Spot gold softer in thin trade as oil rebound, U.S.-Iran uncertainty cloud rate outlook
Spot gold prices are lower and spot silver prices are also weaker in early U.S. trading Monday, pres…
Comparable store sales growth (traffic vs. check): Negative traffic trends have plagued the concept for multiple years
Labor cost inflation and wage pressures: Minimum wage increases and competition for hourly workers directly impact 30%+ labor cost structure
Commodity cost volatility: Beef, pork, dairy, and egg prices significantly affect food costs (25-28% of restaurant sales)
Strategic initiatives and turnaround progress: Menu innovation, off-premise expansion, and operational improvements under new management
high - Cracker Barrel serves middle-income consumers ($50-75K household income) who are highly sensitive to discretionary spending pressures. During recessions, casual dining visits decline as consumers trade down to fast food or eat at home. Interstate travel volumes (both leisure and business) correlate strongly with GDP growth and gasoline prices. The company's 0.4% revenue growth and negative traffic trends reflect current consumer weakness in this segment.
Moderate sensitivity through multiple channels. With Debt/Equity of 2.98, rising rates increase interest expense on variable-rate debt and refinancing costs. Higher rates also reduce consumer discretionary spending capacity and compress valuation multiples for low-growth restaurant concepts. However, the company's owned real estate provides some inflation hedge. Current 0.51 current ratio indicates tight liquidity that could be pressured by higher financing costs.
Secular decline in casual dining: Consumers increasingly favor fast-casual concepts (Chipotle, Panera) or delivery/takeout over traditional sit-down restaurants, particularly among younger demographics
Interstate travel pattern shifts: Reduced business travel post-pandemic, electric vehicle adoption reducing gas station stops, and changing road trip behaviors threaten core customer traffic
Labor market structural challenges: Persistent difficulty attracting hourly workers, minimum wage increases across states, and competition from gig economy jobs pressure 30%+ labor cost base
value - The stock trades at 0.2x sales and 1.7x book value, attracting deep value investors betting on real estate asset value ($1.5-2B+ owned properties vs. $0.7B market cap) or turnaround potential. The 8.5% FCF yield appeals to distressed/special situations investors. However, operational deterioration (negative traffic, margin compression) and high leverage create significant downside risk. Recent -35% one-year return reflects investor skepticism about management's ability to reverse structural decline.
Trend
+4.8% vs SMA 50 · -34.1% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2025 | $3.5B $3.4B–$3.5B | — | $3.19 | — | ±3% | High6 |
FY2026(current) | $3.3B $3.2B–$3.3B | ▼ -6.3% | -$1.28 | — | ±34% | High7 |
FY2027 | $3.4B $3.4B–$3.4B | ▲ +3.6% | $0.52 | — | ±50% | High7 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
Spot gold prices are lower and spot silver prices are also weaker in early U.S. trading Monday, pres…
cracker barrel old country store, inc. provides a friendly home-away-from-home in its old country stores and restaurants. guests are cared for like family while relaxing and enjoying real home-style food and shopping that’s surprisingly unique, genuinely fun and reminiscent of america’s country heritage…all at a fair price. the restaurant serves up delicious, home-style country food such as meatloaf and homemade chicken n’ dumplins as well as its signature biscuits using an old family recipe. the authentic old country retail store is fun to shop and offers unique gifts and self-indulgences. cracker barrel old country store, inc. (nasdaq: cbrl) was established in 1969 in lebanon, tenn. and operates over 595 company-owned locations in 42 states. every cracker barrel unit is open seven days a week with hours sunday through thursday, 6 a.m. – 10 p.m., and friday and saturday, 6 a.m. - 11 p.m. for more information, visit crackerbarrel.com.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CBRL◀ | $29.75 | -0.73% | $695M | — | +37.2% | 133.1% | 1500 |
| $272.18 | +1.27% | $2.9T | 31.8 | +1237.8% | 1083.4% | 1515 | |
| $392.91 | +2.41% | $1.5T | 326.1 | -293.1% | 400.1% | 1490 | |
| $319.77 | -1.50% | $322.6B | 22.7 | +324.0% | 859.6% | 1485 | |
| $288.80 | -2.37% | $203.8B | 23.9 | +372.3% | 3185.0% | 1488 | |
| $156.19 | +0.05% | $174.2B | 32.1 | +711.9% | 910.0% | 1510 | |
| $168.10 | +0.75% | $131.4B | 21.8 | +1338.7% | 2007.7% | 1489 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.02% | — | 76.4 | +532.7% | 1225.6% | 1497 |