Applebee's domestic same-store sales trends (largest brand, ~50% of system sales)
IHOP domestic same-store sales and traffic trends (breakfast daypart sensitivity)
Net unit development and franchisee health (closure rates, refranchising activity)
Debt refinancing events and leverage ratio management (currently ~5-6x net debt/EBITDA estimated)
high - Casual dining traffic highly correlated with consumer discretionary spending and employment trends. Both brands skew toward middle-income consumers ($50-75K household income) who reduce restaurant frequency during economic stress. Traffic declines accelerate in recessions as consumers trade down to QSR or cook at home. Applebee's bar/alcohol sales (~15-20% of mix) particularly sensitive to discretionary spending.
Moderate direct impact through franchisee financing costs and company debt service (~$400-450M total debt estimated). Rising rates pressure franchisee returns on new unit investments, slowing development. Higher rates also compress valuation multiples for asset-light franchisors. Company's negative equity position amplifies refinancing risk.
Secular decline in casual dining traffic as consumers shift to fast-casual, delivery aggregators, and QSR value offerings
Brand aging and relevance erosion with younger demographics (Gen Z, Millennials) preferring experiential dining or digital-first concepts
Labor cost inflation (minimum wage increases, tipping regulations) pressuring franchisee unit economics and potentially forcing closures
value - Distressed valuation (0.5x sales, 19.9% FCF yield) attracts deep value investors betting on stabilization or turnaround. High dividend yield (~8-10% estimated at current price) appeals to income investors, though sustainability questioned. Recent 52% six-month rally suggests momentum/technical traders and potential activist interest. Not suitable for growth investors given structural headwinds.
Trend
+6.9% vs SMA 50 · +4.5% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Strong accumulation on above-average volume. Buyers are absorbing supply aggressively — any positive catalyst could trigger a rapid covering move.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $823.5M $813.2M–$831.6M | — | $5.62 | — | ±1% | Moderate3 |
FY2024 | $808.2M $806.9M–$808.9M | ▼ -1.9% | $5.83 | ▲ +3.7% | ±1% | High7 |
FY2025 | $888.0M $888.0M–$888.1M | ▲ +9.9% | $3.99 | ▼ -31.6% | ±2% | Moderate4 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
DIN News
About
dineequity was created from a foundation established by ihop - an american icon to our guests and a franchising company focused on providing strategic, visionary leadership for our franchisees, unparalleled opportunities for our team members, and enhancing value for our shareholders. by bringing applebee's together with ihop in november 2007, we made a bold, new commitment to our brand-revitalization abilities and to the power of franchising. dineequity has successfully made our two businesses more powerful and more successful than either brand could have been apart. our dedicated focus combined with a core expertise in brand revitalization and franchising know-how is the basis for the winning formula that has defined the financial success of our business. as reported by nation's restaurant news, applebee's and ihop are the category leaders in casual and family dining. with more than 3,600 applebee's and ihop restaurants in 18 countries, a 99%-franchised system of more than 350 franc
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DIN◀ | $29.79 | -3.97% | $378M | 22.5 | +824.7% | 194.5% | 1500 |
| $264.14 | -1.15% | $2.8T | 31.3 | +1237.8% | 1083.4% | 1521 | |
| $422.24 | -4.75% | $1.6T | 352.3 | -293.1% | 400.1% | 1507 | |
| $297.51 | -2.25% | $296.3B | 20.9 | +324.0% | 859.6% | 1477 | |
| $276.39 | +0.52% | $196.4B | 22.6 | +372.3% | 3185.0% | 1478 | |
| $147.43 | +0.05% | $163.2B | 30.2 | +711.9% | 910.0% | 1494 | |
| $218.42 | -2.32% | $122.3B | 18.3 | +312.2% | 771.2% | 1489 | |
| Sector avg | — | -1.98% | — | 71.2 | +498.5% | 1057.7% | 1495 |