Q
Earnings in 6 days · May 12, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+3.85%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume0.2× avgLight volume
Technical
1
TrendFull UptrendAbove 50D & 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
141.06
Open
143.74
Day Range143.50 – 147.99
143.50
147.99
52W Range70.50 – 147.99
70.50
147.99
98% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.2M
Float
209.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
44.4x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
$3.30
Div Yield
No dividend
Quick Read
Earnings in 7d · May 12
Trend
UPTREND
Price above SMA50 & SMA200
Momentum
BULLISH
price above key MAs · 43% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 44x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.9 · FCF $4.72/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$30.71B
Revenue TTM$4.75B
Net Income TTM$692.00M
Free Cash Flow$988.00M
Gross Margin42.9%
Net Margin14.6%
Operating Margin21.3%
Return on Equity8.2%
Return on Assets4.9%
Debt / Equity0.70
Current Ratio1.95
EPS TTM$3.30
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Design win announcements in automotive (ADAS, electrification) or industrial IoT applications - these represent multi-year revenue pipelines worth $50M-$200M+ over product lifecycles

Quarterly gross margin trajectory - any movement toward 48-50% signals pricing power and favorable product mix shift toward higher-value analog content

Inventory levels at distributors and OEM customers - semiconductor stocks are highly sensitive to channel inventory corrections that can cause 20-30% demand swings

Foundry capacity allocation and lead times - tight wafer supply drives pricing power and revenue upside; excess capacity pressures margins

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Semiconductor demand is highly correlated with industrial production, automotive builds, and consumer electronics spending. Industrial semiconductors track manufacturing capex cycles with 6-12 month lags. Automotive semiconductor demand follows global light vehicle production, which swings 15-20% peak-to-trough in recessions. The company's 7.4% revenue growth suggests exposure to cyclical end markets currently in mid-cycle expansion. GDP growth below 1.5% typically triggers inventory corrections and order cancellations across the semiconductor supply chain.

Interest Rates

Rising rates have mixed effects: (1) Valuation multiple compression - semiconductor stocks typically trade at 20-30x P/E, and rising 10-year yields make these growth multiples less attractive, potentially compressing the current 23.6x EV/EBITDA by 10-20%. (2) Demand impact - higher rates slow automotive purchases (longer loan terms amplify rate sensitivity) and industrial capex spending, reducing semiconductor unit demand with 2-3 quarter lags. (3) Balance sheet impact is minimal given low 0.20 D/E ratio and strong FCF generation. The recent 37% stock surge may be vulnerable to rate-driven multiple compression.

Key Risks

Commoditization of analog semiconductor categories - while analog has historically been more defensible than digital, increasing integration and standardization in power management and signal chain could compress the 46% gross margins toward 40% over 5-7 years

Geopolitical semiconductor supply chain risks - dependence on Taiwan/Asia foundries creates vulnerability to geopolitical tensions, export controls, or supply disruptions; US/EU fab buildout may take 3-5 years to provide alternatives

Automotive semiconductor overcapacity risk - massive capacity additions by competitors targeting automotive electrification could create oversupply by 2027-2028, pressuring pricing and utilization

Investor Profile

growth - The 36.7% earnings growth, 37% three-month return, and 23.6x EV/EBITDA valuation attract growth investors betting on cyclical recovery and market share gains. The 3.7% FCF yield and lack of dividend indicate capital is reinvested for growth rather than returned to shareholders. Momentum investors are currently driving the stock given recent outperformance. Value investors would find the 6.6x P/S and 2.6x P/B expensive relative to 7.4% revenue growth unless they believe in significant acceleration ahead.

Watch on Earnings
PHLX Semiconductor Index (SOX) relative performance - sector beta indicator for cyclical positioningGlobal light vehicle production rates (SAAR) - automotive semiconductor demand driver, particularly North America and Europe buildsISM Manufacturing PMI and new orders subindex - leading indicator for industrial semiconductor demand with 3-6 month lead timeTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) capacity utilization and lead times - proxy for foundry tightness affecting Qnity's supply and pricing power
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
44/100
Liquidity
1.95Watch
Leverage
0.70Strong
Coverage
5.3xStrong
ROE
8.2%Watch
ROIC
6.0%Concern
Cash
$915MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE3 analysts
BUY
-8.5%downside to target
L $100.00
Med $134.00consensus
H $150.00
Buy
3100%
3 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
7 of 7 signals bullish
10/10
Trend
Trend StateUptrend (price above both MAs)
Above SMA 50$123.62 (+18.5%)
Above SMA 200$103.52 (+41.5%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentGolden Cross (50D vs 200D +19.4%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.95 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 7, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 4, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 6, 2026
In 92 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$148.0+1.0%
Current
$146.5
SMA 50
$123.6-15.6%
SMA 200
$103.5-29.3%
52W Low
$70.50-51.9%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$70.5098th %ile$148.0
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 6 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$4.7B
$4.7B$4.7B
$2.55
±2%
High5
FY2026(current)
$5.1B
$5.1B$5.2B
+8.2%$3.81+49.6%
±2%
High6
FY2027
$5.5B
$5.3B$5.6B
+7.4%$4.41+15.6%
±2%
High6
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryQ
Last 2Q
+21.8%avg beat
Beat 2 of 2 quarters
+13%
Q4'25
+31%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Financials
Dividends0.10% yield
2 yrs of payments
Annual Yield0.10%
Quarterly Div.$0.0800
Est. Annual / Share$0.32
FrequencyQuarterly
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 3 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
1.9M
2
SG Americas Securities, LLC
574K
3
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
445K
4
FOLGER NOLAN FLEMING DOUGLAS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC
407K
5
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
373K
6
CONGRESS ASSET MANAGEMENT CO /MA
341K
7
TEACHER RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF TEXAS
318K
8
STALEY CAPITAL ADVISERS INC
306K
News & Activity

Q News

20 articles · 4h ago

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