TSLA
Next earnings: Jul 22, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup1!1
Price
1
Move-4.75%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 70Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
443.30
Open
434.10
Day Range422.00 – 434.66
422.00
434.66
52W Range273.21 – 498.83
273.21
498.83
64% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
62.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
233.3x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.79
High vol
Performance
1D
-0.44%
5D
+6.44%
1M
+21.72%
3M
+6.19%
6M
+9.63%
YTD
-1.43%
1Y
+27.50%
Best: 1Y (+27.50%)Worst: YTD (-1.43%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +2% · 19% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 233x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.0 · FCF $2.16/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.66T
Revenue TTM$97.88B
Net Income TTM$3.88B
Free Cash Flow$7.00B
Gross Margin19.1%
Net Margin4.0%
Operating Margin5.0%
Return on Equity4.8%
Return on Assets2.7%
Debt / Equity0.11
Current Ratio2.04
EPS TTM$1.20
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Quarterly vehicle delivery numbers (production vs. delivery gap indicates demand health)

Automotive gross margin trajectory (excluding regulatory credits) - pricing power vs. cost reduction

FSD software adoption rates and regulatory approval progress (robotaxi revenue potential)

Energy storage deployment growth (GWh deployed, Megapack backlog)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Vehicle purchases are highly discretionary and sensitive to consumer confidence, employment, and wealth effects. Average Tesla vehicle price of $45K-$50K targets upper-middle-class buyers whose spending correlates strongly with equity markets and housing wealth. Energy storage sales depend on utility capex budgets and commercial/industrial investment cycles. However, EV adoption secular trend and regulatory mandates (California 2035 ICE ban, EU emissions targets) provide partial offset to cyclical pressures.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) ~50% of US buyers finance purchases, so rising rates directly reduce affordability and monthly payment capacity; (2) Tesla's premium valuation (14.6x P/S) compresses when risk-free rates rise and investors rotate from growth to value; (3) Higher rates increase financing costs for solar/energy storage installations; (4) Elevated capex needs ($8.5B annually) make cost of capital critical for factory expansion ROI. However, strong balance sheet (2.16x current ratio, 0.10 D/E) minimizes direct borrowing cost impact.

Key Risks

EV adoption curve uncertainty - total addressable market may be smaller than bulls expect if charging infrastructure, range anxiety, or grid capacity constraints limit mass-market penetration beyond early adopters

Regulatory and safety scrutiny of Full Self-Driving technology - NHTSA investigations, potential recalls, or restrictions could eliminate robotaxi revenue opportunity and damage brand perception

Battery technology disruption - solid-state batteries or alternative chemistries from competitors (QuantumScape, Toyota) could obsolete Tesla's 4680 cell advantage and require costly retooling

Investor Profile

growth/momentum - Tesla attracts investors betting on EV adoption acceleration, autonomous driving breakthrough, and energy storage market expansion. The stock trades on 2030+ earnings power rather than current fundamentals (117x EV/EBITDA). Retail investor base is unusually large and passionate, creating momentum-driven volatility. Institutional ownership has increased but remains below mega-cap tech peers due to valuation concerns and Musk execution risk. Short interest historically elevated (3-5% of float) due to valuation skeptics.

Watch on Earnings
Weekly China insurance registration data (real-time demand proxy for Shanghai production)Automotive gross margin excluding regulatory credits (pricing power vs. cost reduction progress)Supercharger utilization rates and network expansion pace (competitive moat sustainability)4680 battery cell production ramp and cost per kWh (target: $60/kWh by 2025)
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
55/100
Liquidity
2.04Strong
Leverage
0.11Strong
Coverage
14.4xStrong
ROE
4.8%Concern
ROIC
3.2%Concern
Cash
$16.5BWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE29 analysts
HOLD
+7.6%upside to target
L $360.00
Med $450.00consensus
H $548.00
Buy
1241%
Hold
1345%
Sell
414%
12 Buy (41%)13 Hold (45%)4 Sell (14%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 70 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.04 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 16, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 13, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 5.0%

+8.0% vs SMA 50 · +2.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI70.2
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+16.77
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$498.8+19.3%
Current
$418.2
EMA 50
$400.4-4.2%
EMA 200
$391.1-6.5%
52W Low
$273.2-34.7%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$273.264th %ile$498.8
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:7
Dist days:2
Edge:+5 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)63.8M
Recent Vol (5D)
63.5M-1%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 34 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$94.9B
$93.2B$98.3B
$1.66
±8%
High29
FY2026(current)
$102.8B
$91.7B$114.1B
+8.3%$1.92+16.0%
±50%
High34
FY2027
$118.2B
$105.4B$132.6B
+15.0%$2.44+27.2%
±43%
High34
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryTSLA
Last 8Q
-2.0%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates falling
-16%
Q3'24
+24%
Q4'24
-6%
Q1'25
-35%
Q2'25
+1%
Q3'25
-10%
Q4'25
+10%
Q1'26
+16%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
30d11
90d21
Exane BNP ParibasUnderperform → Neutral
Apr 27
UPGRADE
Goldman SachsNeutral → Sell
Apr 20
DOWNGRADE
UBSSell → Neutral
Apr 14
UPGRADE
William BlairBuy → Market Perform
Jul 7
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerOverweight
Jun 20
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform
Apr 22
DOWNGRADE
Cowen & Co.Hold → Buy
Mar 6
UPGRADE
CitigroupNeutral → Reduce
Feb 27
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Buy
Dec 9
UPGRADE
KGI SecuritiesNeutral → Outperform
Oct 24
UPGRADE
New StreetBuy → Neutral
Jul 24
DOWNGRADE
Cantor FitzgeraldOverweight → Neutral
Jul 24
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $11.3M sold · 30d window
Taneja VaibhavCFO
$1.4M
May 13
SELL
Wilson-thompson Kat…Dir
$310K
Apr 30
SELL
Wilson-thompson Kat…Dir
$562K
Apr 30
SELL
Wilson-thompson Kat…Dir
$473K
Apr 30
SELL
Wilson-thompson Kat…Dir
$379K
Apr 30
SELL
Wilson-thompson Kat…Dir
$231K
Apr 30
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
208.1M
2
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
46.1M
3
Capital World Investors
42.9M
4
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
25.7M
5
Legal & General Group Plc
20.2M
6
UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS INC
19.7M
7
Invesco Ltd.
16.9M
8
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
16.2M
News & Activity

TSLA News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Tesla, Inc. is an American multinational automotive and energy company headquartered in Austin, Texas. Tesla designs and manufactures electric vehicles, stationary battery energy storage devices from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services.

CEO
Elon Musk
Lars MoravyVice President of Vehicle Engineering
Xiaotong ZhuSenior Vice President of APAC & Global Vehicle Manufacturing
John WalkerVice President of Sales - North America
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
TSLA
$418.19-0.44%$1.7T369.9-293.1%400.1%1500
$262.55-1.08%$2.9T31.6+1237.8%1083.4%1519
$297.51+0.59%$303.1B21.3+324.0%859.6%1480
$276.70-0.26%$195.4B22.5+372.3%3185.0%1479
$147.43-2.15%$163.1B30.2+711.9%910.0%1503
$218.42+1.43%$125.2B18.8+312.2%771.2%1490
$106.81+0.42%$121.3B81.1+278.7%499.2%1512
Sector avg-0.21%82.2+420.5%1101.2%1498