BOOT
Earnings in 9 days · May 13, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-2.22%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 56Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
171.47
Open
169.14
Day Range163.84 – 169.83
163.84
169.83
52W Range108.32 – 210.25
108.32
210.25
58% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
637.0K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
23.5x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.56
High vol
Performance
1D
+0.01%
5D
+2.19%
1M
+15.06%
3M
-6.40%
6M
-7.20%
YTD
-2.83%
1Y
+52.68%
Best: 1Y (+52.68%)Worst: 6M (-7.20%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +18% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 24x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.4 · FCF $2.94/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$5.10B
Revenue TTM$2.17B
Net Income TTM$218.98M
Free Cash Flow$89.48M
Gross Margin38.3%
Net Margin10.1%
Operating Margin13.4%
Return on Equity18.3%
Return on Assets9.1%
Debt / Equity0.55
Current Ratio2.40
EPS TTM$7.19
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Comparable store sales growth - driven by transaction count and average ticket, with 5%+ comps signaling strong brand momentum

New store opening cadence and unit economics - investors focus on store count expansion (400+ current base with runway to 900+ stores) and first-year store productivity

Gross margin trajectory - mix shift toward higher-margin exclusive brands, private label penetration, and promotional intensity

Market share gains in work/western categories - evidence of taking share from independent retailers and mass merchants in core demographics

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Customer base splits between non-discretionary work/safety purchases (construction, oil/gas, agriculture workers requiring FR clothing and safety footwear) and discretionary western lifestyle spending. Work-related categories (estimated 40-45% of sales) show resilience during downturns as workers need functional gear. Western lifestyle and fashion categories correlate with consumer confidence and discretionary spending. Agricultural commodity prices indirectly impact rural customer purchasing power. Revenue growth historically moderates but remains positive during recessions due to market share gains offsetting macro headwinds.

Interest Rates

Low direct sensitivity to interest rates as business carries minimal debt (0.55 D/E) and generates positive operating cash flow. Higher rates indirectly impact through consumer financing availability and discretionary spending compression, though average ticket ($80-100) limits financing dependency. Valuation multiple contracts with rising rates as growth retail trades at premium P/E ratios. Real estate expansion benefits from company's strong balance sheet enabling opportunistic lease negotiations during periods of retail distress.

Key Risks

E-commerce disruption from Amazon and direct-to-consumer brands eroding specialty retail traffic, though western/work categories show lower online penetration due to fit requirements and immediate need purchasing patterns

Demographic shifts as western lifestyle appeal may not resonate with younger urban consumers, limiting total addressable market growth beyond core rural/exurban geographies

Consolidation of vendor base as major brands (Ariat, Wrangler) could bypass specialty retail through DTC channels or demand more favorable economics

Investor Profile

growth - investors attracted to consistent double-digit revenue growth, unit expansion story with visible multi-year runway (400 to 900+ store potential), and market share gains in fragmented category. Stock appeals to growth-at-reasonable-price investors given 2.8x P/S and 17.7x EV/EBITDA relative to 14.6% revenue growth and 18.3% ROE. Momentum investors drawn to 42.6% one-year return and positive earnings revisions. Limited dividend yield (estimated <1%) makes income investors less relevant.

Watch on Earnings
WTI crude oil prices (DCOILWTICO) as proxy for energy sector employment and workwear demand in oil-producing states (Texas, Oklahoma, North Dakota)Consumer sentiment index (UMCSENT) indicating discretionary spending appetite for lifestyle western apparelRetail sales excluding autos (RSXFS) measuring overall consumer spending healthUnemployment rate (UNRATE) affecting both discretionary spending and work-related gear purchases
Health Radar
4 strong1 watch1 concern
62/100
Liquidity
2.40Strong
Leverage
0.55Strong
Coverage
191.0xStrong
ROE
18.3%Strong
ROIC
10.7%Watch
Cash
$70MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE27 analysts
BUY
+38.7%upside to target
L $195.00
Med $232.50consensus
H $267.00
Buy
2178%
Hold
622%
21 Buy (78%)6 Hold (22%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 56 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.40 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 6.9%

+0.9% vs SMA 50 · -6.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI55.7
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+1.95
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$210.3+25.4%
EMA 200
$171.6+2.3%
Current
$167.7
EMA 50
$166.3-0.8%
52W Low
$108.3-35.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$108.358th %ile$210.3
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:0
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)787K
Recent Vol (5D)
599K-24%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 12 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$1.9B
$1.9B$1.9B
$5.87
±1%
High10
FY2026(current)
$2.2B
$2.2B$2.3B
+17.4%$7.34+25.0%
±0%
High12
FY2027
$2.6B
$2.5B$2.6B
+13.9%$8.52+16.0%
±2%
High12
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryBOOT
Last 8Q
+7.7%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+9%
Q2'24
+17%
Q3'24
Q4'24
+19%
Q1'25
-2%
Q2'25
+12%
Q3'25
+7%
Q4'25
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d10
StephensOverweight
Feb 6
UPGRADE
Seaport GlobalBuy → Neutral
Oct 28
DOWNGRADE
Seaport GlobalBuy → Positive
Oct 28
DOWNGRADE
Craig-HallumHold → Buy
Apr 23
UPGRADE
UBSBuy
Jan 10
UPGRADE
Piper SandlerOverweight → Neutral
Jul 24
DOWNGRADE
UBSBuy → Neutral
Jul 24
DOWNGRADE
UBSBuy
Jan 5
UPGRADE
Seaport GlobalBuy
Aug 11
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Morris Brenda IDir
$198K
Feb 25
SELL
Burt Gene EddieDir
$230K
Dec 1
SELL
Starrett PeterDir
$1.2M
Nov 3
SELL
Grijalva Laurie Mar…CHIEF MERCHAND…
$1.3M
Aug 26
SELL
Morris Brenda IDir
$255K
Aug 21
SELL
Love Michael ACHIEF RETAIL O…
$406K
May 23
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
CONGRESS ASSET MANAGEMENT CO /MA
718K
2
Stephens Investment Management Group LLC
432K
3
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
375K
4
Artemis Investment Management LLP
238K
5
abrdn plc
216K
6
Nuveen, LLC
215K
7
WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC
197K
8
WHITTIER TRUST CO
93K
News & Activity

BOOT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

at boot barn®, we honor america's western heritage. we believe in quality products and good value. and we've stocked our shelves with quality western and work gear for you and your family. with over 500,000 pairs of boots -- western, work and fashion -- and over 8,000 styles of jeans, shirts, hats, belts, jewelry and more, we offer the latest styles from the brands you love. hatched over thirty years ago with one store in orange county, california, boot barn® has become the nation’s largest western and work retailer with 150 stores in 23 states and a robust e-commerce business. we will outfit you from head to toe and give you the kind of service you'd expect from a company that values heritage, hard work and community.

PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BOOT
$167.66+0.01%$5.2B23.9+1464.3%946.8%1500
$272.05+1.27%$2.9T31.8+1237.8%1083.4%1515
$392.51+2.41%$1.5T326.1-293.1%400.1%1490
$312.42-1.50%$322.6B22.7+324.0%859.6%1485
$284.10-2.37%$203.8B23.9+372.3%3185.0%1488
$154.64+0.05%$174.2B32.1+711.9%910.0%1510
$165.58+0.75%$131.4B21.8+1338.7%2007.7%1489
Sector avg+0.09%68.9+736.6%1341.8%1497