ARKO
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-1.96%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 63Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
7.13
Open
6.99
Day Range6.90 – 7.15
6.90
7.15
52W Range3.71 – 7.34
3.71
7.34
90% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
913.3K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
35.0x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Beta
0.80
Low vol
Performance
1D
-1.96%
5D
+4.17%
1M
+14.40%
3M
+10.43%
6M
+59.95%
YTD
+53.96%
1Y
+32.14%
Best: 6M (+59.95%)Worst: 1D (-1.96%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -11% YoY · thin 12% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 35x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.6 · FCF $0.34/sh
Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$784.18M
Revenue TTM$7.59B
Net Income TTM$28.77M
Free Cash Flow$37.68M
Gross Margin11.8%
Net Margin0.4%
Operating Margin1.8%
Return on Equity7.2%
Return on Assets0.8%
Debt / Equity4.75
Current Ratio1.62
EPS TTM$0.26
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Fuel margin trends: Cents-per-gallon spreads between wholesale acquisition costs and retail prices, which can swing dramatically based on crude oil volatility and regional supply/demand dynamics

Same-store merchandise sales growth: Volume and pricing trends in higher-margin categories like beverages, snacks, and prepared food that drive profitability

Acquisition activity and integration execution: The company's ability to acquire additional convenience store chains at attractive multiples (typically 4-6x EBITDA) and realize synergies

Gasoline gallon volume trends: Total fuel throughput across the store base, influenced by consumer mobility patterns, work-from-home trends, and regional economic activity

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Convenience store traffic correlates strongly with employment levels, commuting patterns, and discretionary income. Fuel volumes decline during recessions as consumers reduce driving, while merchandise sales (especially premium categories like energy drinks and prepared food) compress when household budgets tighten. The company's Southeast/Mid-Atlantic geographic concentration exposes it to regional economic cycles, particularly in states with energy sector employment.

Interest Rates

High interest rate sensitivity due to substantial debt load (6.95x debt/equity ratio, estimated $1.5B+ in total debt). Rising rates directly increase interest expense on floating-rate debt and refinancing costs, pressuring already-thin operating margins. Additionally, higher rates reduce consumer discretionary spending and can dampen M&A activity by increasing acquisition financing costs and lowering valuation multiples for potential targets.

Key Risks

Electric vehicle adoption: Long-term threat to fuel sales volumes as EV penetration accelerates, though the timeline extends beyond 2030 for meaningful impact on convenience store economics in Arko's geographic footprint

Tobacco regulation and declining cigarette volumes: Cigarettes represent an estimated 30-35% of merchandise sales with attractive margins; continued volume declines of 3-5% annually pressure profitability unless offset by alternative nicotine products

Minimum wage increases and labor cost inflation: State-level minimum wage hikes in operating markets directly impact store-level labor costs, which represent 15-20% of revenue, with limited ability to pass through to consumers

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at 0.1x price/sales and generates 15.8% FCF yield, attracting deep value investors willing to accept high leverage and operational challenges in exchange for potential multiple expansion if the company successfully deleverages. The recent 46.7% three-month rally suggests momentum traders have also entered, though the -19.3% one-year return reflects underlying fundamental concerns. Not suitable for income investors given minimal dividend capacity due to debt service requirements.

Watch on Earnings
RBOB gasoline futures prices and crack spreads: Leading indicator of retail fuel margins and profitability trendsUS retail gasoline prices (GASPRICE): Directly impacts consumer demand elasticity and fuel volumes soldWeekly EIA gasoline demand data: Real-time indicator of nationwide fuel consumption trendsConsumer sentiment (UMCSENT): Leading indicator for discretionary merchandise purchases and premium product mix
Health Radar
1 watch5 concern
22/100
Liquidity
1.62Watch
Leverage
4.75Concern
Coverage
1.5xConcern
ROE
7.2%Concern
ROIC
2.8%Concern
Cash
$305MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE4 analysts
BUY
+14.4%upside to target
L $6.00
Med $8.00consensus
H $8.75
Strong Buy
125%
Hold
375%
1 Buy (25%)3 Hold (75%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 63 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.62 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 15.8%

+16.3% vs SMA 50 · +34.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI63.3
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.25
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$7.34+5.0%
Current
$6.99
EMA 50
$6.27-10.4%
EMA 200
$5.33-23.7%
52W Low
$3.71-46.9%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$3.7190th %ile$7.34
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:2
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)974K
Recent Vol (5D)
874K-10%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$7.7B
$7.6B$7.7B
$0.13
±1%
Low2
FY2026(current)
$7.4B
$7.4B$7.5B
-3.0%$0.29+125.2%
±1%
Low2
FY2027
$7.4B
$7.3B$7.4B
-1.1%$0.39+34.5%
±1%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryARKO
Last 8Q
+3.9%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
+83%
Q3'24
-42%
Q4'24
-250%
Q1'25
+29%
Q2'25
+33%
Q3'25
-17%
Q4'25
+137%
Q1'26
+56%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Zacks Investment Re…Buy
Apr 26
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Jeff Charles Galagh…CFO
$123K
Mar 17
BUY
Jeff Charles Galagh…CFO
$188
Mar 17
BUY
Jeff Charles Galagh…CFO
$998
Mar 17
BUY
Jeff Charles Galagh…CFO
$39K
Mar 17
BUY
Jeff Charles Galagh…CFO
$9K
Mar 17
BUY
Jeff Charles Galagh…CFO
$3K
Mar 17
BUY
Financials
Dividends1.72% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield1.72%
Quarterly Div.$0.0300
Est. Annual / Share$0.12
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DAVIDSON KEMPNER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP
23.1M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
5.2M
3
Invesco Ltd.
3.6M
4
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
3.0M
5
ARES MANAGEMENT LLC
2.1M
6
Phoenix Holdings Ltd.
1.9M
7
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
1.9M
8
STATE STREET CORP
1.8M
News & Activity

ARKO News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

ARKO Corp. owns 100% of GPM Investments, LLC ("GPM"). Based in Richmond, VA, GPM was founded in 2003 with 169 stores and has grown through acquisitions to become the 7th largest convenience store chain in the United States, with approximately 2,950 locations comprised of approximately 1,350 company-operated stores and approximately 1,600 dealer sites to which it supplies fuel in 33 states and Washington D.C. GPM operates in three segments: retail, which consists of fuel and merchandise sales to retail consumers; wholesale, which supplies fuel to third-party dealers and consignment agents; and GPM Petroleum, which supplies fuel to GPM and its subsidiaries selling fuel (both in the retail and wholesale segments) as well as sub-wholesalers and bulk purchasers. Its stores offer its fasREWARDS® high value loyalty program, a large selection of beverages, coffee, fountain drinks, candy, salty snacks, and many other products to meet the needs of the everyday customer. One feature, setting many of its convenience stores apart is a wide array of proprietary food offerings ranging from fresh chicken, fresh-made salads, and sandwiches to healthy, grab-and-go meals.

Industry
New Car Dealers
C. Galagher JeffEVP, CFO, Principal Financial & Accounting Officer
Eyal NuchamovitzExecutive Vice President of Business Development and M&A
Michael K. R. BloomExecutive Vice President & CMO
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ARKO
$6.99-1.96%$784M27.0-1246.6%29.8%1500
$264.14-1.15%$2.8T31.3+1237.8%1083.4%1521
$422.24-4.75%$1.6T352.3-293.1%400.1%1507
$297.51-2.25%$296.3B20.9+324.0%859.6%1477
$276.39+0.52%$196.4B22.6+372.3%3185.0%1478
$147.43+0.05%$163.2B30.2+711.9%910.0%1494
$218.42-2.32%$122.3B18.3+312.2%771.2%1489
Sector avg-1.69%71.8+202.6%1034.2%1495