RGNX
Next earnings: Aug 6, 2026
Signal
Leaning Bullish21
Price
1
Move-8.41%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume4.2× avgSurge — unusual activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 58Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
6.25
Open
6.25
Day Range5.71 – 6.48
5.71
6.48
52W Range5.71 – 16.19
5.71
16.19
0% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.0M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-1.0x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.31
Market-like
Performance
1D
-37.80%
5D
-41.25%
1M
-32.85%
3M
-21.84%
6M
-45.74%
YTD
-56.63%
1Y
-25.03%
Worst: YTD (-56.63%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -44% YoY · thin -0% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 2.6 · FCF negative
Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$295.71M
Revenue TTM$87.82M
Net Income TTM-$290.01M
Free Cash Flow-$236.40M
Gross Margin-0.1%
Net Margin-330.2%
Operating Margin-292.3%
Return on Equity-232.5%
Return on Assets-84.8%
Debt / Equity3.37
Current Ratio2.62
EPS TTM$-5.53
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

RGX-314 Phase 2/3 clinical trial data readouts for wet age-related macular degeneration (primary proprietary asset with peak sales potential exceeding $1B)

New licensing deals or expanded partnerships with large pharma, particularly upfront payments and milestone structures

FDA regulatory decisions on Investigational New Drug applications and clinical trial design feedback for lead programs

Cash runway updates and financing events (equity raises, debt facilities) given $100M+ annual burn rate

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Pre-revenue biotech with minimal direct GDP linkage. Clinical trial timelines and regulatory processes are largely insulated from economic cycles. However, severe recessions can impact: (1) pharma partners' willingness to sign new licensing deals or advance programs, (2) capital markets access for equity financing, and (3) M&A valuations if REGENXBIO becomes a takeout target. Patient enrollment can be affected by healthcare system stress during economic downturns.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create significant headwinds for pre-revenue biotech through multiple channels: (1) higher discount rates compress NPV of future cash flows 5-10+ years out, directly impacting valuation multiples, (2) reduced investor risk appetite shifts capital away from speculative growth stocks toward safer yielding alternatives, (3) increased cost of capital for future debt financing if needed. The company's 2.38x current ratio provides liquidity buffer, but sustained rate increases typically correlate with 20-40% biotech sector multiple compression. Cash holdings (~$200M estimated) earn higher yields in rising rate environment, partially offsetting negative valuation impact.

Key Risks

AAV gene therapy platform faces emerging competition from next-generation delivery modalities including lipid nanoparticles, exosomes, and engineered capsids with superior tissue targeting and reduced immunogenicity

Regulatory pathway uncertainty for gene therapies with FDA requiring longer-term safety follow-up (10-15 years) and potential for black box warnings related to immunogenicity, genotoxicity, or oncogenicity risks

Reimbursement challenges for ultra-high-cost gene therapies ($500K-$2M+ per patient) as payers demand outcomes-based contracts and real-world evidence, compressing commercial potential

Investor Profile

growth - High-risk, high-reward binary outcome profile attracts speculative growth investors and biotech specialists willing to underwrite clinical and regulatory risk for potential 3-5x returns on successful drug approval. The -95% operating margin and negative cash flow eliminate value and income investors. Recent 36% one-year return followed by -34% three-month decline demonstrates extreme volatility typical of clinical-stage names. Institutional ownership likely dominated by healthcare-focused hedge funds and venture capital rather than broad index funds. Momentum traders enter around data catalysts but lack sustained conviction.

Watch on Earnings
RGX-314 Phase 2b/3 trial interim data releases and durability of response in wet AMD patients (primary value driver)Quarterly licensing revenue and new partnership announcements with deal term disclosureCash and equivalents balance versus quarterly operating cash burn rate (runway calculation)Clinical trial enrollment velocity and site activation timelines for lead programs
Health Radar
1 strong5 concern
19/100
Liquidity
2.62Strong
Leverage
3.37Concern
Coverage
-9.3xConcern
ROE
-232.5%Concern
ROIC
-92.1%Concern
Cash
$34MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE20 analysts
BUY
+232.2%upside to target
L $12.00
Med $19.00consensus
H $45.00
Strong Buy
15%
Buy
1365%
Hold
525%
Sell
15%
14 Buy (70%)5 Hold (25%)1 Sell (5%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 58 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.62 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 14.5%

-36.8% vs SMA 50 · -45.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI58.3
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.02
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$16.19+183.0%
EMA 200
$9.95+73.9%
EMA 50
$9.35+63.5%
Current
$5.72
52W Low
$5.71-0.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$5.710th %ile$16.19
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:4
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.1M
Recent Vol (5D)
3.8M+254%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 8 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$184.6M
$174.2M$206.9M
-$3.30
±28%
High8
FY2026(current)
$234.9M
$150.1M$347.5M
+27.2%-$2.85
±47%
High7
FY2027
$267.7M
$166.2M$446.1M
+14.0%-$2.92
±50%
High6
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryRGNX
Last 8Q
-12.1%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates falling
+19%
Q3'24
-1%
Q4'24
+20%
Q1'25
-71%
Q2'25
-22%
Q3'25
+13%
Q4'25
-29%
Q1'26
-26%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
RBC CapitalOutperform
Mar 8
UPGRADE
Leerink PartnersOutperform
Mar 6
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $169K sold · 30d window
Pakola SteveChief Medical …
$169K
May 11
SELL
Pakola SteveChief Medical …
$53K
Mar 10
SELL
Simpson CurranCEO
$263K
Oct 9
SELL
Simpson CurranCEO
$76K
Sep 29
SELL
Simpson CurranCEO
$77K
Sep 10
SELL
Mills Kenneth T.Dir
$163K
May 12
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
5.8M
2
Redmile Group, LLC
4.4M
3
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
3.5M
4
STATE STREET CORP
2.7M
5
MORGAN STANLEY
2.1M
6
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
1.8M
7
Integral Health Asset Management, LLC
1.5M
8
Qube Research & Technologies Ltd
1.3M
News & Activity

RGNX News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

regenxbio is a leading biotechnology company focused on the development, commercialization and licensing of recombinant adeno‐associated virus (aav) gene therapy. regenxbio's nav® technology platform, a proprietary aav gene delivery platform, consists of exclusive rights to more than 100 novel aav vectors, including aav7, aav8, aav9 and aavrh10. regenxbio's mission is to transform the lives of patients suffering from severe diseases with significant unmet medical need by developing and commercializing in vivo gene therapy products based on regenxbio's nav technology platform. regenxbio seeks to accomplish this mission through a combination of internal development efforts and third‐party nav technology platform licensees.

Industry
Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)
CEO
Kenneth Mills
Olivier DanosExecutive Vice President & Chief Scientific Officer
Ram PalankiExecutive Vice President & Chief Commercial Officer
Stephen PakolaExecutive Vice President & Chief Medical Officer
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
RGNX
$5.72-37.80%$295M+10454.2%-11375.1%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-7.94%50.3+343343.3%-5126.9%1500