ZBIO
Next earnings: Aug 11, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-2.96%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 0Oversold — bounce setup
PRICE
Prev Close
18.90
Open
18.45
Day Range17.39 – 18.56
17.39
18.56
52W Range8.91 – 44.60
8.91
44.60
26% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
697.7K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-2.0x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-2.96%
5D
-4.83%
1M
-12.87%
3M
-30.53%
6M
-47.60%
YTD
-49.49%
1Y
+88.30%
Best: 1Y (+88.30%)Worst: YTD (-49.49%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -100% YoY · thin 0% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 11.9 · FCF negative
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$818.75M
Revenue TTM$0.00
Net Income TTM-$425.15M
Free Cash Flow-$210.48M
Gross Margin0.0%
Net Margin0.0%
Operating Margin0.0%
Return on Equity-167.7%
Return on Assets-56.9%
Debt / Equity0.58
Current Ratio11.94
EPS TTM$-7.64
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Obexelimab Phase 2b/3 clinical trial data readouts in IgG4-related disease and systemic lupus erythematosus - primary endpoints on disease activity scores

FDA regulatory milestone announcements including IND clearances, Fast Track/Breakthrough Therapy designations, and BLA submission timing

Strategic partnership or licensing deal announcements with big pharma (potential $100M+ upfront payments plus royalties)

Equity financing announcements and cash runway updates - dilution concerns versus extended operational runway

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Clinical-stage biotechs are largely insulated from GDP fluctuations as drug development timelines and regulatory processes operate independently of economic cycles. Patient enrollment in autoimmune trials continues regardless of recession/expansion. However, severe economic downturns can impact ability to raise capital and affect acquisition valuations.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact valuation through higher discount rates applied to distant future cash flows (potential revenues 3-5+ years out). Clinical-stage biotechs trade at high revenue multiples based on NPV of pipeline assets, making them particularly sensitive to risk-free rate changes. Higher rates also increase opportunity cost of holding non-yielding growth stocks and can tighten biotech financing markets, making capital raises more dilutive. Fed funds rate above 4.5% historically compresses biotech valuations 20-30%.

Key Risks

Binary clinical trial risk - single Phase 3 failure in obexelimab could eliminate 70-80% of market value overnight, as seen with comparable autoimmune trial failures

FDA regulatory approval uncertainty - even positive trial data faces 10-15% rejection risk, with potential for Complete Response Letters requiring additional studies

Reimbursement pressure from payers increasingly scrutinizing high-cost biologics, potentially limiting commercial uptake even post-approval

Investor Profile

growth - Pure speculation on binary clinical outcomes attracts high-risk tolerance investors seeking 3-5x returns on approval success. Typical holders include biotech-focused hedge funds, venture capital crossover funds, and retail momentum traders. No dividends, negative earnings eliminate value and income investors. Recent 302% one-year return and -26% three-month drawdown exemplify momentum-driven trading patterns. Institutional ownership likely concentrated among specialized healthcare funds willing to underwrite clinical risk.

Watch on Earnings
Obexelimab Phase 3 trial enrollment progress and data readout timing - primary catalyst for 2026-2027Monthly cash burn rate and quarterly cash balance - runway visibility critical for financing timingFDA regulatory feedback and designation status (Fast Track, Breakthrough Therapy) - de-risks approval pathwayCompetitive trial results from Argenx, Janssen in overlapping autoimmune indications - market validation or differentiation
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
46/100
Liquidity
11.94Strong
Leverage
0.58Strong
Coverage
-63.8xConcern
ROE
-167.7%Concern
ROIC
-61.5%Concern
Cash
$111MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE5 analysts
BUY
+90.8%upside to target
L $22.00
Med $35.00consensus
H $48.00
Buy
480%
Hold
120%
4 Buy (80%)1 Hold (20%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 0 — Oversold, watch for bounce
~
Volume
Volume FlowLean Distribution — selling pressure
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 11.94 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 17, 2026
In 93 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 21.2%

+84.0% vs SMA 50 · +44.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI0.0
Oversold — potential bounce
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$44.60+143.2%
Current
$18.34
EMA 50
$10.47-42.9%
52W Low
$8.91-51.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$8.9126th %ile$44.60
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:0
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)707K
Recent Vol (5D)
470K-34%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$18.0M
$7.7M$38.6M
-$4.12
±21%
High5
FY2026(current)
$21.9M
$11.7M$29.3M
+21.6%-$4.81
±17%
Moderate3
FY2027
$50.7M
$17.6M$72.5M
+131.9%-$4.73
±18%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryZBIO
Last 7Q
-47.3%avg beat
Beat 3 of 7 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
+46%
Q4'24
-334%
Q1'25
+28%
Q2'25
-23%
Q3'25
-40%
Q4'25
-10%
Q1'26
+1%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
NET BUYERS$1.1M bought · $0 sold · 30d window
Moulder Leon O JrCEO
$617K
Apr 29
BUY
Moulder Leon O JrCEO
$451K
Apr 28
BUY
Lu HongboDir
$70K
Mar 31
BUY
Fairmount Funds Man…Dir
$3.0M
Mar 31
BUY
Moulder Leon O JrCEO
$657K
Mar 31
BUY
Moulder Leon O JrCEO
$365K
Mar 30
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
FMR LLC
9.1M
2
SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP
5.0M
3
NEA Management Company, LLC
4.0M
4
Enavate Sciences GP, LLC
3.9M
5
FEDERATED HERMES, INC.
3.1M
6
Polar Capital Holdings Plc
2.5M
7
Capital International Investors
2.4M
8
Fairmount Funds Management LLC
2.4M
News & Activity

ZBIO News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Industry
Investment Trusts/Mutual Funds
Leon Oliver Moulder Jr.Founder, CEO & Chairman
Joseph L. FarmerChief Operating Officer & President
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ZBIO
$18.34-2.96%$819M+10000.0%-377737.0%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-2.97%50.3+343278.4%-57464.4%1500