phase 2 data expected 2026) and PTC-AADC programs
Health Radar
5 strong1 concern
72/100
Liquidity
2.35Strong
Leverage
-2.40Strong
Coverage
5.6xStrong
ROE
-362.4%Concern
ROIC
37.4%Strong
Cash
$985MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE19 analysts
BUY
+35.9%upside to target
L $50.00
Med $89.00consensus
H $120.00
Buy
1368%
Hold
421%
Sell
211%
13 Buy (68%)4 Hold (21%)2 Sell (11%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 54 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.35 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 38.8%

-11.3% vs SMA 50 · +23.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI53.5
Neutral territory
MACD-0.16
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$87.50+33.6%
EMA 50
$72.98+11.4%
Current
$65.49
EMA 200
$53.19-18.8%
52W Low
$35.95-45.1%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$35.9557th %ile$87.50
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:4
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.1M
Recent Vol (5D)
707K-33%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 10 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$1.8B
$1.8B$2.0B
$9.50
±22%
High10
FY2026(current)
$972.5M
$782.9M$1.1B
-47.4%-$0.75
±50%
High10
FY2027
$1.2B
$969.6M$1.4B
+18.9%$1.21
±50%
High10
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryPTCT
Last 8Q
+68.3%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
+1%
Q2'24
-16%
Q3'24
+10%
Q4'24
+79%
Q1'25
+1030%
Q2'25
+22%
Q3'25
+117%
Q4'25
-695%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
BarclaysEqual-Weight → Overweight
Jan 27
UPGRADE
RBC CapitalOutperform → Sector Perform
Dec 1
DOWNGRADE
CitigroupSell → Neutral
May 7
UPGRADE
UBSBuy
Aug 26
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesUnderperform → Market Perform
May 20
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $359K sold · 30d window
Klein Matthew B.CEO
$202K
Apr 21
SELL
Boulding Mark Ellio…EXEC. VP AND C…
$57K
Apr 6
SELL
Boulding Mark Ellio…EXEC. VP AND C…
$101K
Apr 6
SELL
Golden Lee ScottEVP & CHIEF ME…
$56K
Apr 2
SELL
Almstead Neil Grego…CHIEF TECHNICA…
$2.7M
Apr 1
SELL
Almstead Neil Grego…CHIEF TECHNICA…
$871K
Apr 1
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Pictet Asset Management Holding SA
1.2M
2
SG Americas Securities, LLC
880K
3
Nuveen, LLC
667K
4
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
227K
5
BI Asset Management Fondsmaeglerselskab A/S
82K
6
PINNACLE ASSOCIATES LTD
75K
7
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
61K
8
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
54K
News & Activity

PTCT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

ptc is biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery and development of orally-administered, proprietary small molecule drugs that target post-transcriptional control processes. while ptc’s discovery programs are directed at targets in multiple therapeutic areas, ptc is focusing particularly on the development and commercialization of treatments for orphan and ultra-orphan disorders. post-transcriptional control processes regulate the rate and timing of protein production and are essential to proper cellular function. ptc’s internally-discovered pipeline addresses multiple therapeutic areas, including neuromuscular disorders, oncology and infectious diseases. for more information on the company, please visit our website www.ptcbio.com.

Industry
Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)
CEO
Stuart Peltz
Linda Montella CarterSenior Vice President & Chief Information Officer
Mark Elliott BouldingExecutive Vice President & Chief Legal Officer
Christine UtterSenior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer & Head of People Services
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
PTCT
$65.49+0.14%$5.4B7.7+11451.4%3944.4%1500
$68.99-3.59%$13.3B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$518.66-0.71%$11.8B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$91.17+0.60%$11.5B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$182.03-1.59%$10.7B29.2+1871.5%680.1%1500
$223.70-0.59%$10.6B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$76.39+1.81%$10.5B51.8+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-0.56%29.6+343544.6%-2862.4%1500