SE
Earnings in 10 days · May 12, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move+1.56%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.5× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 48Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
84.88
Open
86.03
Day Range85.32 – 86.61
85.32
86.61
52W Range77.05 – 199.30
77.05
199.30
7% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
5.4M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
34.2x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
2.28
High vol
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +36% YoY · 45% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 34x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.6 · FCF $5.31/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$52.80B
Revenue TTM$22.94B
Net Income TTM$1.59B
Free Cash Flow$3.20B
Gross Margin44.7%
Net Margin6.9%
Operating Margin8.5%
Return on Equity15.3%
Return on Assets5.4%
Debt / Equity0.27
Current Ratio1.58
EPS TTM$2.63
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Shopee GMV growth rates and take rate expansion across core markets (Indonesia contributing 35-40% of e-commerce revenue, with 25-30% GMV growth targets)

EBITDA profitability trajectory and path to sustained positive net income, particularly e-commerce segment breakeven timing in Brazil and Mexico

Free Fire quarterly active users and bookings trends, especially regulatory developments in India (previously 20% of gaming revenue before ban) and competitive pressure from PUBG Mobile and Call of Duty Mobile

SeaMoney loan book growth, credit loss rates (currently 2-3% NPL ratios), and digital banking license monetization in Singapore, Indonesia, and Philippines

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - E-commerce GMV directly correlates with consumer discretionary spending across emerging markets. Indonesia (40% of revenue exposure) GDP growth of 5%+ drives middle-class expansion and digital adoption. Gaming bookings are discretionary entertainment spend sensitive to youth employment and disposable income. SeaMoney credit products face higher default risk during economic slowdowns. However, digital payment adoption provides secular tailwind partially offsetting cyclical pressures. Latin America operations (20% of revenue) face higher volatility from currency fluctuations and inflation impacting purchasing power.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create multiple headwinds: (1) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies (stock trades at 3.1x P/S vs 8-10x historically), (2) Increased borrowing costs for $2.7B debt load (0.42 D/E ratio with mix of convertible notes and term loans), adding $30-50M annual interest expense per 100bps rate increase, (3) SeaMoney consumer credit portfolio faces higher funding costs and increased credit losses as borrowers face payment stress, (4) Reduced consumer spending on discretionary e-commerce and gaming as debt servicing costs rise across emerging market consumers. However, strong FCF generation of $3B provides buffer against financing pressures.

Key Risks

Regulatory risk across multiple jurisdictions including data localization requirements, gaming content restrictions (India ban precedent), e-commerce platform liability rules, and digital lending regulations that could restrict SeaMoney growth or require costly compliance infrastructure

Technology platform competition from TikTok Shop leveraging social commerce, Alibaba's Lazada with deeper capital resources, GoTo's Tokopedia with local market advantages in Indonesia, and potential Amazon expansion into Southeast Asia

Free Fire product lifecycle risk as 6-year-old game faces user fatigue, with limited pipeline of replacement titles and dependence on single game for 80%+ of gaming revenue

Investor Profile

growth - Attracts investors seeking emerging market digital economy exposure with 25-30% revenue growth potential and operating leverage inflection story. Recent 26% three-month decline reflects rotation from unprofitable growth to quality/profitability, but FCF generation of $3B (4.6% yield) and 194% net income growth appeal to GARP (growth at reasonable price) investors. High volatility and execution risk in multiple geographies suit risk-tolerant growth managers rather than value or income investors. Institutional ownership concentrated among emerging market specialists and technology-focused funds.

Watch on Earnings
Indonesian Rupiah and Thai Baht exchange rates against USD (DEXCHUS as proxy for regional FX trends) impacting 50%+ of revenue translationBrent crude oil prices affecting logistics costs across Southeast Asian island markets and last-mile delivery economicsUS consumer sentiment and retail sales trends as leading indicators for emerging market discretionary spending patterns with 6-12 month lagFederal funds rate and US 10-year Treasury yields driving growth stock valuation multiples and cost of capital for unprofitable segments
Health Radar
4 strong2 watch
66/100
Liquidity
1.58Watch
Leverage
0.27Strong
Coverage
58.3xStrong
ROE
15.3%Strong
ROIC
8.5%Watch
Cash
$6.4BStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE39 analysts
BUY
+74.0%upside to target
L $121.00
Med $150.00consensus
H $170.00
Buy
3179%
Hold
718%
Sell
13%
31 Buy (79%)7 Hold (18%)1 Sell (3%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 48 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.58 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 3, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 17, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 34.4%

-3.6% vs SMA 50 · -36.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI47.7
Neutral territory
MACD-0.66
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$199.3+131.2%
EMA 200
$127.6+48.1%
EMA 50
$91.82+6.5%
Current
$86.20
52W Low
$77.05-10.6%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$77.057th %ile$199.3
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Elevated Squeeze Setup

Strong accumulation on above-average volume. Buyers are absorbing supply aggressively — any positive catalyst could trigger a rapid covering move.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:3
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)4.5M
Recent Vol (5D)
6.0M+33%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 20 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$22.6B
$22.5B$22.6B
$3.18
±2%
High20
FY2026(current)
$29.5B
$28.8B$30.0B
+30.7%$3.54+11.2%
±12%
High19
FY2027
$35.4B
$35.0B$35.7B
+20.1%$4.72+33.5%
±13%
High17
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistorySE
Last 8Q
-19.5%avg beat
Beat 0 of 8 quartersMissed 8 Estimates rising
-42%
Q2'24
-22%
Q3'24
-8%
Q4'24
-18%
Q1'25
-8%
Q2'25
-14%
Q3'25
-24%
Q4'25
-19%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Deutsche BankHold
Nov 12
UPGRADE
DBS BankHold
Jun 28
DOWNGRADE
Loop Capital MarketsHold → Buy
Apr 24
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight → Overweight
Apr 22
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Buy
Apr 22
UPGRADE
DaiwaNeutral → Buy
Feb 2
UPGRADE
CitigroupNeutral → Buy
Feb 1
UPGRADE
CitigroupBuy → Neutral
Jul 31
DOWNGRADE
JefferiesHold
Jul 31
DOWNGRADE
RBC CapitalSector Perform
Jul 31
DOWNGRADE
Argus ResearchNeutral
Jul 31
DOWNGRADE
ScotiabankPerform
Jul 31
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $57.8M sold · 30d window
Ye GangDir
$431K
Apr 28
SELL
Ye GangDir
$381K
Apr 28
SELL
Ye GangDir
$43K
Apr 28
SELL
Ye GangDir
$188K
Apr 29
SELL
Ye GangDir
$548K
Apr 29
SELL
Ye GangDir
$37K
Apr 29
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
2.1M
2
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
2.0M
3
OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING Corp Ltd
1.8M
4
SG Americas Securities, LLC
1.6M
5
WASATCH ADVISORS LP
1.6M
6
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
1.1M
7
Perpetual Ltd
436K
8
USS Investment Management Ltd
354K
News & Activity

SE News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

sea is the leading consumer internet company in southeast asia and taiwan. our mission is to better the lives of the consumers and small businesses of our region with technology.our businesses include: shopee, our region’s largest and most popular e-commerce platform. launched in 2015, shopee was designed to be mobile-first and highly social, offering buyers and sellers a trusted and enjoyable shopping experience. in 2018, shopee recorded over 603 million orders, and gmv of $10.3 billion. shopee was also the most downloaded shopping app in southeast asia and in taiwan.garena, a global leading games company. garena is the developer of free fire, the global smash hit mobile battle royale game with over 450 million registered users and 50 million peak daily active users as of may 2019, making it one of the most popular games in the world. garena is also the largest games publisher in the region, bringing aaa mobile and pc titles such as arena of valor, league of legends, and speed drifter

Industry
Other Gambling Industries
CEO
Xiaodong Li
Country
Singapore
Chris Zhimin FengPresident
Feng ZhaoPresident of Garena
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SE
$86.20+0.00%$52.8B1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$318.6B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.3-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.56%21.3+845.2%2050.9%1500