TALO
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move-0.03%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.1× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 51Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
15.33
Open
15.52
Day Range15.16 – 15.52
15.16
15.52
52W Range7.67 – 17.01
7.67
17.01
82% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.4M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-3.6x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.02
Market-like
Performance
1D
+2.27%
5D
+2.20%
1M
+5.51%
3M
+14.49%
6M
+43.81%
YTD
+39.11%
1Y
+82.50%
Best: 1Y (+82.50%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -15% YoY · thin 7% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.2 · FCF $1.96/sh
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.57B
Revenue TTM$1.74B
Net Income TTM-$742.65M
Free Cash Flow$329.34M
Gross Margin6.8%
Net Margin-42.7%
Operating Margin-23.4%
Return on Equity-33.2%
Return on Assets-14.1%
Debt / Equity0.66
Current Ratio1.20
EPS TTM$-4.41
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

WTI crude oil spot price and forward curve shape - direct impact on realized pricing and reserve valuations

Gulf of Mexico production volumes and well performance from key assets like Green Canyon, Heidelberg, and Phoenix developments

Exploration success rates and reserve additions from drilling programs in proven basins

Acquisition announcements and integration execution in fragmented offshore market

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Oil prices exhibit strong correlation with global GDP growth, industrial activity, and transportation fuel demand. Offshore producers like Talos are pure commodity plays with revenue directly tied to crude pricing, which responds to economic cycles through demand fluctuations. Recessions typically compress oil demand by 2-5%, pressuring prices and E&P margins. The company's 35.4% revenue growth reflects recent commodity price strength rather than volume expansion.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates increase borrowing costs on the company's $1.3B debt load (implied from 0.57 D/E ratio), directly impacting interest expense and free cash flow available for debt reduction or shareholder returns. Higher rates also compress valuation multiples for commodity producers as discount rates rise, though this is partially offset if rate increases signal economic strength supporting oil demand. The company's negative net margin suggests interest expense is material to profitability.

Key Risks

Energy transition policies and ESG-driven capital allocation away from fossil fuel producers, potentially limiting access to capital and compressing valuation multiples despite strong cash generation

Offshore drilling regulatory tightening following environmental incidents, increasing permitting timelines and compliance costs in Gulf of Mexico operations

Depletion of existing reserves without adequate replacement through exploration success or acquisitions, given finite nature of offshore fields

Investor Profile

value - The 0.9x price-to-book ratio, 3.3x EV/EBITDA, and 43.6% FCF yield attract deep value investors seeking commodity exposure at distressed multiples. The stock appeals to energy specialists willing to accept commodity volatility and operational risk for asymmetric upside if oil prices sustain above $70/bbl. Negative net margin and ROE deter growth-oriented investors, while lack of dividend limits income-focused allocations.

Watch on Earnings
WTI crude oil spot price and 12-month forward strip pricingGulf of Mexico offshore rig count and dayrate trends as proxy for industry activityTalos daily production volumes and quarterly production guidance revisionsDebt-to-EBITDA leverage ratio and progress toward stated deleveraging targets
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
23/100
Liquidity
1.20Watch
Leverage
0.66Strong
Coverage
-2.5xConcern
ROE
-33.2%Concern
ROIC
-7.2%Concern
Cash
$363MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE12 analysts
BUY
-0.5%downside to target
L $13.50
Med $15.25consensus
H $17.00
Buy
758%
Hold
542%
7 Buy (58%)5 Hold (42%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 51 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.20
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 13, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 7, 2026
In 87 days
PDividend PaymentAug 14, 2026
In 94 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 27.7%

+7.3% vs SMA 50 · +37.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI50.7
Neutral territory
MACD+0.25
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$17.00+11.0%
Current
$15.32
EMA 50
$14.36-6.3%
EMA 200
$11.57-24.5%
52W Low
$7.67-50.0%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$7.6782th %ile$17.00
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:0
Dist days:3
Edge:+3 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.4M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.1M-15%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$1.8B
$1.8B$1.9B
-$0.98
±16%
High6
FY2026(current)
$2.0B
$1.8B$2.1B
+9.5%-$0.06
±50%
Moderate4
FY2027
$1.9B
$1.8B$2.0B
-6.0%-$0.21
±50%
High7
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryTALO
Last 8Q
+99.7%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates falling
+123%
Q3'24
-17%
Q4'24
+500%
Q1'25
+160%
Q2'25
Q3'25
+46%
Q4'25
-37%
Q1'26
+22%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
BMO CapitalMarket Perform → Perform
Apr 26
DOWNGRADE
BMO CapitalMarket Perform
Jan 10
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
3 Buys/3 SellsNeutral
Control Empresarial…10 Percent Own…
$16.0M
Mar 26
SELL
Control Empresarial…10 Percent Own…
$22.6M
Mar 27
SELL
Glover Paula RDir
$60K
Sep 3
SELL
Control Empresarial…10 Percent Own…
$1.0M
Sep 27
BUY
Control Empresarial…10 Percent Own…
$3.4M
Sep 26
BUY
Control Empresarial…10 Percent Own…
$2.6M
Sep 25
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
9.5M
2
Nuveen, LLC
1.8M
3
MACKAY SHIELDS LLC
1.3M
4
FEDERATED HERMES, INC.
1.0M
5
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
839K
6
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
810K
7
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
705K
8
Connor, Clark & Lunn Investment Management Ltd.
563K
News & Activity

TALO News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

talos energy is an independent oil and gas company formed in 2012. our expertise is exploring and producing offshore hydrocarbons in the us gulf of mexico region as well as offshore mexico. talos was formed in partnership with apollo global management and riverstone holdings for the purposes of buying assets in the gulf coast and gulf of mexico regions with emphasis on asset optimization, exploitation, and exploration in and around our assets. talos also engages in business development activities that include jv’s and farm-in’s where we utilize our 10.2 million acres of seismic inventory to optimize the economics of a transaction. talos energy’s management team has built and sold two previous private equity backed companies – phoenix exploration and gryphon exploration – and in each instance delivered significant returns to their investors. as a cohesive group working together for over a decade, the management team has a track record of enhancing mature fields by using innovative techn

CEO
Timothy Duncan
Paul R. A. GoodfellowPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
John SpathExecutive Vice President & Head of Operations
William R. LanginExecutive Vice President of Exploration & Development
PeersEnergy(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
TALO
$15.32+2.27%$2.6B-980.4%-2788.4%1500
$151.38-1.49%$620.4B24.7-452.2%890.5%1498
$186.35+1.73%$368.0B33.2-464.4%666.9%1493
$116.93-0.88%$140.8B19.3+751.1%1360.5%1503
$74.32+3.09%$90.7B32.0+1377.7%2190.8%1497
$55.25+3.12%$82.1B24.9-159.8%938.1%1512
$256.32+1.08%$73.7B16.1-444.0%305.0%1504
Sector avg+1.27%25.0-53.1%509.1%1501