Quarterly revenue trends and guidance - particularly same-store sales at key retail partners like GameStop and specialty chains
Inventory levels and sell-through rates - excess inventory signals weakening demand and potential writedowns
New licensing agreements with major entertainment franchises (Marvel, Star Wars, Disney properties)
Gross margin trajectory - reflects pricing power, product mix shift, and manufacturing cost pressures from Asia
high - Collectibles are highly discretionary purchases concentrated among younger consumers with limited disposable income. Revenue declined 4.2% YoY reflecting weakening consumer spending on non-essential items. The business is directly tied to retail traffic at specialty stores and consumer confidence in discretionary categories. Economic slowdowns immediately impact sell-through rates and retailer reorders.
Elevated interest rate sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Higher rates pressure younger consumers who comprise core demographic, reducing discretionary spending capacity; (2) 1.71 debt/equity ratio means rising rates increase financing costs on what appears to be a leveraged balance sheet; (3) Valuation multiples compress as investors rotate away from unprofitable consumer discretionary names in higher-rate environments; (4) Retail partners face inventory financing pressure, potentially reducing orders.
Fading collectibles trend - the vinyl figure boom peaked during pandemic lockdowns; sustained normalization of consumer spending away from home-based hobbies threatens long-term demand
Licensing cost inflation - studios and IP owners increasingly demanding higher royalty rates as they recognize collectibles revenue potential, compressing already-thin margins
Retail channel consolidation - bankruptcy or closure of specialty retailers (GameStop struggles, mall-based chains) eliminates key distribution and reduces negotiating leverage
value/turnaround - The 0.2x price/sales and 44.9% FCF yield attract deep value investors betting on operational restructuring and margin recovery. Recent 91% EPS growth (off depressed base) and 20-33% returns over 3-6 months suggest momentum traders are entering on technical signals. However, -72% one-year return and negative ROE deter quality-focused growth investors. This is a high-risk special situations play for investors comfortable with distressed consumer discretionary names.
Trend
+21.4% vs SMA 50 · +39.3% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2025 | $895.8M $879.6M–$911.9M | — | -$0.75 | — | ±2% | Low1 |
FY2026(current) | $931.7M $929.1M–$934.3M | ▲ +4.0% | -$0.06 | — | ±50% | Low2 |
FY2027 | $992.3M $960.2M–$1.0B | ▲ +6.5% | $0.16 | — | ±50% | Low2 |
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
FNKO News
About
funko is a pioneer in its industry and is the largest, fastest growing provider of consumer products to the pop culture enthusiast worldwide. funko’s exclusive and unique products, including pop! vinyl, the #1 collectible on the planet, are based on licensing arrangements with today’s most successful and influential creators of pop culture. founded in 1998, funko has experienced particularly strong growth since its acquisition by the current ceo in 2005. with its deep library of licenses and its wide array of products at varying price points, funko is able to target a broad consumer base, from children to adults, and penetrate an impressive range of retail channels worldwide; including mass, specialty, book, department store, online, convenience, hobby, and mall retailers, among others. no single customer accounts for more than 10% of annual sales. with its breadth of licenses, product platforms and points of sale, funko maintains a large and diverse base of consumers that spans many d
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FNKO◀ | $5.06 | -0.98% | $283M | — | -1349.2% | -741.7% | 1500 |
| $264.14 | -1.15% | $2.8T | 31.3 | +1237.8% | 1083.4% | 1521 | |
| $422.24 | -4.75% | $1.6T | 352.3 | -293.1% | 400.1% | 1507 | |
| $297.51 | -2.25% | $296.3B | 20.9 | +324.0% | 859.6% | 1477 | |
| $276.39 | +0.52% | $196.4B | 22.6 | +372.3% | 3185.0% | 1478 | |
| $147.43 | +0.05% | $163.2B | 30.2 | +711.9% | 910.0% | 1494 | |
| $218.42 | -2.32% | $122.3B | 18.3 | +312.2% | 771.2% | 1489 | |
| Sector avg | — | -1.55% | — | 79.3 | +188.0% | 923.9% | 1495 |