CALX
Next earnings: Jul 20, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move-0.07%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 39Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
43.56
Open
43.88
Day Range43.11 – 44.30
43.11
44.30
52W Range40.75 – 71.22
40.75
71.22
9% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.1M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
88.8x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.75
High vol
Performance
1D
-0.07%
5D
+2.30%
1M
-7.13%
3M
-2.55%
6M
-36.38%
YTD
-17.76%
1Y
+5.37%
Best: 1Y (+5.37%)Worst: 6M (-36.38%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +28% YoY · 57% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 89x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 3.3 · FCF $1.66/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.78B
Revenue TTM$1.06B
Net Income TTM$33.88M
Free Cash Flow$109.13M
Gross Margin57.1%
Net Margin3.2%
Operating Margin3.8%
Return on Equity4.2%
Return on Assets3.6%
Debt / Equity0.02
Current Ratio3.29
EPS TTM$0.52
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Cloud platform subscriber additions and ARPU trends - market values recurring revenue at 8-10x sales versus 1-2x for hardware

Federal broadband funding deployment pace (BEAD Act $42.5B, RDOF awards) - drives multi-year visibility into Tier 2/3 operator capex budgets

Gross margin trajectory - software mix shift and supply chain normalization driving expansion from mid-50s% toward 60%+ target

Customer concentration and Tier 1 operator wins - top 10 customers represent estimated 35-40% of revenue, large logo additions signal market validation

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Revenue tied to broadband infrastructure capex cycles rather than consumer discretionary spending. Federal funding programs (BEAD, RDOF) provide counter-cyclical support through 2029, insulating demand from GDP fluctuations. However, Tier 2/3 operators may delay discretionary network upgrades during recessions if subscriber growth slows. Industrial production and business formation rates indirectly affect enterprise connectivity demand. Overall less cyclical than consumer tech but more exposed than pure enterprise software.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create moderate headwind through two channels: (1) Tier 2/3 operator customers often carry debt to finance network builds, higher rates increase their financing costs and may delay capex projects; (2) Valuation multiple compression as growth stocks re-rate versus risk-free alternatives. However, federal grant funding is non-dilutive capital for customers, partially offsetting rate sensitivity. Company's minimal debt (0.03 D/E) eliminates direct financing cost impact. Stock trades at premium valuation (3.5x P/S) making it sensitive to 10-year Treasury yield movements.

Key Risks

Federal broadband funding deployment delays or reallocation - BEAD Act implementation timeline slippage (state-level approval processes, permitting delays) could defer revenue recognition by 12-24 months, creating air pocket in 2027-2028 growth trajectory

Technology transition risk to 10G/25G PON standards - current GPON/XGS-PON platforms may face obsolescence as industry migrates to higher-speed standards by 2028-2030, requiring sustained R&D investment to maintain competitive positioning

Wireless fixed access (5G/FWA) substitution threat - T-Mobile and Verizon expanding fixed wireless broadband in rural markets could reduce fiber deployment urgency for some Tier 2/3 operators, though fiber remains superior for high-density applications

Investor Profile

growth - Stock appeals to investors seeking exposure to multi-year U.S. broadband infrastructure cycle with 20%+ revenue growth potential through 2028. Recurring revenue transition story attracts SaaS-focused growth managers valuing platform economics. Recent 160% earnings growth and margin inflection narrative draws momentum investors. Not suitable for value or income investors given minimal profitability, no dividend, and premium valuation (3.5x P/S, 81x EV/EBITDA). Institutional ownership likely concentrated in TMT growth funds and thematic infrastructure portfolios.

Watch on Earnings
BEAD Act state allocation and deployment timeline announcements (NTIA reporting)Calix Cloud platform subscriber count and net additions per quarterGross margin percentage and software/services revenue mixFederal funds rate and 10-year Treasury yield (valuation multiple sensitivity)
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
45/100
Liquidity
3.29Strong
Leverage
0.02Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
4.2%Concern
ROIC
3.3%Concern
Cash
$143MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE21 analysts
BUY
+40.1%upside to target
L $60.00
Med $61.00consensus
H $62.00
Buy
1571%
Hold
524%
Sell
15%
15 Buy (71%)5 Hold (24%)1 Sell (5%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 39 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.29 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 3, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 10.7%

-11.9% vs SMA 50 · -21.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI38.9
Momentum fading
MACD-2.13
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$71.22+63.6%
EMA 200
$52.54+20.7%
EMA 50
$48.52+11.5%
Current
$43.53
52W Low
$40.75-6.4%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$40.759th %ile$71.22
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Elevated Squeeze Setup

Strong accumulation on above-average volume. Buyers are absorbing supply aggressively — any positive catalyst could trigger a rapid covering move.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:2
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)648K
Recent Vol (5D)
924K+43%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$953.0M
$930.5M$977.3M
$0.04
±3%
Low2
FY2024
$829.4M
$828.7M$829.7M
-13.0%$0.51+1228.6%
±3%
High5
FY2025
$997.8M
$997.7M$997.9M
+20.3%$1.35+166.3%
±1%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryCALX
Last 8Q
+29.5%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+29%
Q3'24
+44%
Q4'24
+14%
Q1'25
+46%
Q2'25
+65%
Q3'25
+29%
Q4'25
+3%
Q1'26
+5%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
JefferiesBuy → Hold
Apr 25
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Collins John MatthewChief Commerci…
$2.0M
Oct 27
SELL
Listwin Donald JDir
$4.3M
Aug 4
SELL
Collins John MatthewChief Commerci…
$471K
Jul 25
SELL
Collins John MatthewChief Commerci…
$220K
May 2
SELL
Collins John MatthewChief Commerci…
$272K
Feb 3
SELL
Collins John MatthewEVP, Commercia…
$353K
Nov 3
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
CONGRESS ASSET MANAGEMENT CO /MA
1.6M
2
Nuveen, LLC
433K
3
Counterpoint Mutual Funds LLC
85K
4
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
72K
5
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
59K
6
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
50K
7
THOMPSON INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC.
45K
8
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
41K
News & Activity

CALX News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

innovative communications service providers rely on calix platforms to help them master and monetize the complex infrastructure between their subscribers and the cloud. calix is the leading global provider of the cloud and software platforms, systems, and services required to deliver the unified access network and smart premises of tomorrow. our platforms and services help our customers build next generation networks by embracing a devops operating model, optimize the subscriber experience by leveraging big data analytics, and turn the complexity of the smart home and business into new revenue streams.

CEO
Carl Russo
Michael WeeningChief Executive Officer, President & Director
Nancy FazioliVice President of Investor Relations
Douglas W. McNittExecutive Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CALX
$43.53-0.07%$2.8B84.3+2026.3%178.8%1500
$198.45-0.56%$4.8T40.2+6547.4%5560.3%1496
$280.14+3.24%$4.1T33.6+642.6%2691.5%1486
$414.44+1.63%$3.1T24.6+1493.2%3614.6%1477
$421.28+0.92%$2.0T80.0+2387.4%3619.8%1504
$542.21+4.84%$611.5B25.3+4885.1%2284.5%1533
$360.54+1.71%$587.8B135.6+3433.8%1251.5%1515
Sector avg+1.67%60.5+3059.4%2743.0%1502