ARHS
Next earnings: Aug 6, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bearish12
Price
1
Move-2.21%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume1.9× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 32Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
5.88
Open
5.83
Day Range5.70 – 5.95
5.70
5.95
52W Range5.63 – 12.98
5.63
12.98
2% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.5M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
12.2x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.48
Market-like
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +7% YoY
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 12x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.2 · FCF $0.10/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$813.86M
Revenue TTM$1.38B
Net Income TTM$64.60M
Free Cash Flow$13.50M
Gross Margin38.7%
Net Margin4.7%
Operating Margin6.2%
Return on Equity16.4%
Return on Assets4.7%
Debt / Equity1.61
Current Ratio1.25
EPS TTM$0.46
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Comparable sales growth (demand comps) - particularly important given recent -1.3% revenue decline and sensitivity to housing turnover

Gross margin trajectory - ability to pass through freight/input costs while maintaining premium positioning (currently 39.4%, down from 42%+ in prior periods)

New showroom openings and productivity - unit economics of recent openings versus mature store performance (95+ locations currently)

Container/freight cost trends - significant P&L impact given imported product mix and long supply chain from Asia

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Furniture is a highly discretionary, deferrable purchase category that correlates strongly with consumer confidence and housing market activity. The premium price point ($3,500+ average orders) makes Arhaus particularly sensitive to upper-income consumer spending patterns. Existing home sales drive 60-70% of furniture demand as homeowners refresh after moving. The -45.3% net income decline reflects cyclical pressure from housing market slowdown and consumer caution on big-ticket purchases.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Mortgage rates directly impact housing turnover and new home purchases, which drive furniture demand - the spike to 7%+ mortgage rates in 2023-2024 significantly reduced existing home sales; (2) Consumer financing availability for large purchases affects conversion rates; (3) Higher rates pressure discretionary spending as debt service costs rise for target affluent customers; (4) Valuation multiple compression as growth retail trades de-rate in rising rate environments. The company carries $186M in debt (1.43 D/E ratio), creating modest direct interest expense sensitivity.

Key Risks

Secular shift toward value/discount furniture retailers and online-only models (Wayfair, Amazon) pressuring premium specialty retail - younger consumers may prioritize price over artisan craftsmanship

Changing consumer preferences toward minimalism, smaller living spaces, and furniture rental models (Feather, Fernish) could reduce demand for premium, permanent furniture purchases

Supply chain concentration risk with 400+ artisan partners primarily in Asia - geopolitical tensions, tariff changes, or manufacturing disruptions could impact product availability and costs

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at 0.9x Price/Sales and 8.5x EV/EBITDA, well below historical multiples and peer averages, attracting value investors betting on housing market recovery and margin normalization. The -29% one-year return and -45% earnings decline have created a distressed valuation that appeals to contrarian investors expecting cyclical rebound. Growth investors have largely exited given negative revenue growth and margin compression. Not a dividend story (likely minimal/no dividend given cash flow pressure). Some momentum traders may enter on early signs of comparable sales stabilization.

Watch on Earnings
Existing home sales (NAR data) - primary driver of furniture replacement demand30-year mortgage rates (MORTGAGE30US) - direct impact on housing affordability and turnoverConsumer sentiment index (UMCSENT) - leading indicator for discretionary big-ticket purchasesContainer shipping rates (Freightos Baltic Index) - freight costs represent 8-10% of COGS
Health Radar
3 strong2 watch1 concern
54/100
Liquidity
1.25Watch
Leverage
1.61Watch
Coverage
33.6xStrong
ROE
16.4%Strong
ROIC
6.3%Concern
Cash
$253MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE14 analysts
BUY
+65.2%upside to target
L $8.00
Med $9.50consensus
H $12.00
Buy
750%
Hold
750%
7 Buy (50%)7 Hold (50%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 32 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.25
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 18, 2026
In 125 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 27.3%

-17.8% vs SMA 50 · -40.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI31.5
Momentum fading
MACD-0.38
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$12.98+125.7%
EMA 200
$8.83+53.6%
EMA 50
$7.24+25.9%
Current
$5.75
52W Low
$5.63-2.1%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$5.632th %ile$12.98
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:7
Edge:+5 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.4M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.2M+56%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 11 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$1.4B
$1.4B$1.4B
$0.46
±3%
High11
FY2026(current)
$1.4B
$1.4B$1.5B
+5.8%$0.48+3.0%
±7%
High11
FY2027
$1.5B
$1.5B$1.5B
+6.4%$0.55+15.2%
±10%
High11
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryARHS
Last 8Q
+9.6%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates falling
+33%
Q3'24
-12%
Q4'24
+17%
Q1'25
-50%
Q2'25
+67%
Q3'25
+12%
Q4'25
+10%
Q1'26
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Craig-HallumBuy → Hold
Oct 15
DOWNGRADE
Financials
Dividends6.09% yield
2 yrs of payments
Annual Yield6.09%
Annual Div.$0.3500
Est. Annual / Share$0.35
FrequencyAnnual
Q1'24
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 2 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
4.3M
2
VOYA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC
2.8M
3
CenterBook Partners LP
2.0M
4
EMERALD ADVISERS, LLC
1.8M
5
Meros Investment Management, LP
1.2M
6
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
1.2M
7
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
1.2M
8
EMERALD MUTUAL FUND ADVISERS TRUST
990K
News & Activity

ARHS News

About

No description available.

Industry
Furniture Stores
John ReedFounder, Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Tara Louise AtwoodVice President of Investor Relations
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ARHS
$5.75+0.00%$814M12.51500
$264.14-1.15%$2.8T31.3+1237.8%1083.4%1521
$422.24-4.75%$1.6T352.3-293.1%400.1%1507
$297.51-2.25%$296.3B20.9+324.0%859.6%1477
$276.39+0.52%$196.4B22.6+372.3%3185.0%1478
$147.43+0.05%$163.2B30.2+711.9%910.0%1494
$218.42-2.32%$122.3B18.3+312.2%771.2%1489
Sector avg-1.41%69.7+444.2%1201.5%1495