TNXP
Next earnings: Aug 10, 2026
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+3.41%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume0.2× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 52Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
14.09
Open
13.71
Day Range13.50 – 14.64
13.50
14.64
52W Range11.60 – 69.97
11.60
69.97
5% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
441.4K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-1.0x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.30
Market-like
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +75% YoY · 53% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 7.0 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$228.98M
Revenue TTM$17.56M
Net Income TTM-$147.39M
Free Cash Flow-$132.65M
Gross Margin52.6%
Net Margin-839.5%
Operating Margin-861.2%
Return on Equity-67.7%
Return on Assets-57.1%
Debt / Equity0.01
Current Ratio6.99
EPS TTM$-10.75
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Phase 2/3 clinical trial readouts for TNX-102 SL (fibromyalgia), TNX-1300 (cocaine intoxication), and other pipeline assets - binary events with 30-80% single-day moves typical

FDA regulatory decisions including IND clearances, Fast Track designations, and Breakthrough Therapy status for lead programs

Equity financing announcements and dilution concerns - with $100M+ annual burn and $20M market cap, dilution risk is extreme

Partnership or licensing deals that validate platform technology or provide non-dilutive funding

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Clinical-stage biotech operations are largely insulated from GDP fluctuations as R&D spending is committed years in advance and trial timelines are regulatory-driven, not economically driven. However, the company's ability to raise capital is highly sensitive to risk appetite in biotech equity markets, which correlates with broader economic conditions and tech/growth stock sentiment.

Interest Rates

High interest rates negatively impact Tonix through two channels: (1) Valuation compression - biotech DCF models discount future cash flows at higher rates, disproportionately affecting pre-revenue companies with cash flows 5-10 years out; (2) Capital availability - rising rates reduce investor appetite for speculative, cash-burning growth stocks as safer fixed-income alternatives become attractive. The company's 9.89x current ratio provides temporary insulation, but sustained high rates make future equity raises more dilutive.

Key Risks

Binary clinical trial risk - single Phase 3 failure can eliminate 50-90% of market value overnight, with multiple programs creating portfolio risk but no diversification until commercial stage

Regulatory pathway uncertainty for novel mechanisms - FDA approval timelines for CNS and immunology assets can extend 12-24 months beyond initial estimates, exhausting cash runway

Equity dilution spiral - with $200M market cap and $100M+ annual burn, the company faces 50-80% dilution risk per financing round at current valuations, creating death spiral potential

Investor Profile

momentum/speculative - Attracts high-risk biotech traders seeking 3-10x returns on binary clinical catalysts, not fundamental value investors. The -70.3% six-month return followed by +39.2% one-year return shows extreme volatility typical of clinical-stage names. With no revenue, negative margins, and total dependence on trial outcomes, this is pure speculation on FDA approval probability. Institutional ownership is likely minimal given market cap and risk profile.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly cash burn rate and total cash/equivalents balance - determines financing urgency and runwayPhase 2/3 trial enrollment completion percentages and data readout timelines for TNX-102 SL and TNX-1300Nasdaq Biotechnology Index (NBI) performance as proxy for biotech funding environment and risk appetiteFDA calendar for PDUFA dates, advisory committee meetings, and regulatory milestone decisions
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
50/100
Liquidity
6.99Strong
Leverage
0.01Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-67.7%Concern
ROIC
-66.2%Concern
Cash
$208MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE7 analysts
BUY
Buy
571%
Hold
229%
5 Buy (71%)2 Hold (29%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 52 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 6.99 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 16, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 13, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 108 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 32.2%

+4.3% vs SMA 50 · -29.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI51.9
Neutral territory
MACD+0.08
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$69.97+390.0%
EMA 200
$21.25+48.8%
Current
$14.28
EMA 50
$13.92-2.5%
52W Low
$11.60-18.8%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$11.605th %ile$69.97
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:4
Edge:+3 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)428K
Recent Vol (5D)
368K-14%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$10.4M
$9.7M$11.3M
-$13.43
±3%
Moderate3
FY2026(current)
$30.1M
$15.5M$49.2M
+188.2%-$9.85
±20%
Moderate3
FY2027
$80.9M
$70.2M$91.7M
+169.1%-$6.35
±41%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryTNXP
Last 8Q
-14.6%avg beat
Beat 2 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
-95%
Q3'24
+89%
Q4'24
-57%
Q1'25
+12%
Q2'25
-25%
Q3'25
Q4'25
-26%
Q1'26
-15%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Craig-HallumHold
May 23
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Lederman SethCEO
$63K
Mar 31
BUY
Lederman SethCEO
$223K
Mar 18
BUY
Taylor Carolyn E.Dir
$15K
Aug 21
BUY
Treco JamesDir
$9K
Aug 20
BUY
Lederman SethCEO
$86K
May 15
BUY
Lederman SethCEO
$34K
Jun 29
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
968K
2
UBS Group AG
232K
3
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
100K
4
Nuveen, LLC
95K
5
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
84K
6
SUPERSTRING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP
64K
7
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
30K
8
Invesco Ltd.
15K
News & Activity

TNXP News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

tonix is developing innovative pharmaceutical products to address major public health challenges. in addition to tonmya for ptsd, tonix is developing tnx-601 (tianeptine oxalate), a clinical candidate at pre-ind (investigational new drug) application stage, designed as a daytime treatment for ptsd and tnx-801, a live synthetic version of horsepox virus, at the pre-ind application stage, to be developed as a potential smallpox-preventing vaccine. further information about tonix can be found at www.tonixpharma.com.

Industry
Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)
CEO
Seth Lederman
Country
United States
Seth LedermanCo-Founder, President, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman
Sina BavariExecutive Vice President of Infectious Disease Research & Development
Zeil RosenbergExecutive Vice President of Medical
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
TNXP
$14.28+0.00%$225M1500
$67.91+1.53%$13.6B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$93.89+0.19%$13.1B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$532.90+4.05%$12.4B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$228.47-1.30%$12.0B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.69+3.36%$11.3B50.8+1459.3%147.7%1500
$77.90+2.32%$11.2B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg+1.45%50.8+398824.8%-4085.6%1500