VSAT
Next earnings: May 19, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-2.17%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.0× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 69Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
65.12
Open
63.70
Day Range62.70 – 64.30
62.70
64.30
52W Range8.61 – 66.75
8.61
66.75
95% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-24.5x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.15
Market-like
Performance
1D
-1.20%
5D
+11.41%
1M
+24.99%
3M
+64.11%
6M
+75.34%
YTD
+88.97%
1Y
+607.83%
Best: 1Y (+607.83%)Worst: 1D (-1.20%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +2% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 2.1 · FCF $10.12/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$8.62B
Revenue TTM$4.62B
Net Income TTM-$338.96M
Free Cash Flow$1.32B
Gross Margin31.9%
Net Margin-7.3%
Operating Margin-1.0%
Return on Equity-7.4%
Return on Assets-2.3%
Debt / Equity1.58
Current Ratio2.13
EPS TTM$-2.60
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

ViaSat-3 satellite operational status and capacity utilization - successful activation and subscriber ramp directly impacts revenue trajectory

In-flight connectivity contract announcements - major airline wins (e.g., new aircraft installations, fleet expansions) drive multi-year revenue visibility

Government defense budget allocations and contract awards - DoD spending on tactical communications and cybersecurity programs

Residential broadband subscriber net additions and ARPU trends - growth in underserved markets competing against Starlink and terrestrial providers

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Government services (~40% of revenue) provide counter-cyclical stability tied to defense budgets rather than GDP. Commercial aviation connectivity is cyclically sensitive to air travel demand, which correlates with GDP growth and business spending. Residential broadband shows modest cyclical sensitivity as rural customers have limited alternatives, though discretionary upgrades may slow in recessions. Maritime services tied to shipping volumes exhibit moderate cyclical exposure. Overall, diversified revenue mix dampens pure cyclical exposure compared to consumer discretionary businesses.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels. Viasat carries $4.1B+ in debt (Debt/Equity 1.58) with significant floating-rate exposure, making interest expense directly sensitive to Fed Funds rate changes. Rising rates increase financing costs on existing debt and future refinancing. Additionally, satellite infrastructure investments require multi-year capital deployment with long payback periods, making project IRRs sensitive to discount rates - higher rates reduce NPV of future cash flows. Valuation multiples compress as rates rise since investors discount future earnings more heavily. The company's negative FCF profile amplifies rate sensitivity as external financing needs persist.

Key Risks

Low Earth Orbit (LEO) constellation competition from Starlink, OneWeb, and Amazon Kuiper offering lower latency and rapidly expanding capacity that could commoditize satellite broadband pricing and erode market share in residential and mobility segments

Terrestrial 5G and fiber expansion into rural markets reducing addressable market for satellite broadband as wireless carriers deploy fixed wireless access and governments subsidize fiber buildouts

Satellite launch failures or in-orbit anomalies - ViaSat-3 Americas experienced antenna deployment issues in 2023 reducing usable capacity, illustrating technical execution risk inherent in space-based infrastructure

Investor Profile

growth/momentum - The 410% one-year return and 74% six-month return indicate strong momentum investor interest. The stock attracts growth-oriented investors betting on the ViaSat-3 constellation ramp, Inmarsat integration synergies, and long-term satellite broadband market expansion. Negative current profitability and FCF exclude value and income investors. High volatility and execution risk appeal to risk-tolerant growth investors with multi-year time horizons willing to accept near-term losses for potential market share gains in expanding satellite connectivity markets. Recent price appreciation suggests speculative interest and short covering.

Watch on Earnings
Federal Funds Rate - directly impacts interest expense on floating-rate debt and cost of capital for infrastructure investmentsU.S. defense budget appropriations and DoD tactical communications spending - drives government services contract awardsGlobal air passenger traffic (RPK - Revenue Passenger Kilometers) - correlates with in-flight connectivity demand and airline capex for installationsHigh-yield credit spreads (BAMLH0A0HYM2) - indicates cost and availability of debt financing for capital-intensive satellite projects
Health Radar
1 strong2 watch3 concern
26/100
Liquidity
2.13Strong
Leverage
1.58Watch
Coverage
-0.1xConcern
ROE
-7.4%Concern
ROIC
-0.3%Concern
Cash
$1.6BWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE20 analysts
HOLD
-19.9%downside to target
L $48.00
Med $51.00consensus
H $74.00
Buy
840%
Hold
840%
Sell
420%
8 Buy (40%)8 Hold (40%)4 Sell (20%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 69 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.13 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 71.1%

+75.9% vs SMA 50 · +201.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI68.9
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+1.69
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$66.75+4.8%
Current
$63.71
EMA 50
$35.33-44.5%
EMA 200
$21.16-66.8%
52W Low
$8.61-86.5%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$8.6195th %ile$66.75
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:0
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)3.6M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.2M-40%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$4.6B
$4.5B$4.7B
-$8.08
±3%
High6
FY2025
$4.5B
$4.5B$4.5B
-2.8%-$3.06
±10%
High7
FY2026(current)
$4.7B
$4.6B$4.7B
+3.6%-$1.03
±7%
High7
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryVSAT
Last 8Q
+125.0%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
-20%
Q2'24
+38%
Q3'24
-91%
Q4'24
-132%
Q1'25
-167%
Q2'25
+440%
Q3'25
+182%
Q4'25
+750%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d10
Deutsche BankHold → Buy
Feb 6
UPGRADE
BarclaysEqual-Weight → Underweight
Oct 1
DOWNGRADE
Deutsche BankBuy → Hold
Aug 7
DOWNGRADE
William BlairMarket Perform → Outperform
Aug 4
UPGRADE
Deutsche BankHold → Buy
Mar 24
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Palmer Benjamin Edw…SVP, Pres Comm…
$115K
Apr 1
SELL
Miller Craig AndrewSVP, Pres Vias…
$263K
Mar 17
SELL
Blair Robert JamesSVP, General C…
$905K
Mar 16
SELL
Blair Robert JamesSVP, General C…
$526K
Mar 16
SELL
Palmer Benjamin Edw…SVP, Pres Comm…
$111K
Mar 12
SELL
Miller Craig AndrewSVP, Pres Vias…
$1.5M
Mar 2
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
3.7M
2
HENNESSY ADVISORS INC
1.2M
3
LEE DANNER & BASS INC
833K
4
La Banque Postale Asset Management SA
211K
5
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA PUBLIC SCHOOL EMPLS RETRMT SYS
197K
6
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
123K
7
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
111K
8
SG Americas Securities, LLC
99K
News & Activity

VSAT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

viasat ensures consumers, businesses, government agencies and our military stay connected by delivering fast, secure internet and communications technologies and services. if you’ve ever used the in-flight wi-fi on jetblue or united you can thank viasat for that service. viasat is hiring - http://www.viasat.com/careers

Industry
Radio and Television Broadcasting and Wireless Communications Equipment Manufacturing
CEO
Mark Dankberg
Craig Andrew MillerSenior Vice President & President of Viasat Government
Garrett L. ChaseSenior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
James Michael DoddSenior Vice President & President of Commercial Services
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
VSAT
$63.71-1.20%$8.8B+550.5%-1272.2%1500
$195.28-0.56%$4.8T40.2+6547.4%5560.3%1495
$275.99+3.28%$4.1T33.6+642.6%2691.5%1494
$413.74+1.57%$3.1T24.6+1493.2%3614.6%1477
$410.91+0.92%$2.0T80.0+2387.4%3619.8%1504
$577.33+4.84%$611.5B25.3+4885.1%2284.5%1534
$340.46+1.71%$587.8B135.6+3433.8%1251.5%1517
Sector avg+1.51%56.5+2848.6%2535.7%1503