AvalonBay Communities, Inc.AVBNYSE

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Overview News Fundamentals Key Metrics TTM Financials Earnings Growth Rating Analysts Institutional Peers Historical

Analyst Sentiment

Analysts lean bullish — 50% recommend buying.

Consensus Rating

Buy

18 analysts·Moderate coverage

50%

Rating Distribution

Strong Buy

00%

Buy

950%

Hold

950%

Sell

00%

Strong Sell

00%

Analyst ratings reflect Wall Street opinion, not guarantees. Historical accuracy varies by firm and sector.

Price Target Expectations

Analysts see modest upside — consensus target 9% higher.

Bear Case

$179.00

-1%

Consensus

$196.56

+9%

Bull Case

$217.00

+20%

Price Range18 analysts

Low

Consensus

High

$179.00

$217.00

Current Target

Current Price

$180.16

Upside to Target

$16.40

Price targets are 12-month forecasts. Actual results depend on earnings, market conditions, and sector trends.

Earnings & Revenue Estimates

2026E$5.20(7 analysts)

P/E22x

Current: 21.9x

Actual

Estimate

Range (Low–High)

Stock Alarm Pro

Forward Growth Estimates (YoY)

FY2027

Rev+5.23%

EPS+5.44%

FY2028

Rev+6.40%

EPS+2.42%

FY2029

Rev-4.79%

EPS-3.74%

Earnings Surprises

Beat rate:67%(8/12 quarters)

Avg surprise:+8.1%

Beat

Miss

Inline

Estimate

Based on reported EPS vs consensus estimate.

Recent Analyst Actions

Jan 13, 2026Barclays

AvalonBay price target raised to $217 from $216 at Barclays

Target:$217.00

+22.7%from $176.80

Jan 8, 2026UBS

AvalonBay price target lowered to $191 from $192 at UBS

Target:$191.00

+6.4%from $179.50

Jan 5, 2026Cantor Fitzgerald

AvalonBay price target raised to $179 from $175 at Cantor Fitzgerald

Target:$179.00

-0.8%from $180.48

Dec 3, 2025Colliers Securities

AvalonBay downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Colliers

Target:$195.00

+7.4%from $181.52

Dec 2, 2025Truist Financial

AvalonBay price target lowered to $205 from $218 at Truist

Target:$205.00

+14.1%from $179.65

Nov 25, 2025Barclays

AvalonBay upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays

Target:$216.00

+19.7%from $180.41

Nov 24, 2025Mizuho Securities

AvalonBay price target lowered to $191 from $199 at Mizuho

Target:$191.00

+5.7%from $180.68

Nov 4, 2025RBC Capital

AvalonBay price target lowered to $197 from $202 at RBC Capital

Target:$197.00

+12.9%from $174.51

Nov 3, 2025Evercore ISI

AvalonBay price target lowered to $204 from $214 at Evercore ISI

Target:$204.00

+18.9%from $171.54

Nov 3, 2025Piper Sandler

AvalonBay price target lowered to $190 from $200 at Piper Sandler

Target:$190.00

+9.2%from $173.92

Oct 13, 2025Evercore ISI

AvalonBay price target lowered to $214 from $216 at Evercore ISI

Target:$214.00

+16.0%from $184.53

Oct 1, 2025Cantor Fitzgerald

AvalonBay initiated with a Neutral at Cantor Fitzgerald

Target:$205.00

+6.1%from $193.17

Sep 30, 2025Barclays

AvalonBay price target raised to $229 from $228 at Barclays

Target:$229.00

+18.3%from $193.56

Jun 13, 2025Scotiabank

AvalonBay price target lowered to $236 from $251 at Scotiabank

Target:$236.00

+14.5%from $206.18

May 15, 2025Morgan Stanley

AvalonBay price target raised to $228 from $226 at Morgan Stanley

Target:$228.00

+10.9%from $205.58

Jan 24, 2025Morgan Stanley

AvalonBay downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley

Target:$223.00

+4.3%from $213.80

Jan 1, 2025Jefferies

AvalonBay price target lowered to $240 from $247 at Jefferies

Target:$240.00

+9.1%from $219.97

Oct 1, 2024RBC Capital

AvalonBay price target raised to $234 from $214 at RBC Capital

Target:$234.00

+3.9%from $225.25

Sep 11, 2024BNP Paribas

AvalonBay initiated with an Outperform at Exane BNP Paribas

Target:$250.00

+9.0%from $229.36

Aug 26, 2024Truist Financial

AvalonBay price target raised to $230 from $213 at Truist

Target:$230.00

+4.6%from $219.92

Aug 26, 2024Wells Fargo

AvalonBay price target raised to $244 from $222 at Wells Fargo

Target:$244.00

+10.0%from $221.73

Aug 2, 2024Piper Sandler

AvalonBay price target raised to $255 from $230 at Piper Sandler

Target:$255.00

+20.4%from $211.78

Jun 27, 2024Wells Fargo

AvalonBay price target raised to $222 from $210 at Wells Fargo

Target:$222.00

+8.9%from $203.88

Jun 24, 2024Truist Financial

AvalonBay price target raised to $213 from $207 at Truist

Target:$213.00

+4.5%from $203.89

May 24, 2024Truist Financial

AvalonBay price target raised to $207 from $197 at Truist

Target:$207.00

+6.7%from $193.96

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