RXRX
Next earnings: Aug 4, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-3.62%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.2× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 38Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
3.04
Open
3.00
Day Range2.92 – 3.05
2.92
3.05
52W Range2.80 – 7.18
2.80
7.18
3% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
14.2M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-2.5x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
2.11
High vol
Performance
1D
-3.62%
5D
-11.21%
1M
-21.87%
3M
-16.05%
6M
-29.23%
YTD
-28.36%
1Y
-31.06%
Worst: 1Y (-31.06%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +11% · -34% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 5.5 · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.31B
Revenue TTM$66.29M
Net Income TTM-$559.78M
Free Cash Flow-$325.85M
Gross Margin-34.4%
Net Margin-844.5%
Operating Margin-882.9%
Return on Equity-54.3%
Return on Assets-41.8%
Debt / Equity0.07
Current Ratio5.47
EPS TTM$-1.06
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Clinical trial data readouts from lead programs (REC-994 in cerebral cavernous malformation, REC-4881 in familial adenomatous polyposis) - positive Phase 2 data can drive 30-50% single-day moves

New pharmaceutical partnership announcements with upfront payments exceeding $20M and validation of platform economics

AI platform capability demonstrations showing improved prediction accuracy or novel target identification versus traditional methods

FDA regulatory milestones including IND clearances for new pipeline programs and breakthrough therapy designations

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Drug discovery and development spending by large pharmaceutical partners is largely acyclical and driven by patent cliffs, pipeline gaps, and long-term R&D budgets rather than GDP fluctuations. Biotech funding environment shows some correlation to risk appetite during severe recessions, but established partnerships with Roche and Bayer provide revenue stability. Clinical trial execution timelines are unaffected by economic cycles.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create moderate headwinds through two channels: (1) higher discount rates compress NPV of distant cash flows from early-stage pipeline assets, disproportionately impacting pre-revenue biotech valuations and driving multiple compression from 30x+ sales to sub-20x during rate hiking cycles, and (2) tighter financial conditions reduce availability of follow-on equity financing and increase dilution risk when raising capital to fund clinical programs. However, the company's strong balance sheet (4.6x current ratio) and partnership revenue mitigate near-term refinancing risk. Rate cuts would provide valuation tailwind by improving risk asset appetite and biotech sector multiples.

Key Risks

AI/ML platform validation risk - if proprietary algorithms fail to demonstrate superior clinical success rates versus traditional drug discovery methods over 5-10 year timeframe, partnership economics and competitive differentiation erode significantly

Regulatory uncertainty around AI-discovered therapeutics as FDA develops evolving guidance on algorithm transparency, training data requirements, and validation standards for computationally-designed molecules

Technological disruption from competitors (Insitro, Exscientia, BenevolentAI) or large pharma in-house AI capabilities reducing willingness to pay for external platforms

Investor Profile

growth - The stock attracts speculative growth investors and biotech specialists willing to accept 5-10 year investment horizons and binary clinical risk in exchange for potential 5-10x returns if platform validates and multiple programs reach commercialization. Negative earnings and cash flow eliminate value and income investors. The AI-driven approach appeals to technology crossover funds seeking healthcare exposure. Institutional ownership skewed toward healthcare-focused funds and venture capital firms from earlier funding rounds. High volatility (implied vol typically 60-80%) and -67% one-year return reflect risk-on/risk-off sentiment swings.

Watch on Earnings
Federal Funds Rate and 10-year Treasury yield as primary drivers of biotech valuation multiples and cost of capital for future financingsNasdaq Biotechnology Index (NBI) performance as sector sentiment indicator - RXRX typically trades with 1.3-1.5x beta to biotech peersQuarterly partnership revenue and new deal announcement frequency as validation of platform commercial tractionClinical trial enrollment rates and data readout timelines for lead programs REC-994 and REC-4881
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
50/100
Liquidity
5.47Strong
Leverage
0.07Strong
Coverage
-351.9xConcern
ROE
-54.3%Concern
ROIC
-47.1%Concern
Cash
$743MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE10 analysts
HOLD
+181.6%upside to target
L $5.50
Med $8.25consensus
H $11.00
Buy
440%
Hold
660%
4 Buy (40%)6 Hold (60%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 38 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 5.47 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 9, 2026
In 116 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 23.8%

-12.4% vs SMA 50 · -33.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI37.9
Momentum fading
MACD-0.10
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$7.18+145.1%
EMA 200
$4.24+44.8%
EMA 50
$3.42+16.7%
Current
$2.93
52W Low
$2.80-4.4%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$2.803th %ile$7.18
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:6
Edge:+3 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)12.8M
Recent Vol (5D)
14.9M+17%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 6 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$70.7M
$63.6M$85.4M
-$1.54
±6%
High6
FY2025
$61.5M
$46.0M$81.4M
-13.0%-$1.57
±6%
High6
FY2026(current)
$61.2M
$19.7M$101.2M
-0.5%-$0.92
±14%
High6
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryRXRX
Last 8Q
-1.5%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
-14%
Q3'24
-3%
Q4'24
-20%
Q1'25
-14%
Q2'25
-17%
Q3'25
+5%
Q4'25
+25%
Q1'26
+27%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Zacks Investment Re…Hold
Apr 26
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $385K sold · 30d window
Gibson ChristopherDir
$135K
May 7
SELL
Borgeson BlakeDir
$106K
May 5
SELL
Gibson ChristopherDir
$144K
Apr 22
SELL
Gibson ChristopherDir
$124K
Apr 7
SELL
Borgeson BlakeDir
$93K
Apr 7
SELL
Gibson ChristopherDir
$130K
Mar 23
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
43.2M
2
ARK Investment Management LLC
40.2M
3
STATE STREET CORP
28.5M
4
BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO
23.7M
5
SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
13.6M
6
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
12.3M
7
MIC Capital Management UK LLP
9.6M
8
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
6.1M
News & Activity

RXRX News

About

Recursion is a clinical-stage biotechnology company decoding biology by integrating technological innovations across biology, chemistry, automation, data science, and engineering, with the goal of radically improving the lives of patients and industrializing drug discovery. Central to its mission is the Recursion Operating System, or Recursion OS, that combines an advanced infrastructure layer to generate what Recursion believes is one of the world's largest and fastest-growing proprietary biological and chemical datasets and the Recursion Map, a suite of custom software, algorithms, and machine learning tools that the company uses to explore foundational biology unconstrained by human bias and navigate to new biological insights which may accelerate its programs. biotechnology company scaling more like a technology company.

Industry
Research and Development in Biotechnology
Najat KhanCEO, President & Director
Elizabeth BruckheimerVice President of Clinical Development
Ben R. TaylorChief Financial Officer & President of Recursion UK
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
RXRX
$2.93-3.62%$1.3B+2692.4%-86335.1%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-3.06%50.3+342234.4%-15835.5%1500