Brent crude oil prices (primary revenue driver due to oil-indexed LNG contracts) - $10/bbl move impacts annual EBITDA by ~$800M-1B
Asian LNG spot prices (JKM index) - affects 20-30% of uncontracted volumes and contract renegotiation benchmarks
Scarborough project execution - first gas timeline, cost overruns, and production ramp-up to 8 mtpa capacity
Production volumes and operational uptime - unplanned outages at North West Shelf or Pluto facilities materially impact quarterly results
high - LNG demand is directly tied to Asian industrial activity, power generation, and economic growth, particularly in China, Japan, and South Korea which represent 60%+ of global LNG imports. Chinese GDP growth drives incremental demand for gas-fired power and industrial feedstock. European demand has become more volatile post-2022 but provides upside optionality during supply crunches. Revenue lags economic cycles by 3-6 months due to oil-indexed contract structures.
moderate - Rising rates increase financing costs for $4.9B annual capex program and Scarborough project debt, though investment-grade balance sheet (0.38 D/E) limits refinancing risk. Higher rates compress valuation multiples for long-duration energy assets and make dividend yield less attractive versus fixed income alternatives. Conversely, rate increases often correlate with inflation and stronger commodity prices, providing partial offset. Customer creditworthiness in emerging Asian markets can deteriorate with tighter financial conditions.
Energy transition and LNG demand peak risk - Asian countries accelerating renewable deployment and coal-to-gas switching timelines uncertain beyond 2035, potentially stranding long-life LNG assets
Regulatory and carbon pricing pressure - Australian government considering stricter emissions caps, potential carbon border adjustments in export markets, and rising costs to achieve net-zero commitments by 2050
Geopolitical supply competition - massive new LNG capacity from Qatar (126 mtpa expansion), US Gulf Coast projects, and East African developments could oversupply market in late 2020s
dividend/value - Attracts income-focused investors seeking 5-6% dividend yields backed by long-life LNG assets and value investors drawn to 1.0x P/B and 4.7x EV/EBITDA multiples trading below global energy peers. Commodity exposure appeals to inflation hedgers. 27.3% one-year return reflects recovery from 2024 lows as LNG markets tightened. Less suitable for pure growth investors given mature asset base and capital-intensive reinvestment requirements.
Trend
+7.9% vs SMA 50 · +31.5% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2024 | $13.2B $12.5B–$13.6B | — | $1.53 | — | ±13% | High7 |
FY2025 | $13.0B $12.5B–$13.3B | ▼ -1.3% | $1.33 | ▼ -13.5% | ±13% | High8 |
FY2026(current) | $15.4B $14.5B–$16.6B | ▲ +18.9% | $2.04 | ▲ +53.5% | ±29% | High8 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
WDS News
About
woodside is an australian oil and gas company with a global presence, recognised for its world-class capabilities – as an explorer, a developer, a producer and a supplier. our mission is to deliver superior shareholder returns through realising our vision of becoming a global leader in upstream oil and gas. wherever we work, we are committed to living our values of integrity, respect, discipline, excellence, and working together for a sustainable future. our operations are characterised by strong safety and environmental performance in remote and challenging locations. we recognise that long-term meaningful relationships with communities are fundamental to maintaining our licence to operate and we work to build mutually beneficial relationships across all locations where we are active. our producing lng assets in the north west of australia are among the world’s best facilities. today, our exploration portfolio includes emerging and frontier provinces in australasia, the atlantic
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WDS◀ | $22.98 | +2.96% | $43.6B | 15.4 | -148.0% | 2093.3% | 1500 |
| $404.35 | -3.20% | $2.1T | 30.5 | +3296.8% | 4510.0% | 1500 | |
| $132.58 | -6.05% | $307.9B | 20.7 | -44.8% | 1012.0% | 1500 | |
| $88.38 | -2.58% | $303.7B | 13.6 | +318.8% | 1510.7% | 1500 | |
| $148.08 | -1.13% | $282.6B | 21.0 | +597.3% | 2564.4% | 1500 | |
| $181.58 | -1.83% | $281.6B | 26.9 | +862.9% | 1745.9% | 1500 | |
| $183.40 | -0.23% | $256.1B | 16.8 | +213.3% | 1482.4% | 1500 | |
| Sector avg | — | -1.72% | — | 20.7 | +728.0% | 2131.2% | 1500 |