USB
Next earnings: Jul 16, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move-0.02%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 50Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
54.49
Open
54.55
Day Range53.62 – 54.88
53.62
54.88
52W Range42.21 – 61.19
42.21
61.19
65% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
9.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
11.4x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.04%
Beta
0.79
Low vol
Performance
1D
-1.87%
5D
-2.92%
1M
-2.10%
3M
-7.58%
6M
+14.43%
YTD
+2.12%
1Y
+23.81%
Best: 1Y (+23.81%)Worst: 3M (-7.58%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
63% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 11x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.4 (low) · FCF $6.17/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$84.57B
Revenue TTM$43.34B
Net Income TTM$7.81B
Free Cash Flow$9.60B
Gross Margin62.8%
Net Margin18.0%
Operating Margin23.2%
Return on Equity12.2%
Return on Assets1.1%
Debt / Equity1.20
Current Ratio0.40
EPS TTM$5.03
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin expansion/compression driven by Fed funds rate and yield curve shape

Commercial loan growth rates, particularly middle-market C&I lending in Midwest/West regions

Credit quality metrics including provision expense and non-performing asset ratios

Payment services revenue growth from Elavon merchant volumes and pricing

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Commercial loan demand correlates directly with business investment and GDP growth, particularly in manufacturing and distribution sectors concentrated in USB's Midwest footprint. Consumer lending (mortgages, credit cards) tracks employment and consumer confidence. Payment processing volumes decline 15-20% during recessions as transaction activity falls.

Interest Rates

Asset-sensitive balance sheet benefits from rising short-term rates through higher loan yields and securities portfolio repricing, with ~60% of loan book floating or repricing within 12 months. However, flattening or inverted yield curve (10Y-2Y spread compression) pressures NIM as funding costs rise faster than long-term asset yields. Each 25bp Fed funds increase historically adds 3-5bp to NIM with 2-3 quarter lag. Deposit beta (percentage of rate increases passed to depositors) typically 30-40% but rises in competitive environments.

Key Risks

Digital disruption from fintech competitors and neobanks eroding deposit franchise and payment processing market share, requiring $1B+ annual technology investment

Regulatory capital requirements (Basel III endgame) potentially increasing capital needs by 15-20% and constraining ROE

Branch network obsolescence with 30%+ decline in foot traffic requiring costly rationalization while maintaining market presence

Investor Profile

value - Trades at 1.4x book value with 12% ROE and 3.5% dividend yield, attracting income-focused investors seeking stable dividends and moderate capital appreciation. Quality-focused value investors appreciate consistent profitability, strong credit culture, and capital discipline. Less attractive to growth investors given low single-digit loan growth and mature market footprint.

Watch on Earnings
Federal funds effective rate and forward guidance from FOMC meetings10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread (yield curve slope)Commercial & Industrial loan growth rates from Fed H.8 dataFDIC deposit pricing trends and industry deposit betas
Health Radar
2 watch4 concern
27/100
Liquidity
0.40Concern
Leverage
1.20Watch
Coverage
0.7xConcern
ROE
12.2%Watch
ROIC
4.7%Concern
Cash
$46.9BConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE26 analysts
BUY
+15.6%upside to target
L $60.00
Med $63.00consensus
H $73.00
Strong Buy
14%
Buy
1454%
Hold
1038%
Sell
14%
15 Buy (58%)10 Hold (38%)1 Sell (4%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 50 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.40 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 13, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 7, 2026
In 87 days
PDividend PaymentAug 14, 2026
In 94 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 5.1%

+0.7% vs SMA 50 · +5.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI50.3
Neutral territory
MACD+0.17
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$61.19+12.3%
EMA 50
$55.05+1.0%
Current
$54.48
EMA 200
$51.22-6.0%
52W Low
$42.21-22.5%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$42.2165th %ile$61.19
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)9.9M
Recent Vol (5D)
9.0M-10%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 14 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$25.1B
$24.8B$25.6B
$3.15
±2%
High12
FY2024
$27.5B
$27.5B$27.5B
+9.4%$3.84+22.0%
±3%
High14
FY2025
$28.6B
$28.5B$28.7B
+4.1%$4.55+18.4%
±1%
High13
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryUSB
Last 8Q
+4.7%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+4%
Q3'24
+4%
Q4'24
+3%
Q1'25
+5%
Q2'25
+4%
Q3'25
+8%
Q4'25
+6%
Q1'26
+4%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Wolfe ResearchPeer Perform
Jan 7
DOWNGRADE
Deutsche BankHold → Buy
Oct 23
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesMarket Perform → Outperform
Dec 19
UPGRADE
Deutsche BankBuy → Hold
Oct 24
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight → Overweight
Sep 30
UPGRADE
Wells FargoMarket Perform → Neutral
Jun 27
DOWNGRADE
Keefe, Bruyette & W…Outperform → Market Perform
Apr 18
DOWNGRADE
HSBCBuy
Mar 28
UPGRADE
Compass PointBuy
Mar 22
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesMarket Perform
Jul 20
UPGRADE
NeedhamBuy
Jul 11
UPGRADE
J.P. MorganBuy
Jul 11
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $4.2M sold · 30d window
Dilip VenkatachariSEVP & Chief I…
$1.9M
May 5
SELL
Richard Jodi LVice Chair
$2.3M
Apr 21
SELL
Runkel Mark G.Vice Chair
$2.0M
Feb 6
SELL
Barcelos Elcio R.t.Senior EVP, Ch…
$1.0M
Feb 3
SELL
Chosy James LSenior EVP and…
$1.3M
Oct 20
SELL
Cecere AndrewDir
$6.5M
Oct 20
SELL
Financials
Dividends3.78% yield
+3.5% avg annual growth
Annual Yield3.78%
Quarterly Div.$0.5200
Est. Annual / Share$2.08
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DAVIS SELECTED ADVISERS
22.2M
2
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
10.4M
3
Legal & General Group Plc
9.5M
4
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
9.1M
5
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
8.7M
6
SG Americas Securities, LLC
6.6M
7
ENVESTNET ASSET MANAGEMENT INC
6.5M
8
UBS Group AG
5.7M
News & Activity

USB News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

we believe in putting people first, and our dedication to making ethical decisions and doing the right thing is at the heart of what we do. we're proud to be named by ethisphere as a 2017 world's most ethical company. we work to meet our customers’ business and personal banking needs with competitive products and services, convenient access to their accounts, and proven stability backed by industry-leading financial metrics. with more than 4,800 atms, 3,088 branch locations, 24-hour phone support and mobile and online banking, we make it easy for our customers to manage their money any time. please note: equal housing lender. credit products are offered by u.s bank national association and subject to normal credit approval. some restrictions may apply. deposit products offered by u.s. bank national association. member fdic.

Industry
Monetary Authorities-Central Bank
CEO
Andrew Cecere
Gunjan KediaPresident, CEO & Chairman
Souheil BadranSenior EVP & COO
Adam GravesSenior EVice President and Head of Enterprise Strategy & Administration
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
USB
$54.48-1.87%$84.6B10.8+34.9%1767.6%1521
$304.88-0.70%$803.9B14.2+330.7%2039.3%1501
$326.42+1.59%$620.8B27.9+1134.0%5014.5%1499
$499.81-1.09%$439.9B28.5+1641.6%4564.7%1492
$50.78-1.48%$358.7B11.6-45.1%1592.6%1500
$191.90+1.51%$301.4B16.5+1147.7%1466.4%1523
$945.90+0.89%$278.7B15.9-138.4%1373.0%1521
Sector avg-0.16%17.9+586.5%2545.4%1508