CRCT
Next earnings: Aug 4, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-2.48%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume1.0× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 36Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
4.03
Open
4.00
Day Range3.91 – 4.06
3.91
4.06
52W Range3.74 – 7.33
3.74
7.33
5% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
578.6K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
11.6x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.91
Market-like
Performance
1D
-2.48%
5D
-9.66%
1M
-8.60%
3M
-16.20%
6M
-14.57%
YTD
-20.61%
1Y
-37.42%
Worst: 1Y (-37.42%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
55% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 12x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.7 · FCF $0.65/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$824.96M
Revenue TTM$705.62M
Net Income TTM$73.11M
Free Cash Flow$137.26M
Gross Margin54.5%
Net Margin10.4%
Operating Margin12.7%
Return on Equity21.4%
Return on Assets13.4%
Debt / Equity0.03
Current Ratio2.72
EPS TTM$0.35
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Connected machine unit sales and ASP trends—new product launches (e.g., Cricut Venture for larger format) drive upgrade cycles in installed base

Cricut Access subscriber growth rate and monthly churn—recurring revenue visibility is critical for valuation multiple expansion

Consumables attach rate and repeat purchase frequency—indicates engagement level of installed base and lifetime value per user

Gross margin trajectory—mix shift toward subscriptions and consumables vs. lower-margin hardware impacts profitability

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Cricut products are discretionary purchases tied to consumer confidence and disposable income. Crafting is a hobby activity that competes with other leisure spending. Revenue declined 6.9% YoY despite net income growth, suggesting the company is navigating a demand normalization after pandemic-era surge in home-based hobbies. Consumer sentiment and retail sales directly impact both new machine purchases and consumables replenishment frequency. The -23.7% one-year stock return reflects market concerns about post-pandemic demand sustainability.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through two channels: (1) Consumer financing—higher rates reduce affordability for $200-400 machines, particularly for price-sensitive hobbyists. (2) Valuation multiple compression—as a growth-oriented consumer discretionary stock trading at 1.4x sales, rising risk-free rates make the equity less attractive relative to bonds, compressing forward P/E multiples. The company's minimal debt (0.03 D/E) insulates it from direct financing cost pressure, but demand-side rate impacts are meaningful.

Key Risks

Market saturation in core North American hobbyist segment—installed base penetration may be approaching ceiling, limiting unit growth without geographic expansion or new use cases

Technological disruption from 3D printing or alternative DIY platforms—while different use cases today, convergence could erode Cricut's niche in personalization and crafting

Dependence on third-party retail partners (Michaels, Joann, HSN) for distribution—retailer financial distress or shelf space reallocation reduces visibility and increases customer acquisition costs

Investor Profile

value - The stock has de-rated significantly (-23.7% one-year return) despite strong cash generation (25.4% FCF yield), attracting value investors seeking turnaround potential. The 5.9x EV/EBITDA multiple is compressed relative to historical levels, suggesting market skepticism about growth durability. Income-oriented investors may be drawn to potential for capital returns (buybacks/dividends) given minimal reinvestment needs (capex is negligible) and strong balance sheet. Growth investors have largely exited given negative revenue growth (-6.9% YoY).

Watch on Earnings
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index—leading indicator for discretionary craft spendingRetail sales excluding autos—tracks consumer willingness to spend on non-essential goodsPersonal savings rate—higher savings rates can fund hobby purchases, but also signal economic cautionUnemployment rate—job security drives confidence in discretionary purchases like craft machines
Health Radar
6 strong
87/100
Liquidity
2.72Strong
Leverage
0.03Strong
Coverage
157.7xStrong
ROE
21.4%Strong
ROIC
17.3%Strong
Cash
$256MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE4 analysts
SELL
-1.4%downside to target
L $3.75
Med $3.88consensus
H $4.00
Sell
4100%
0 Buy (0%)0 Hold (0%)4 Sell (100%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 36 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusSell
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.72 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 28, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 15.2%

-6.1% vs SMA 50 · -20.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI36.2
Momentum fading
MACD-0.07
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$7.33+86.5%
EMA 200
$4.93+25.4%
EMA 50
$4.27+8.5%
Current
$3.93
52W Low
$3.73-5.0%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$3.735th %ile$7.33
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:4
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)529K
Recent Vol (5D)
530K+0%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$741.5M
$737.7M$745.3M
$0.00
Low1
FY2024
$719.7M
$715.9M$723.4M
-2.9%$0.28
±1%
Low2
FY2025
$704.5M
$700.9M$708.1M
-2.1%$0.35+24.0%
±1%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryCRCT
Last 8Q
+56.4%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quarters Estimates falling
+80%
Q3'24
Q4'24
+50%
Q1'25
+38%
Q2'25
+83%
Q3'25
+100%
Q4'25
Q1'26
+100%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Morgan StanleyUnderweight
Aug 13
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
2 Buys/4 SellsNet Selling
NET BUYERS$43K bought · $0 sold · 30d window
Makler JasonDir
$1K
May 13
BUY
Makler JasonDir
$42K
May 12
BUY
Ashish AroraCEO
$257K
Mar 2
SELL
Ashish AroraCEO
$57K
Mar 3
SELL
Ashish AroraCEO
$279K
Feb 19
SELL
Ashish AroraCEO
$277K
Feb 20
SELL
Financials
Dividends21.63% yield
4 yrs of payments
Annual Yield21.63%
Annual Div.$0.1000
Est. Annual / Share$0.10
FrequencyAnnual
Q1'23
Q2'23
Q3'24
Q1'25
Q3'25
Q3'26

Dividend per payment — last 6 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
3.7M
2
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
986K
3
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
879K
4
ALGERT GLOBAL LLC
634K
5
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
557K
6
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
461K
7
CWA Asset Management Group, LLC
416K
8
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
303K
News & Activity

CRCT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Cricut is an American brand of cutting plotters, or computer-controlled cutting machines, designed for home crafters. The machines are used for cutting paper, felt, vinyl, fabric and other materials such as leather, matboard, and wood.

CEO
Ashish Arora
Ryan HarmerSenior Vice President of Accounting & Corporate Controller
Vivek JayaramanExecutive Vice President of Platform Development
Ariel FischerExecutive Vice President of DTC, Monetization & Engagement
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CRCT
$3.93-2.48%$825M11.3-52.7%1082.2%1500
$264.14-1.15%$2.8T31.3+1237.8%1083.4%1521
$422.24-4.75%$1.6T352.3-293.1%400.1%1507
$297.51-2.25%$296.3B20.9+324.0%859.6%1477
$276.39+0.52%$196.4B22.6+372.3%3185.0%1478
$147.43+0.05%$163.2B30.2+711.9%910.0%1494
$218.42-2.32%$122.3B18.3+312.2%771.2%1489
Sector avg-1.77%69.6+373.2%1184.5%1495