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ACEL(ACEL)
ACEL
Signal
Mixed1↑1↓
PRICE
Prev Close
12.43
Open
12.33
Day Range12.02 – 12.42
12.02
12.42
52W Range9.55 – 13.31
9.55
13.31
71% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
381.1K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
20.7x
EPS (TTM)
—
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.96
Market-like
Performance
1D↓
-1.77%5D
+0.16%1M
+9.61%3M
+8.63%6M↑
+22.96%YTD
+7.01%1Y
+13.58%Best: 6M (+22.96%)Worst: 1D (-1.77%)
Quick Read
Trend—Insufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +8% YoYValuation
FAIR
P/E 21x vs ~20x sectorHealth
MODERATE
CR 2.6 · FCF $1.77/shBullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$996.01M
Revenue TTM$1.33B
Net Income TTM$51.47M
Free Cash Flow$150.88M
Gross Margin31.8%
Net Margin3.9%
Operating Margin8.1%
Return on Equity19.5%
Return on Assets4.6%
Debt / Equity2.33
Current Ratio2.61
EPS TTM$0.61
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock
Net terminal income per day (NTIPD) trends - reflects consumer spending on gaming and drives same-store revenue growth
New location additions and municipal approvals - Illinois has 102 counties with varying local gaming ordinances, expansion into new municipalities drives growth
Competitive dynamics in Illinois market - consolidation activity, venue exclusivity agreements, and market share shifts among route operators
Regulatory developments - changes to terminal limits per location (currently 6 maximum), tax rates, or expansion into adjacent states
Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle
high - Distributed gaming is discretionary entertainment spending concentrated in blue-collar venues (neighborhood bars, truck stops). Consumer spending correlates strongly with employment levels, wage growth, and disposable income. Illinois' economic conditions, particularly in suburban Chicago and downstate regions where Accel has density, directly impact daily gaming volumes. Recessions typically see 15-25% declines in gaming spend as consumers prioritize essentials.
Interest Rates
Rising rates create moderate headwinds through two channels: (1) Higher financing costs on $500M+ debt load (mix of term loans and revolving credit) compress net margins, and (2) Valuation multiple compression as investors rotate from higher-risk consumer discretionary to safer yield alternatives. However, Accel's business model is less rate-sensitive than capital-intensive gaming operators since terminal capex is relatively modest ($15-20K per unit with 5-7 year useful life).
Key Risks
Geographic concentration in Illinois (100% of gaming revenue) - exposed to single-state regulatory changes, tax increases, or economic deterioration without diversification
Regulatory risk of terminal tax increases or unfavorable rule changes - Illinois faces budget pressures and could raise gaming taxes (currently 33% state rate plus local), compressing operator margins
Technological disruption from mobile/online gaming - Illinois legalized online sports betting and could expand iGaming, potentially cannibalizing distributed gaming spend
Investor Profile
value - Stock trades at 0.7x P/S and 7.2x EV/EBITDA, below historical averages, attracting value investors betting on multiple re-rating as Illinois market matures. Also appeals to special situations investors focused on regional gaming with potential for adjacent state expansion (Indiana, Iowa). The 5.8% FCF yield attracts income-oriented value funds. Limited institutional ownership given small-cap size and single-state concentration.
Watch on Earnings
Illinois unemployment rate and wage growth - direct indicators of consumer capacity for discretionary gaming spendConsumer sentiment indices - leading indicator for entertainment spending trendsRetail sales excluding autos - proxy for consumer spending health in Accel's demographicFederal funds rate and credit spreads - impact refinancing costs and valuation multiples
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
53/100Liquidity
2.61Strong
Leverage
2.33Concern
Coverage
3.1xWatch
ROE
19.5%Strong
ROIC
7.4%Concern
Cash
$297MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE6 analysts
BUY
▲ +6.5%upside to target
L $13.00
Med $13.00consensus
H $17.00Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
●
✓RSI RangeRSI 63 — Bullish momentum
Volume
●
✓Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
●
✗Last EarningsMissed estimates
●
✓Analyst ConsensusBuy
●
✓LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.61 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 119 days
FinancialsFull statements →
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →Trend
▲ UptrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 1.0%
+10.2% vs SMA 50 · +9.2% vs SMA 200
Momentum
RSI62.9Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.37Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$13.31+9.0%
Current
$12.21
EMA 50
$11.43-6.4%
EMA 200
$10.16-16.8%
52W Low
$9.55-21.8%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$9.5571th %ile$13.31
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze SetupAccumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:2
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)263K
Recent Vol (5D)
385K+46%
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Earnings & Analysts
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $1.2B $1.2B–$1.2B | — | $0.57 | — | ±1% | Low1 |
FY2024 | $1.2B $1.2B–$1.2B | ▲ +2.0% | $0.91 | ▲ +58.4% | ±7% | Low2 |
FY2025 | $1.3B $1.3B–$1.3B | ▲ +8.7% | $0.76 | ▼ -15.9% | ±13% | Moderate4 |
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryACEL
Last 8Q
+13.6%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2+10%
Q2'24
+19%
Q3'24
+22%
Q4'24
-5%
Q1'25
+33%
Q2'25
+14%
Q3'25
+20%
Q4'25
-4%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Rubenstein Andrew H.Dir
$497K
Apr 1
SELL
Rubenstein Andrew H.Dir
$44K
Mar 17
SELL
Rubenstein Andrew H.Dir
$404K
Mar 16
SELL
Harmer DerekChief Complian…
$228K
Mar 13
SELL
Rubenstein GordonDir
$446K
Mar 12
SELL
Rubenstein GordonDir
$1.5M
Mar 12
SELL
Financials
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
1
Hillsdale Investment Management Inc.
481K—2
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
139K▲3
Nuveen, LLC
118K▼4
KORNITZER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC /KS
90K▼5
TEACHER RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF TEXAS
84K▲6
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
63K▼7
AdvisorShares Investments LLC
29K▲8
R Squared Ltd
25K▼News & Activity
ACEL News
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RMAX Legal Alert: RE/MAX Holdings Hit with Investigation Over $13.80 Merger Announcement
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Record Quarterly Lease Rent Revenue Reported in Willis Lease Finance Corporation's First Quarter 2026 Financial Results
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Westlake Corporation Reports First Quarter 2026 Results
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Vivid Seats Reports First Quarter 2026 Results
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Cresco Labs Opens Sunnyside Aberdeen, Marking Second Ohio Dispensary Opening in a Month
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FTC Solar Announces First Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Leadership Transition
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Broadridge Extends Proxy Voting and Disclosure Solution to Support All Models of Tokenized Securities
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Headwater Gold Stakes New District-Scale Epithermal Gold Project in Nevada
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IDEXX Laboratories Announces First Quarter Results
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Thomson Reuters Reports First-Quarter 2026 Results
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Enpro Reports First Quarter 2026 Results; Raises Full-Year Guidance
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Trane Technologies to Present at the Wolfe Research Global Transportation & Industrials Conference
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About
Accel is a leading distributed gaming operator in the United States on an Adjusted EBITDA basis, and a preferred partner for local business owners in the Illinois market. Accel's business consists of the installation, maintenance and operation of VGTs, redemption devices that disburse winnings and contain ATM functionality, and other amusement devices in authorized non-casino locations such as restaurants, bars, taverns, convenience stores, liquor stores, truck stops, and grocery stores.
Industry
Casinos (except Casino Hotels)
Website
Andrew Harry RubensteinCo-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman
Mark T. PhelanCOO & President U.S. Gaming
Michael PappasExecutive Vice President of Business Development & Governmental Affairs
Peers— Consumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ACEL◀ | $12.21 | -1.77% | $996M | 20.2 | +812.3% | 386.7% | 1500 |
| $272.05 | +1.41% | $2.9T | 32.2 | +1237.8% | 1083.4% | 1515 | |
| $392.51 | +0.45% | $1.5T | 327.5 | -293.1% | 400.1% | 1490 | |
| $312.42 | -3.54% | $311.2B | 21.9 | +324.0% | 859.6% | 1485 | |
| $284.10 | -0.89% | $201.9B | 23.7 | +372.3% | 3185.0% | 1488 | |
| $154.64 | -1.40% | $171.7B | 31.7 | +711.9% | 910.0% | 1510 | |
| $165.58 | -2.39% | $128.3B | 21.3 | +1338.7% | 2007.7% | 1489 | |
| Sector avg | — | -1.16% | — | 68.3 | +643.4% | 1261.8% | 1497 |