SNDA
Next earnings: Aug 10, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-2.07%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 65Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
38.58
Open
38.35
Day Range37.60 – 38.86
37.60
38.86
52W Range23.66 – 39.66
23.66
39.66
88% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
571.5K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-6.5x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +25% · -30% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 0.4 (low) · FCF negative
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$755.56M
Revenue TTM$411.85M
Net Income TTM-$99.48M
Free Cash Flow-$47.05M
Gross Margin-29.9%
Net Margin-24.2%
Operating Margin-20.5%
Return on Equity-35.4%
Return on Assets-3.8%
Debt / Equity1.83
Current Ratio0.44
EPS TTM$-5.49
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Same-store occupancy rate changes and trajectory toward breakeven thresholds (85-90% occupancy)

Labor cost inflation and ability to control wage pressures for caregivers and nursing staff

Revenue per occupied unit (REVPOR) growth through rate increases and acuity mix shift

Portfolio optimization actions including community dispositions, lease renegotiations, or new management contracts

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Senior housing demand is driven by demographic aging (75+ population growth) which is relatively recession-resistant, but occupancy and pricing power correlate with consumer confidence and family wealth. Adult children often fund senior living for parents, making demand sensitive to employment conditions and home equity values. Economic downturns can delay move-ins as families defer decisions or choose home-based care to preserve assets.

Interest Rates

High interest rate sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) The 8.45x debt-to-equity ratio means refinancing risk and interest expense are material concerns as rates rise; (2) Higher rates reduce the present value of future cash flows, compressing valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies; (3) Rising mortgage rates impact home sale decisions by seniors, as selling primary residences often funds senior living entrance fees; (4) Competition from fixed-income yields makes the sector less attractive to yield-seeking investors when the company achieves profitability.

Key Risks

Demographic timing risk: While 75+ population is growing long-term, near-term demand depends on health status, family dynamics, and cultural preferences for institutional vs. home-based care

Labor market structural challenges: Persistent caregiver shortages and wage inflation in healthcare services, with competition from hospitals and home health agencies for limited workforce

Regulatory changes to Medicaid reimbursement rates or state licensing requirements that could impact operating costs or revenue mix

Investor Profile

momentum/turnaround - The 35.7% one-year return and 90% net income growth attract momentum investors betting on occupancy recovery and operational turnaround. The negative margins and high leverage deter value investors seeking stable cash flows. This is a speculative position for investors believing post-pandemic occupancy normalization will drive the company to profitability, with high risk/reward profile given the leveraged balance sheet.

Watch on Earnings
Same-store occupancy percentage and quarterly sequential change (target: movement toward 85-90% breakeven)Revenue per occupied room (REVPOR) growth rate and pricing power indicatorsLabor costs as percentage of revenue and wage inflation trends in healthcare servicesFederal funds rate and 10-year Treasury yield for refinancing cost implications
Health Radar
1 watch5 concern
10/100
Liquidity
0.44Concern
Leverage
1.83Watch
Coverage
-2.6xConcern
ROE
-35.4%Concern
ROIC
-3.4%Concern
Cash
$11MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE4 analysts
HOLD
+4.6%upside to target
L $28.00
Med $39.50consensus
H $45.00
Buy
125%
Hold
250%
Sell
125%
1 Buy (25%)2 Hold (50%)1 Sell (25%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 65 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.44 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentSep 10, 2026
In 116 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 12.8%

+8.2% vs SMA 50 · +22.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI65.4
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+1.04
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$39.66+5.0%
Current
$37.78
EMA 50
$35.62-5.7%
EMA 200
$31.14-17.6%
52W Low
$23.66-37.4%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$23.6688th %ile$39.66
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:4
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)692K
Recent Vol (5D)
712K+3%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$262.5M
$232.5M$292.4M
-$1.18
±15%
Low1
FY2025
$337.9M
$299.3M$376.5M
+28.8%-$3.74
±15%
Low1
FY2026(current)
$519.2M
$459.9M$578.5M
+53.6%-$3.90
±15%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistorySNDA
Last 8Q
-11.4%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
+3%
Q4'23
-2%
Q1'24
-17%
Q1'25
+19%
Q2'25
+79%
Q3'25
-108%
Q4'25
-10%
Q1'26
-56%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Simanovsky MichaelDir
$2.3M
Mar 11
BUY
Simanovsky MichaelDir
$42.6M
Mar 11
BUY
Simanovsky MichaelDir
$49.1M
Mar 11
BUY
Simanovsky MichaelDir
$6.0M
Mar 11
BUY
Ribar BrandonDir
$99K
May 21
BUY
Simanovsky MichaelDir
$578K
Jan 10
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Conversant Capital LLC
14.6M
2
Capital International Investors
1.7M
3
Hazelview Securities Inc.
669K
4
J. Goldman & Co LP
551K
5
Solas Capital Management, LLC
446K
6
BlackRock, Inc.
425K
7
Clayton Partners LLC
311K
8
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC
273K
News & Activity

SNDA News

About

sonida senior living is one of the nation’s leading operators of independent living, assisted living and memory care communities for senior adults. the company operates 75 communities that are home to nearly 7,000 residents across 18 states providing comfortable, safe, affordable communities where residents can form friendships, enjoy new experiences and receive personalized care from dedicated team members who treat them family.

CEO
Kimberly Lody
Kevin J. DetzExecutive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Timothy CoberVice President & Chief Accounting Officer
Dawn MountPinnacle Division President
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SNDA
$37.78+0.00%$756M1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.96%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-2.64%50.3+398824.8%-4085.6%1500