Patient membership growth and clinic expansion announcements (new market entries or payer contract wins)
Medical loss ratio (MLR) trends showing progress toward managing care costs below capitated rates
Path to profitability milestones including EBITDA breakeven timelines and cash runway visibility
Medicare Advantage enrollment trends and reimbursement rate changes affecting capitated payment levels
low - Cancer treatment demand is non-discretionary and largely insulated from economic cycles. However, unemployment affects commercial insurance enrollment, and recessions can shift patients toward government programs. Medicare Advantage penetration (the primary payer channel) has grown consistently regardless of economic conditions, providing stable demand backdrop.
Rising rates negatively impact TOI through multiple channels: higher cost of capital for growth investments and clinic expansion, pressure on valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies, and potential strain on working capital financing. The company's negative cash flow makes it dependent on capital markets access. Additionally, rising rates can pressure Medicare Advantage plan economics, potentially leading to tighter provider reimbursement negotiations.
Medicare Advantage reimbursement rate cuts or regulatory changes to risk adjustment methodology could compress capitated payment rates by 3-5%, eliminating path to profitability
Value-based care model execution risk - if medical costs exceed capitated rates due to adverse selection or care management failures, losses accelerate rapidly
Physician recruitment and retention challenges in competitive oncology labor market, particularly in Western states where competition from hospital systems is intense
growth/speculative - Attracts investors betting on value-based care secular trend and potential for operational turnaround as clinics mature. High-risk profile given negative profitability, cash burn, and execution uncertainty. Recent 177% one-year return followed by 34% six-month decline indicates momentum-driven trading and high retail participation. Not suitable for value or income investors given negative earnings and no dividend.
Trend
+12.4% vs SMA 50 · +27.6% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $361.1M $352.9M–$369.8M | — | $0.00 | — | — | Low1 |
FY2024 | $414.7M $405.3M–$424.8M | ▲ +14.9% | -$0.36 | — | ±3% | Low1 |
FY2025 | $500.6M $499.2M–$502.0M | ▲ +20.7% | -$0.59 | — | ±7% | Moderate3 |
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
TOI News
About
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| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TOI◀ | $3.98 | -1.49% | $398M | — | +2778.7% | -1205.5% | 1500 |
| $66.13 | -5.07% | $13.0B | — | +12626.1% | -14525.8% | 1500 | |
| $94.92 | -3.79% | $12.6B | — | +3288.2% | -4239.0% | 1500 | |
| $523.69 | -3.00% | $12.1B | — | +43205.3% | -3008.0% | 1500 | |
| $227.72 | -1.96% | $11.7B | — | +6554.5% | -2868.8% | 1500 | |
| $57.90 | -0.86% | $11.2B | 50.3 | +1459.3% | 147.7% | 1500 | |
| $76.67 | -3.79% | $10.8B | — | +2325815.3% | -19.7% | 1500 | |
| Sector avg | — | -2.85% | — | 50.3 | +342246.8% | -3674.2% | 1500 |