TECX
Next earnings: Aug 6, 2026
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-6.41%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.1× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 51Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
29.80
Open
29.26
Day Range27.78 – 29.38
27.78
29.38
52W Range14.39 – 36.03
14.39
36.03
62% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
270.8K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-6.3x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-6.41%
5D
+3.30%
1M
-6.06%
3M
+25.18%
6M
+50.43%
YTD
+33.70%
1Y
+34.80%
Best: 6M (+50.43%)Worst: 1D (-6.41%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
thin 0% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 18.5 · FCF negative
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$526.26M
Revenue TTM$0.00
Net Income TTM-$83.49M
Free Cash Flow-$65.66M
Gross Margin0.0%
Net Margin0.0%
Operating Margin0.0%
Return on Equity-32.3%
Return on Assets-33.9%
Debt / Equity0.02
Current Ratio18.51
EPS TTM$-4.45
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

TX45 clinical trial data readouts - Phase 2b ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease efficacy/safety results

FDA regulatory interactions - IND clearances, breakthrough therapy designations, or clinical hold communications

Partnership announcements or licensing deals with large pharmaceutical companies for commercialization rights

Cash runway updates and financing events - equity offerings, debt facilities, or strategic investments that extend development timeline

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Clinical trial timelines and regulatory processes are largely insulated from GDP fluctuations. Patient enrollment in IBD trials continues regardless of economic conditions as these are serious chronic diseases. However, severe recessions can impact: (1) ability to raise capital at attractive valuations, (2) pharmaceutical company M&A appetite for partnerships, and (3) healthcare system capacity to conduct trials during crises.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact pre-revenue biotechnology valuations through two mechanisms: (1) Higher discount rates applied to distant future cash flows (potential product revenues 4-7+ years out) compress present values significantly, and (2) Risk-free rate competition makes speculative biotech less attractive versus bonds. Additionally, higher rates increase opportunity cost of cash holdings (~$115M cash earning higher yields is modest offset). Rate cuts typically benefit high-growth, long-duration biotech assets.

Key Risks

Clinical trial failure risk - TX45 must demonstrate statistically significant efficacy and acceptable safety in Phase 2b/3 trials versus placebo or active comparators; IBD trials have high placebo response rates (25-35%) making differentiation challenging

Regulatory approval uncertainty - FDA may require additional trials, impose restrictive labeling, or reject applications based on risk-benefit assessment; oral biologic delivery is novel and may face heightened regulatory scrutiny

Competitive displacement - Multiple approved biologics (Stelara, Entyvio, Skyrizi) and emerging oral small molecules (Rinvoq, JAK inhibitors) create crowded IBD market; superior efficacy/safety profile required for market penetration

Investor Profile

growth - High-risk, high-reward clinical-stage biotech attracts speculative growth investors and specialized healthcare funds willing to accept binary outcomes. Investors are betting on clinical trial success creating 3-10x returns through regulatory approval, partnership deals, or acquisition. No dividends, negative earnings, and high volatility make this unsuitable for value or income investors. Momentum traders enter around clinical catalysts (data readouts, FDA decisions). Typical holders include biotech-focused hedge funds, venture capital, and retail investors with high risk tolerance.

Watch on Earnings
TX45 Phase 2b clinical trial enrollment progress and data readout timelinesCash and marketable securities balance relative to quarterly burn ratePeer company IBD clinical trial results (competitive benchmarking for efficacy/safety)Biotech IPO and follow-on offering market conditions (XBI index performance)
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
50/100
Liquidity
18.51Strong
Leverage
0.02Strong
Coverage
-1824.3xConcern
ROE
-32.3%Concern
ROIC
-39.6%Concern
Cash
$254MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE4 analysts
BUY
+142.0%upside to target
L $60.00
Med $67.50consensus
H $75.00
Buy
4100%
4 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 51 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 18.51 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 27, 2026
In 103 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 34.1%

-7.1% vs SMA 50 · +24.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI50.6
Neutral territory
MACD-0.06
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$36.03+29.2%
EMA 50
$28.30+1.5%
Current
$27.89
EMA 200
$24.13-13.5%
52W Low
$14.39-48.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$14.3962th %ile$36.03
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:4
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)255K
Recent Vol (5D)
308K+21%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 8 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$0-$4.17
±9%
High8
FY2026(current)
$0-$5.18
±13%
High8
FY2027
$0-$5.50
±37%
High8
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryTECX
Last 8Q
-12.1%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
-94%
Q3'24
-43%
Q4'24
+40%
Q1'25
+15%
Q2'25
-9%
Q3'25
+3%
Q4'25
+7%
Q1'26
-16%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $32K sold · 30d window
Ruddy Marcella K.Chief Medical …
$32K
May 4
SELL
Ruddy Marcella K.Chief Medical …
$31K
Apr 1
SELL
Ruddy Marcella K.Chief Medical …
$300K
Mar 6
SELL
Mcnamara PeterChief Scientif…
$181K
Mar 6
SELL
Mcnamara PeterChief Scientif…
$8K
Mar 6
SELL
Mcnamara PeterChief Scientif…
$41K
Mar 4
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
FMR LLC
2.8M
2
TCG Crossover Management, LLC
1.2M
3
abrdn plc
1.1M
4
BlackRock, Inc.
860K
5
BRAIDWELL LP
847K
6
First Light Asset Management, LLC
648K
7
BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LP
608K
8
5AM Venture Management, LLC
607K
News & Activity

TECX News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

clinical stage company focused on delivering step-change cell & gene therapies targeting cancer and rare disease.

Industry
Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)
John DienerSenior Vice President of Antibody Engineering & Protein Sciences
Geraldine Peters-WilesSenior Vice President of Human Resources
Alise S. ReicinPresident, Chief Executive Officer, Secretary & Director
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
TECX
$27.89-6.41%$526M1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-3.46%50.3+398824.8%-4085.6%1500