WKC
Next earnings: Jul 30, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move+0.52%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 64Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
24.88
Open
24.93
Day Range24.74 – 25.22
24.74
25.22
52W Range22.71 – 31.54
22.71
31.54
26% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
711.4K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-3.3x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+0.77%
5D
+3.48%
1M
+18.94%
3M
+1.06%
6M
+7.64%
YTD
+17.93%
1Y
+6.07%
Best: 1M (+18.94%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -9% YoY · thin 1% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.0 · FCF $1.31/sh
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.42B
Revenue TTM$37.18B
Net Income TTM-$566.60M
Free Cash Flow$67.90M
Gross Margin1.5%
Net Margin-1.5%
Operating Margin0.7%
Return on Equity-39.6%
Return on Assets-8.3%
Debt / Equity0.66
Current Ratio1.05
EPS TTM$-10.96
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Fuel volume growth across aviation, marine, and land segments - particularly commercial aviation recovery post-pandemic and global shipping activity tied to trade volumes

Gross margin per gallon/unit - influenced by market volatility, supply-demand imbalances, and ability to capture wider bid-ask spreads during price dislocations

Working capital efficiency and cash conversion - the business model requires significant working capital to finance inventory and receivables, so changes in payment terms or inventory turns materially impact free cash flow

Commodity price volatility (WTI, Brent, marine fuel oil) - while theoretically neutral as a pass-through distributor, rapid price movements create margin compression or expansion and working capital swings

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - World Kinect's volumes are directly tied to global economic activity through commercial aviation passenger traffic (GDP-sensitive leisure and business travel), maritime shipping tonnage (international trade flows), and trucking/industrial fuel consumption (manufacturing and logistics activity). Aviation fuel demand correlates strongly with global GDP growth and consumer discretionary spending, while marine fuel tracks container shipping volumes and bulk commodity movements. The -11.7% revenue decline reflects softness in global trade and potential normalization from elevated post-pandemic logistics activity.

Interest Rates

World Kinect has moderate interest rate sensitivity through two channels: (1) Direct financing costs on working capital facilities and term debt - the company maintains revolving credit lines to finance fuel inventory and receivables, so rising rates increase interest expense on the $700M+ in net working capital typically deployed; (2) Customer demand sensitivity - higher rates dampen economic activity, reducing aviation travel, shipping volumes, and industrial fuel consumption. The 0.49x debt/equity ratio suggests manageable leverage, but working capital financing needs create meaningful rate exposure.

Key Risks

Energy transition and decarbonization - long-term shift toward sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), LNG-powered shipping, and electric vehicles could reduce demand for traditional petroleum-based fuels, though transition timeline extends decades and World Kinect is positioning in renewable fuels

Disintermediation risk - large airlines or shipping companies could bypass distributors and procure fuel directly from refiners or through digital platforms, compressing margins in the intermediary model, though logistics complexity and credit provision create barriers

Intense competition from regional fuel distributors, oil majors' marketing arms (BP, Shell trading divisions), and new entrants in digital fuel procurement platforms, limiting pricing power and margin expansion

Investor Profile

value - The 0.0x price/sales, 0.9x price/book, and 13.0% FCF yield suggest deep value characteristics attracting contrarian investors betting on operational turnaround, margin recovery, or asset value realization. The negative ROE and recent losses indicate distressed value or special situation appeal rather than quality growth. Investors likely focus on normalized earnings power, working capital optimization, and potential for margin expansion as global trade and aviation recover.

Watch on Earnings
Brent crude oil spot price and WTI crude price - primary benchmark for fuel costs and indicator of margin volatilityGlobal jet fuel demand and commercial aviation RPMs (revenue passenger miles) - tracks core aviation segment volume driversBaltic Dry Index and container shipping rates - leading indicators for marine fuel demand tied to global trade activityGross profit per gallon across segments - more indicative of business health than revenue given commodity pass-through model
Health Radar
1 strong3 watch2 concern
30/100
Liquidity
1.05Watch
Leverage
0.66Strong
Coverage
2.5xWatch
ROE
-39.6%Concern
ROIC
8.6%Watch
Cash
$194MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE9 analysts
HOLD
+12.0%upside to target
L $27.00
Med $28.00consensus
H $33.00
Buy
222%
Hold
556%
Sell
222%
2 Buy (22%)5 Hold (56%)2 Sell (22%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 64 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.05
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 7, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 4, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 118 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 1.4%

-2.8% vs SMA 50 · -4.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI63.9
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.48
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$31.54+26.1%
EMA 50
$25.73+2.9%
Current
$25.01
EMA 200
$24.56-1.8%
52W Low
$22.71-9.2%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$22.7126th %ile$31.54
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:2
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)567K
Recent Vol (5D)
495K-13%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$46.2B
$43.9B$48.6B
$2.26
±7%
Moderate3
FY2024
$42.8B
$42.2B$43.3B
-7.3%$2.07-8.5%
±2%
Moderate4
FY2025
$37.1B
$36.8B$37.5B
-13.2%$2.08+0.6%
±1%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryWKC
Last 8Q
+14.8%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates falling
-14%
Q3'24
Q4'24
+9%
Q1'25
+7%
Q2'25
+23%
Q3'25
-11%
Q4'25
-36%
Q1'26
+142%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Morgan StanleyUnderweight
Sep 16
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $690K sold · 30d window
Kasbar Michael JDir
$23K
Apr 28
SELL
Kasbar Michael JDir
$444K
Apr 24
SELL
Kasbar Michael JDir
$17K
Apr 24
SELL
Kasbar Michael JDir
$206K
Apr 24
SELL
Kasbar Michael JDir
$250K
Mar 2
SELL
Kasbar Michael JDir
$623K
Mar 4
SELL
Financials
Dividends2.90% yield
+9.7% avg annual growth
Annual Yield2.90%
Quarterly Div.$0.2000
Est. Annual / Share$0.80
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
365K
2
Nuveen, LLC
360K
3
JOHNSON INVESTMENT COUNSEL INC
92K
4
WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC
66K
5
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
64K
6
NISA INVESTMENT ADVISORS, LLC
63K
7
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
51K
8
KLP KAPITALFORVALTNING AS
46K
News & Activity

WKC News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

headquartered in miami, florida, world fuel services is a leading global fuel logistics company, principally engaged in the marketing, sale and distribution of aviation, marine and land fuel and related products and services on a worldwide basis. world fuel services sells fuel and delivers services to its clients at more than 8,000 locations in more than 200 countries and territories worldwide. the company's global team of market makers provides deep domain expertise in all aspects of aviation, marine and land fuel management. aviation customers include commercial airlines, cargo carriers, private aircraft and fixed base operators (fbos), as well as the united states and foreign governments. world fuel services' marine customers include international container and tanker fleets, cruise lines and time-charter operators, as well as the united states and foreign governments. land customers include petroleum distributors, retail petroleum operators, and industrial, commercial, and govern

CEO
Michael Kasbar
Country
United States
Ira BirnsCEO & Director
Glenn KlevitzVice President & Treasurer
Michael KrollSenior Vice President & Chief Accounting Officer
PeersEnergy(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
WKC
$25.01+0.77%$1.4B-1269.4%-166.3%1500
$154.88+0.77%$643.8B25.6-452.2%890.5%1498
$192.64+0.20%$384.4B34.7-464.4%666.9%1490
$123.32-1.27%$150.3B20.6+751.1%1360.5%1503
$76.12+0.94%$93.1B32.8+1377.7%2190.8%1497
$56.00+0.67%$83.7B25.4-159.8%938.1%1515
$260.51+3.16%$76.7B16.6-444.0%305.0%1499
Sector avg+0.75%25.9-94.4%883.6%1500