ZVRA
Earnings in 1 day · May 6, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move-0.20%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.3× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 62Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
10.07
Open
10.11
Day Range10.01 – 10.50
10.01
10.50
52W Range7.16 – 13.16
7.16
13.16
48% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.0M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
7.4x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-0.98%
5D
+2.44%
1M
+3.39%
3M
+12.64%
6M
+2.86%
YTD
+12.39%
1Y
+25.88%
Best: 1Y (+25.88%)Worst: 1D (-0.98%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +351% YoY · 84% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 7x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 5.7 · FCF negative
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$594.10M
Revenue TTM$106.47M
Net Income TTM$83.23M
Free Cash Flow-$2.43M
Gross Margin84.2%
Net Margin78.2%
Operating Margin-59.1%
Return on Equity74.6%
Return on Assets29.2%
Debt / Equity0.41
Current Ratio5.68
EPS TTM$1.50
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

MIPLYFFA commercial uptake metrics - new patient starts, persistence rates, and quarterly prescription volumes in NPC population

KP1077 regulatory milestones - FDA Complete Response Letter resolution, potential approval timing for idiopathic hypersomnia indication with estimated 37,000 US patients

Clinical trial readouts for pipeline assets including potential label expansions or new indications

Cash runway updates and financing events - equity raises, debt facilities, or partnership announcements given negative $100M+ annual cash burn

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Rare disease treatments for life-threatening conditions exhibit minimal demand elasticity regardless of economic conditions. Patient populations are medically driven rather than discretionary, with payer coverage through commercial insurance and Medicaid insulating from consumer spending cycles. However, state Medicaid budget pressures during recessions can delay reimbursement approvals.

Interest Rates

Rising rates negatively impact valuation multiples for pre-profitable biotech as discount rates increase on future cash flows. Higher rates increase cost of capital for future equity raises needed to fund operations given $100M+ annual cash burn. Debt financing becomes more expensive though company maintains modest 0.47x debt/equity ratio. Rate environment affects M&A likelihood as strategic acquirers face higher financing costs.

Key Risks

Ultra-orphan market size constraints - NPC affects estimated 3,000-5,000 patients globally, fundamentally limiting revenue ceiling regardless of market penetration

Regulatory pathway complexity for rare diseases requiring long-term safety studies and post-marketing commitments with ongoing costs

Gene therapy and emerging modality competition potentially offering curative approaches versus chronic symptomatic management

Investor Profile

growth - Attracts speculative biotech investors focused on binary regulatory catalysts and rare disease commercial potential. Small market cap ($500M) and negative cash flow profile appeal to venture-style investors willing to accept high risk for potential multi-bagger returns on successful drug approvals. Not suitable for value or income investors given lack of profitability and dividends.

Watch on Earnings
MIPLYFFA quarterly patient enrollment and net revenue per patient trendsKP1077 FDA regulatory action dates and approval probability updatesQuarterly operating cash burn rate and cash/equivalents balanceClinical trial milestone achievements and data readout timelines
Health Radar
4 strong2 concern
60/100
Liquidity
5.68Strong
Leverage
0.41Strong
Coverage
-7.9xConcern
ROE
74.6%Strong
ROIC
-24.6%Concern
Cash
$62MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE8 analysts
BUY
+138.8%upside to target
L $23.00
Med $24.00consensus
H $26.00
Buy
8100%
8 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
5 of 5 signals bullish
10/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 62 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 5.68 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 7, 2026
In 94 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 3.2%

+9.2% vs SMA 50 · +5.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI61.6
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD-0.24
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$13.16+30.9%
Current
$10.05
EMA 50
$9.87-1.8%
EMA 200
$7.30-27.4%
52W Low
$7.16-28.8%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$7.1648th %ile$13.16
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:10
Dist days:4
Edge:+6 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)931K
Recent Vol (5D)
1.1M+20%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$100.4M
$99.9M$100.7M
$1.25
±5%
High6
FY2026(current)
$143.3M
$137.1M$153.7M
+42.7%$0.49-61.1%
±50%
High7
FY2027
$219.8M
$208.6M$229.5M
+53.4%$1.49+205.5%
±14%
High7
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryZVRA
Last 8Q
+270.7%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
+18%
Q2'24
-2%
Q3'24
-57%
Q4'24
-72%
Q1'25
+71%
Q2'25
-45%
Q3'25
+50%
Q4'25
+2202%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Mcfarlane Neil F.Dir
$125K
Feb 9
SELL
Sangiovanni Timothy…SVP, Finance &…
$28K
Feb 3
SELL
Schafer JoshuaCCO
$97K
Feb 3
SELL
Sangiovanni Timothy…SVP, Finance &…
$15K
Jan 30
SELL
Thompson RahsaanOfficer, Other…
$36K
Jan 30
SELL
Quartel Adrian WChief Medical …
$40K
Jan 30
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
AIGH Capital Management LLC
1.2M
2
Stratos Wealth Partners, LTD.
408K
3
Janney Montgomery Scott LLC
237K
4
Nuveen, LLC
193K
5
Phocas Financial Corp.
159K
6
Simplify Asset Management Inc.
101K
7
IFG Advisors, LLC
62K
8
City State Bank
15K
News & Activity

ZVRA News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

kempharm is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery and development of new chemical entities (nces) to treat serious medical conditions through its proprietary and broadly applicable ligand activated therapy (lat) approach. the company utilizes its lat technology to generate improved prodrug versions of fda approved drugs in the high needs areas of pain, adhd and other cns diseases.

Industry
Research and Development in the Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences (except Nanotechnology and Biotechnology)
CEO
Travis Mickle
Tanya HaydenSenior Vice President & Chief of Staff
Christopher LauderbackSenior Vice President of Manufacturing
Gerald J. OrehostkySenior Vice President of Regulatory Affairs & Quality
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ZVRA
$10.05-0.98%$595M6.7+35091.5%7817.1%1500
$68.99-3.59%$13.3B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$518.66-0.71%$11.8B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$91.17+0.60%$11.5B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$182.03-1.59%$10.7B29.2+1871.5%680.1%1500
$223.70-0.59%$10.6B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$76.39+1.81%$10.5B51.8+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-0.72%29.2+346921.8%-2309.1%1500